Low risk for strong/severe thunderstorms

My map is down ATTM so no map will be posted.....There is a low risk for a few strong to severe thunderstorms today...See below...
Today shall be a warm and humid day across the area.Though dewpoints should drop a little in the afternoon,as we get some mixing down from the upper levels,it will still feel rather muggy outside..Temps should have no problem getting into the middle 80s some upper 80s to near 90 not out of the question over the area....Looking at the WV satellite we see a few interesting things...First on is a shortwave over Canada this is moving South/Southeast also a cold front pushing South...These two features will aid in the formation of isolated showers/thunderstorms this afternoon...This is interesting..Models showing some spots of better instability later today...Also do see some vertical shear along with some low level steep lapse rates...This would warrant a chance at some of the thunderstorms could become strong to severe,however does not look like a widespread event ATTM....Though the main threat from any storms that can become severe would be some hail giving the cooler temps aloft and some gusty winds...The area that would have the best chance at seeing strong to severe storms would be over NE to Eastern Central parts of MN and much of our Western/Northern WI.

Cold morning

What the heck happen to summer? Wow temps this morning are in the lower to middle 40s with some upper 30s across Northern MN and Northern WI....My low here at my place was a cold 42.9 ° I see that KRPD also showed a low of 42....Looks like these below temps are forecasted by the long range models right through Aug 20th...Sure they may be a few warm days here and there but over all the temps will avg below norms.....

Website updated

Today I have updated my website..Added info to correct thunderstorm days in June,added July pictures,and added August 3 rd pictures...That's all for now.
Dirk Miller

Pictures and info

The pictures from last weekend's severe thunderstorm will be on my website this weekend...I might get them on Friday night..If not they will be up by Sunday afternoon...I will have all of July chase pictures added also...I will also have to update June's thunderstorm days as we did get some more after I wrote up that post on my site..So yes lots of work to do to on my site....

Storm damage

Pictures of the damage that this grumpy storm caused....Yes I got rocked hard when the gust front caught me....

Severe thunderstorm rocked parts of Barron County

A Severe thunderstorm Rocked Mainly Central and Northern Barron County yesterday afternoon..From around 3:15 PM to about 3:45 PM or so...Many tress and power poles and lines were downed as this storm moved through...Also a report of a roof being tore off a house....Here are a few pictures of the storm and storm damage..The rest will be up on my website this coming weekend....Also a side note my weather station rercorded winds up to 59.9 MPH...I'm sure that was much higher giving the damage around the area,plus my wind gauge is not in the best spot for winds out of the west/northwest...Also picked up 3/4 inch of rain,again this total is much higher as the my rain guage got blown over...Some larger branches did come down in my yard...I lost power and was not until aroun 3 AM maybe a little before that...Nevertheless it was a grumpy storm to work with,but yet it was a fun little chase...Yes I know I had rain drops on my lens no matter how fast I wiped them off they kept coming back...

Severe thunderstorms possible

***SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE***

This is a tricky forecast....Will all depend on how fast this morning's convection mess moves through...Heck it's not evan here yet...So a lot could go wrong....But if computer models are right then severe thunderstorms will be possible.....
Today and tonight...
Warm and humid air flowing into the area along with a SFC warm front well to our South along with a low pressure in SD/NE area is forecasted to slowly move East through the day and tonight....This morning we find an area of convection in ND and parts of SD...This area is showing some weaken over the hour or so,However this should move into Western MN this morning and through Central and Northern part of MN into WI during the afternoon....Severe threat from this activity would be gusty winds and some hail....Later today more thunderstorms are forecasted to form along the boundaries left over from this morning's activity...If we can get a few good hours of SFC in the afternoon we good be dealing with severe thunderstorms....Main area would be found points South of a line from Bayfield down toward Park Falls...
Main threat from severe thunderstorms in these areas would be damaging winds and large hail...Thinking is a few tornadoes could be possible in far Southern areas of MN and WI Nevertheless we still could see a few tornadoes....
Stay tuned to your local news media and your weather radio or internet sources for the latest on this severe weather threat......
Also tonight another round of thunderstorms are forecasted to form along a strong LLJ poking into the area...This area of convection is forecasted to fire up out in Eastern areas of ND/SD/Western MN this area is forecasted to push East/Southeast...Giving the amount of moisture and strong upper level jet more severe thunderstorms will be possible over night.....
Main threat tonight would be large hail along with areas of damaging winds.