Moonshot
1 year ago
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
***MAJOR WINTER STORM UPDATE***
No changes needed to on going forecast below,as it is right on track...Storm totals still on track for a widepsread 7 to 10 inches of snow....With some areas picking up a foot...See one of the forecast for that info,has it now once again looks like two different areas to could see the 12 inches or more......Other than that no other changes will be needed..Winds could gust up to the 35 to 40 MPH range later tonight and holding through Wednesday....See post below for other info....
WINTER STORM UPDATE
***MAJOR WINTER STORM UPDATE***....UPDATED @ 3:30 AM TUESDAY MORNING.....
A few changes are needed this morning.....First change was to delay the snow for points North of Chippewa,Dunn,and ST.Croix Counties,as Arctic air as remained locked in place a little longer that thought...The Arctic air should saturate rather fast later this morning...Still this will hinder snowfall amounts in them areas to around and inch or less by tonight.....Snowfall rates will be trended higher in said areas also with the colder air in place....So Am now going to up the total storm amounts....Here is where things get a little tricky...Am going to run with a widespread 8 to 10 inches of snow for all of my forecast area....Thinking is right now my far Southern areas will see 5 to 9 inches of snow.....The best moisture and forcing shows up later tonight into Wednesday...This will hold onto the FA longer than thought...Hence the reason why I upped the storm totals....The storm track has also shifted more Northwards..About 50 to 100 miles North...So the low pressure should by tracking over Southern WI towards the Milwaukee area....Also the storm system does deepen to around 975 MBS...So thinking about increasing winds speeds once again,however for now I will let them ride as they are...Will update the winds tonight if needed....So most areas will see near to blizzard conditions from late tonight through much of the day on Wednesday....Vis could drop to around zero at times....Looks like most of the heavy snow will start to fall later tonight and last right through a good part of Wednesday...No matter how we cut it slice it looks like a good dump of snow..the lower teens....Am still a little concerned about severe thunderstorms forming down South,if this does play out that will limited some moisture supply into the area,then we will be forced into lowering the storm totals....Do have time to figure that out this evening.........After this storm system moves Northeast of the area it will drag an Arctic cold front through night time lows will be tricky,I have under cut model guidance's with the forecasted snow amounts....Deep snow pack and clear nights should yield for lows well below zero..Should see a range of -5 to -10....With highs ranging from the single digits to around 12 or the lower teens....
Travel could become very difficult or impossible late Tuesday night through much of the day on Wednesday..If you plan to travel make sure you have a winter safety kit in your vehicle...If you plan on traveling make sure you let someone know when you leave point A and your ETA to point B....Have a cell phone to call for help if you should become stuck...Do not try to walk to get help,your vehicle will be your best shelter....This could be dangerous winter storm...Best advise we can give you only travel if it is an emergency....
***MAJOR WINTER STORM UPDATE***...Updated at 7:30 PM
Looking at the latest computer model runs...Will time snow to start sooner than forecasted..Looking to start the snow mid morning Tuesday across my Southern areas then around noon in my Central areas then around 1 or 2 in my Northern areas.....Snow accumulations for Tuesday look to be around and inch maybe two....Winds will still not a problem,Tuesday night snow will become heavy at times...With winds increasing 10 to 20 MPH with higher gust...This will lead to blowing and drifting snow....Wednesday..Snow heavy at times,winds should be howling out of N/NW around 20 MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH some of the wind prone areas could see wind gusts 40 to 45 MPH..This will lead to more blowing and drifting snow...Some areas could see near 0 vis with near to blizzard conditions Tuesday night through much of the day Wednesday....Will keep thinking the same.... Will run with a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow through out the whole forecast area....Places that could see 9 to 12 inches or slightly more are in two different areas...First one would run through ST.Croix County over to Dunn County and into Chippewa County....Or South of line from New Richmond to Wheeler to around the Chippewa Falls area.....The second area likely to see 9 to 12 or slightly more inches are Barron,Polk,Sawyer,and Washburn Counties....Or points north of a line from Luck to Cumberland,Rice Lake over to Ladysmith.Most of the heavy snow should fall from late Tuesday night through around the noon hour on Wednesday...One big player on the forecasted snowfall amounts will be if any thunderstorms get going down South..If so this should rob some of the moisture flow Northwards,hence lowering the snowfall amounts....So some concerns still remain if severe thunderstorms will blow up.....
Travel could become very difficult or impossible late Tuesday night through much of the day on Wednesday..If you plan to travel make sure you have a winter safety kit in your vehicle...If you plan on traveling make sure you let someone know when you leave point A and your ETA to point B....Have a cell phone to call for help if you should become stuck...Do not try to walk to get help,your vehicle will be your best shelter....This could be dangerous winter storm...Best advise we can give you only travel if it is an emergency....
Temps will fall like a rock as an Arctic cold front slams through the area...Look for lows to be well below zero for the remainder of the work week,with highs in the single digits to around 10 or so..This trend will last through the weekend...So looks like winter is going to be around for sometime...
A few changes are needed this morning.....First change was to delay the snow for points North of Chippewa,Dunn,and ST.Croix Counties,as Arctic air as remained locked in place a little longer that thought...The Arctic air should saturate rather fast later this morning...Still this will hinder snowfall amounts in them areas to around and inch or less by tonight.....Snowfall rates will be trended higher in said areas also with the colder air in place....So Am now going to up the total storm amounts....Here is where things get a little tricky...Am going to run with a widespread 8 to 10 inches of snow for all of my forecast area....Thinking is right now my far Southern areas will see 5 to 9 inches of snow.....The best moisture and forcing shows up later tonight into Wednesday...This will hold onto the FA longer than thought...Hence the reason why I upped the storm totals....The storm track has also shifted more Northwards..About 50 to 100 miles North...So the low pressure should by tracking over Southern WI towards the Milwaukee area....Also the storm system does deepen to around 975 MBS...So thinking about increasing winds speeds once again,however for now I will let them ride as they are...Will update the winds tonight if needed....So most areas will see near to blizzard conditions from late tonight through much of the day on Wednesday....Vis could drop to around zero at times....Looks like most of the heavy snow will start to fall later tonight and last right through a good part of Wednesday...No matter how we cut it slice it looks like a good dump of snow..the lower teens....Am still a little concerned about severe thunderstorms forming down South,if this does play out that will limited some moisture supply into the area,then we will be forced into lowering the storm totals....Do have time to figure that out this evening.........After this storm system moves Northeast of the area it will drag an Arctic cold front through night time lows will be tricky,I have under cut model guidance's with the forecasted snow amounts....Deep snow pack and clear nights should yield for lows well below zero..Should see a range of -5 to -10....With highs ranging from the single digits to around 12 or the lower teens....
Travel could become very difficult or impossible late Tuesday night through much of the day on Wednesday..If you plan to travel make sure you have a winter safety kit in your vehicle...If you plan on traveling make sure you let someone know when you leave point A and your ETA to point B....Have a cell phone to call for help if you should become stuck...Do not try to walk to get help,your vehicle will be your best shelter....This could be dangerous winter storm...Best advise we can give you only travel if it is an emergency....
***MAJOR WINTER STORM UPDATE***...Updated at 7:30 PM
Looking at the latest computer model runs...Will time snow to start sooner than forecasted..Looking to start the snow mid morning Tuesday across my Southern areas then around noon in my Central areas then around 1 or 2 in my Northern areas.....Snow accumulations for Tuesday look to be around and inch maybe two....Winds will still not a problem,Tuesday night snow will become heavy at times...With winds increasing 10 to 20 MPH with higher gust...This will lead to blowing and drifting snow....Wednesday..Snow heavy at times,winds should be howling out of N/NW around 20 MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH some of the wind prone areas could see wind gusts 40 to 45 MPH..This will lead to more blowing and drifting snow...Some areas could see near 0 vis with near to blizzard conditions Tuesday night through much of the day Wednesday....Will keep thinking the same.... Will run with a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow through out the whole forecast area....Places that could see 9 to 12 inches or slightly more are in two different areas...First one would run through ST.Croix County over to Dunn County and into Chippewa County....Or South of line from New Richmond to Wheeler to around the Chippewa Falls area.....The second area likely to see 9 to 12 or slightly more inches are Barron,Polk,Sawyer,and Washburn Counties....Or points north of a line from Luck to Cumberland,Rice Lake over to Ladysmith.Most of the heavy snow should fall from late Tuesday night through around the noon hour on Wednesday...One big player on the forecasted snowfall amounts will be if any thunderstorms get going down South..If so this should rob some of the moisture flow Northwards,hence lowering the snowfall amounts....So some concerns still remain if severe thunderstorms will blow up.....
Travel could become very difficult or impossible late Tuesday night through much of the day on Wednesday..If you plan to travel make sure you have a winter safety kit in your vehicle...If you plan on traveling make sure you let someone know when you leave point A and your ETA to point B....Have a cell phone to call for help if you should become stuck...Do not try to walk to get help,your vehicle will be your best shelter....This could be dangerous winter storm...Best advise we can give you only travel if it is an emergency....
Temps will fall like a rock as an Arctic cold front slams through the area...Look for lows to be well below zero for the remainder of the work week,with highs in the single digits to around 10 or so..This trend will last through the weekend...So looks like winter is going to be around for sometime...
Monday, December 7, 2009
Winter storm update
***MAJOR WINTER STORM UPDATE***...Updated at 7:30 PM
Looking at the latest computer model runs...Will time snow to start sooner than forecasted..Looking to start the snow mid morning Tuesday across my Southern areas then around noon in my Central areas then around 1 or 2 in my Northern areas.....Snow accumulations for Tuesday look to be around and inch maybe two....Winds will still not a problem,Tuesday night snow will become heavy at times...With winds increasing 10 to 20 MPH with higher gust...This will lead to blowing and drifting snow....Wednesday..Snow heavy at times,winds should be howling out of N/NW around 20 MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH some of the wind prone areas could see wind gusts 40 to 45 MPH..This will lead to more blowing and drifting snow...Some areas could see near 0 vis with near to blizzard conditions Tuesday night through much of the day Wednesday....Will keep thinking the same.... Will run with a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow through out the whole forecast area....Places that could see 9 to 12 inches or slightly more are in two different areas...First one would run through ST.Croix County over to Dunn County and into Chippewa County....Or South of line from New Richmond to Wheeler to around the Chippewa Falls area.....The second area likely to see 9 to 12 or slightly more inches are Barron,Polk,Sawyer,and Washburn Counties....Or points north of a line from Luck to Cumberland,Rice Lake over to Ladysmith.Most of the heavy snow should fall from late Tuesday night through around the noon hour on Wednesday...One big player on the forecasted snowfall amounts will be if any thunderstorms get going down South..If so this should rob some of the moisture flow Northwards,hence lowering the snowfall amounts....So some concerns still remain if severe thunderstorms will blow up.....
Travel could become very difficult or impossible late Tuesday night through much of the day on Wednesday..If you plan to travel make sure you have a winter safety kit in your vehicle...If you plan on traveling make sure you let someone know when you leave point A and your ETA to point B....Have a cell phone to call for help if you should become stuck...Do not try to walk to get help,your vehicle will be your best shelter....This could be dangerous winter storm...Best advise we can give you only travel if it is an emergency....
Temps will fall like a rock as an Arctic cold front slams through the area...Look for lows to be well below zero for the remainder of the work week,with highs in the single digits to around 10 or so..This trend will last through the weekend...So looks like winter is going to be around for sometime...
Looking at the latest computer model runs...Will time snow to start sooner than forecasted..Looking to start the snow mid morning Tuesday across my Southern areas then around noon in my Central areas then around 1 or 2 in my Northern areas.....Snow accumulations for Tuesday look to be around and inch maybe two....Winds will still not a problem,Tuesday night snow will become heavy at times...With winds increasing 10 to 20 MPH with higher gust...This will lead to blowing and drifting snow....Wednesday..Snow heavy at times,winds should be howling out of N/NW around 20 MPH with gusts up to 35 MPH some of the wind prone areas could see wind gusts 40 to 45 MPH..This will lead to more blowing and drifting snow...Some areas could see near 0 vis with near to blizzard conditions Tuesday night through much of the day Wednesday....Will keep thinking the same.... Will run with a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow through out the whole forecast area....Places that could see 9 to 12 inches or slightly more are in two different areas...First one would run through ST.Croix County over to Dunn County and into Chippewa County....Or South of line from New Richmond to Wheeler to around the Chippewa Falls area.....The second area likely to see 9 to 12 or slightly more inches are Barron,Polk,Sawyer,and Washburn Counties....Or points north of a line from Luck to Cumberland,Rice Lake over to Ladysmith.Most of the heavy snow should fall from late Tuesday night through around the noon hour on Wednesday...One big player on the forecasted snowfall amounts will be if any thunderstorms get going down South..If so this should rob some of the moisture flow Northwards,hence lowering the snowfall amounts....So some concerns still remain if severe thunderstorms will blow up.....
Travel could become very difficult or impossible late Tuesday night through much of the day on Wednesday..If you plan to travel make sure you have a winter safety kit in your vehicle...If you plan on traveling make sure you let someone know when you leave point A and your ETA to point B....Have a cell phone to call for help if you should become stuck...Do not try to walk to get help,your vehicle will be your best shelter....This could be dangerous winter storm...Best advise we can give you only travel if it is an emergency....
Temps will fall like a rock as an Arctic cold front slams through the area...Look for lows to be well below zero for the remainder of the work week,with highs in the single digits to around 10 or so..This trend will last through the weekend...So looks like winter is going to be around for sometime...
MAJOR WINTER STORM
***MAJOR WINTER STORM TO POUND THE AREA***
The NWS has issued a winter storm warning for my whole forecast area....
Low pressure is forecasted to move from the OK panhandle Northeast to Northern IL,Southern WI...All models seem to have locked onto this track..However with the low deepen fast as it forecasted to do this may push the low a tad more North...So thinking as of right now to run with a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow through out the whole forecast area....Places that could see 9 to 12 inches or slightly more are in two different areas...First one would run through ST.Croix County over to Dunn County and into Chippewa County....Or South of line from New Richmond to Wheeler to around the Chippewa Falls area.....The second area likely to see 9 to 12 or slightly more inches are Barron,Polk,Sawyer,and Washburn Counties....Or points north of a line from Luck to Cumberland,Rice Lake over to Ladysmith.Most of the heavy snow should fall from late Tuesday night through around the noon hour...One big player on the forecasted snowfall amounts will be if any thunderstorms get going down South..If so this should rob some of the moisture flow Northwards,hence lowering the snowfall amounts....Have not changed anything else with the ongoing forecast....Winds will become a problem,so left that in tack..See below for all that info..Will try to get to a detailed forecast tonight,or early tomorrow morning..Also see below for precautionary statement...
The NWS has issued a winter storm warning for my whole forecast area....
Low pressure is forecasted to move from the OK panhandle Northeast to Northern IL,Southern WI...All models seem to have locked onto this track..However with the low deepen fast as it forecasted to do this may push the low a tad more North...So thinking as of right now to run with a widespread 6 to 9 inches of snow through out the whole forecast area....Places that could see 9 to 12 inches or slightly more are in two different areas...First one would run through ST.Croix County over to Dunn County and into Chippewa County....Or South of line from New Richmond to Wheeler to around the Chippewa Falls area.....The second area likely to see 9 to 12 or slightly more inches are Barron,Polk,Sawyer,and Washburn Counties....Or points north of a line from Luck to Cumberland,Rice Lake over to Ladysmith.Most of the heavy snow should fall from late Tuesday night through around the noon hour...One big player on the forecasted snowfall amounts will be if any thunderstorms get going down South..If so this should rob some of the moisture flow Northwards,hence lowering the snowfall amounts....Have not changed anything else with the ongoing forecast....Winds will become a problem,so left that in tack..See below for all that info..Will try to get to a detailed forecast tonight,or early tomorrow morning..Also see below for precautionary statement...
***MAJOR WINTER STORM***
***MAJOR WINTER STORM***
All computer models are now on the same page on this winter storm to effect the area from Tuesday through Wednesday night....
A 996 low pressure will organize or the the corners area of the USA....This low is forecasted to lift Northeast into Southern/Central IA then move into Southern/Central WI,as it does it will deepen to around 974 MBS of pressure....GFS model is a little more South with said low,however it has been shifting the low North and Northwest with each run...ECMWF has also shifted the low more North/Northwest with its past runs...Moisture will be plentiful as the GOM is wide open....Cold air will not be a problem for my forecast area....Another thing that has be a little concerned right now with the strong intensification is this system will end up being a wind jammer...So right now thinking is 8+ inches of snow on tap for the FA,some of my higher areas may see 12+ inches of snow..Will have a map on that tonight when I get home from work.....
This could be a very dangerous winter storm....From Tuesday late afternoon through Wednesday night.....Snow should become heavy Tuesday late afternoon through Wednesday evening....Winds will become rather strong...We should see winds on the average of 15 to 25 MPH with gust up to 40-45 MPH at times....This will lead to very dangerous traveling conditions ....With heavy snow falling and blowing snow...Vis could drop to near 0 at times in open areas.so parts on my forecast area could see near if not blizzard conditions Tuesday night through Wednesday...
If one must be on the roadways through this time frame,make sure you have a winter safety kit in your car/truck..If you become stuck stay with your car/truck,call,or wait for help.....Let people know when you are leaving point A and you ETA to point B also let them know the way you are taken......
Will go into a very detailed forecast tonight...Some of it may be on the tech side....Stay tuned for more updates on this MAJOR WINTER SNOWSTORM....
All computer models are now on the same page on this winter storm to effect the area from Tuesday through Wednesday night....
A 996 low pressure will organize or the the corners area of the USA....This low is forecasted to lift Northeast into Southern/Central IA then move into Southern/Central WI,as it does it will deepen to around 974 MBS of pressure....GFS model is a little more South with said low,however it has been shifting the low North and Northwest with each run...ECMWF has also shifted the low more North/Northwest with its past runs...Moisture will be plentiful as the GOM is wide open....Cold air will not be a problem for my forecast area....Another thing that has be a little concerned right now with the strong intensification is this system will end up being a wind jammer...So right now thinking is 8+ inches of snow on tap for the FA,some of my higher areas may see 12+ inches of snow..Will have a map on that tonight when I get home from work.....
This could be a very dangerous winter storm....From Tuesday late afternoon through Wednesday night.....Snow should become heavy Tuesday late afternoon through Wednesday evening....Winds will become rather strong...We should see winds on the average of 15 to 25 MPH with gust up to 40-45 MPH at times....This will lead to very dangerous traveling conditions ....With heavy snow falling and blowing snow...Vis could drop to near 0 at times in open areas.so parts on my forecast area could see near if not blizzard conditions Tuesday night through Wednesday...
If one must be on the roadways through this time frame,make sure you have a winter safety kit in your car/truck..If you become stuck stay with your car/truck,call,or wait for help.....Let people know when you are leaving point A and you ETA to point B also let them know the way you are taken......
Will go into a very detailed forecast tonight...Some of it may be on the tech side....Stay tuned for more updates on this MAJOR WINTER SNOWSTORM....
Sunday, December 6, 2009
Ok winter is here
Friday, December 4, 2009
Fast look at the forecast
Will have more detailed forecast this weekend...However looks like the light snow/flurries will becoming to an end before the midnight hr.....Saturday is shaping up to a rather nice day with hihs in the lower to middle 20s....Sunday not much change highs about the same as Saturday..Lows through this period in the middle teens....Monday still warm and dry as a low pressure system gets pushed to the South of the area...Highs still in the middle 20s..Tuesday through Wednesday looks some what interesting...Though ECMWF pushes the low pressure from the four conners into the OH/TN Valley area...This would keep most of the heavy snow South of my FA....My far Southern areas could see some snow accumlations from this system....Will have updates on this winter storm if needed...If not non will be issued....One thing that is a given with all computer models is the cold air will reamian camped out through next week....Lows in the single digits with highs in the upper teens by Wed lasting through next Sat....
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