Moonshot
11 months ago
Thursday, January 12, 2012
Snowfall amount
We have 3.75 inches of snow so far from this storm event....Still snowing....Here is a picture from on of my snow broads,This was is showing a little more, however when one averages out all the snow broads and the snow gauge one would get 3.75...This is not the grand the total yet.
Sunday, January 8, 2012
Pictures of a sugar maple and my lilacs budding out
Who says tress can't bud out this time of year?....Proof is right here that indeed they can....Not the first time I have seen this in my lifetime.....What is cool we still have snow on the ground here.First picture is the Sugar maple.
Next two pictures is my Lilac bush.
Saturday, January 7, 2012
The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.
Forecast will mainly deal with the weather pattern change that is coming next week.. It will be a big one!! Just as we have been forecasting for sometime now.....
***CURRENT CONDITIONS***
At 1:00 PM Skies range from Partly sunny to mostly cloudy throughout the FA…Temps range from the upper 20s to lower 30s….Winds are out of the West/Northwest from 5 to 9 MPH.
***SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Short wave that moved through the area during the overnight has now pushed into Eastern WI…Some clearing has taken place behind this…Still some more clouds out over Central/ Northern MN to work either way into the area…Have decided to run with partly cloudy to cloudy wording in the forecast, this will cover today rather well. Temps will be a tad cooler today as CAA has over taken the FA…Still temps will be about 20 degrees above normal. Later this afternoon or evening we will see another short wave drop into the area from Canada…This wave will be a fast hitter with just clouds, no moisture for it to work with so no snow is forecast…..Sunday a high pressure system drops into the area this will allow for skies to start to clear after 2 AM setting the stages for a mostly sunny day tomorrow and Monday….A warm front is forecasted to blast through the area Monday night this will allow for warmer reading on Tuesday…The way it looks record highs for Tuesday should be safe….Record high is 44 degrees …We are forecasting lower 40s…..Either way it will be another warm day in the Northwoods…..
***YOUR SHORT TERM FORECAST***
Today… Partly cloudy to cloudy, highs 30 to 33.
Tonight… Becoming cloudy early, lows around 20 to 24….Becoming clear after 2 AM.
Sunday… Mostly sunny, highs 29 to 33.
Sunday Night… Partly cloudy to clear, lows 20 to 24.
Monday… Sunny, highs 35 to 30.. Lows 20 to 24.
Tuesday… Partly cloudy to mostly sunny, Highs 35 to 40, lows 24 to 28.
Confidence level is moderate to high…
***MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Big changes forthcoming in the weather pattern we have been locked under….With a chance of significant snowfall for my Central and Northern areas for Wednesday and Wednesday night..For now will run with a chance of snow, thought about running with snow likely wording as ECMWF model has showing this strong storm system the last few days now……..Then a blast of Arctic air….
ECMWF model forms a low pressure over ND/SD then tracks it to the Southeast to around the Twin Cities areas then through Central WI Wednesday and Wednesday night..GFS has been an outlier so will disregard it…..
Should be plenty of moisture for this strong low pressure to work with cold air throughout the column to keep prcip all snow through my Central and Northern areas. My far Southern areas could see some light rain before changing over to some light snow, as of right now precip chances are slim at best down there…One thing that is a giving for the whole forecast area will be the Arctic blast….We may have our lows on Thursday night to warm, we may have to drop them below zero… Will depend on if we get a good snow pack, and how fast clouds clear out…Still time to play with that…
***YOUR MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***
Wednesday… Cloudy a chance snow highs 25 to 28 then falling in the afternoon….
Wednesday Night… Cloudy with a chance of snow lows around 5 to 10.
Thursday… Mostly cloudy highs 10 to 15.
Thursday Night… Mostly cloudy lows 0 to 5.
Friday…. Partly cloudy highs 13 to 16….
Confidence level is rather high through this period.
***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION SAT 14 THROUGH MON 23**
Temps will highly depend on how much of a snow pack is on the ground…So as of right now we could be to warm with the long term temps…Though through most of this time frame we are looking at below normal temps…
There will off and on chances of snow throughout the period….So the weather pattern will have changed to colder than normal from the middle term into this forecast cycle…
***YOUR LONG TERM FORECAST***
Sat 14….Dry highs 15 to 20 lows 5 to 10
Sun 15… Dry highs 15 to 20 lows -10 to -5
Mon 16… Slight chance of snow highs 10 to 15 lows -5 to 0
Tue 17… slight chance of snow highs 15 to 20 lows -5 to 0
Wed 18.. Dry highs 10 to 15 lows -5 to 0
Thur 19… Dry highs 5 to 10 lows -10 to -5
Fri 20… Slight chance of snow highs 10 to 15 lows 0 to 5
Sat 21.. Slight chance of snow highs 10 to 15 lows 0 to 5
Sun 22... slight chance of snow highs 15 to 20 lows 5 to 10
Mon 23... Dry highs 20 to 25 lows 10 to 15.
Confidence level is low on temps and precip chances… As stated above temps will be highly depend on the snow pack…I did undercut model guidance through this forecast cycle to account for the snow pack.
Normal highs through this period...20 to 21....Normal lows for this period...1 above..
***CURRENT CONDITIONS***
At 1:00 PM Skies range from Partly sunny to mostly cloudy throughout the FA…Temps range from the upper 20s to lower 30s….Winds are out of the West/Northwest from 5 to 9 MPH.
***SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Short wave that moved through the area during the overnight has now pushed into Eastern WI…Some clearing has taken place behind this…Still some more clouds out over Central/ Northern MN to work either way into the area…Have decided to run with partly cloudy to cloudy wording in the forecast, this will cover today rather well. Temps will be a tad cooler today as CAA has over taken the FA…Still temps will be about 20 degrees above normal. Later this afternoon or evening we will see another short wave drop into the area from Canada…This wave will be a fast hitter with just clouds, no moisture for it to work with so no snow is forecast…..Sunday a high pressure system drops into the area this will allow for skies to start to clear after 2 AM setting the stages for a mostly sunny day tomorrow and Monday….A warm front is forecasted to blast through the area Monday night this will allow for warmer reading on Tuesday…The way it looks record highs for Tuesday should be safe….Record high is 44 degrees …We are forecasting lower 40s…..Either way it will be another warm day in the Northwoods…..
***YOUR SHORT TERM FORECAST***
Today… Partly cloudy to cloudy, highs 30 to 33.
Tonight… Becoming cloudy early, lows around 20 to 24….Becoming clear after 2 AM.
Sunday… Mostly sunny, highs 29 to 33.
Sunday Night… Partly cloudy to clear, lows 20 to 24.
Monday… Sunny, highs 35 to 30.. Lows 20 to 24.
Tuesday… Partly cloudy to mostly sunny, Highs 35 to 40, lows 24 to 28.
Confidence level is moderate to high…
***MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Big changes forthcoming in the weather pattern we have been locked under….With a chance of significant snowfall for my Central and Northern areas for Wednesday and Wednesday night..For now will run with a chance of snow, thought about running with snow likely wording as ECMWF model has showing this strong storm system the last few days now……..Then a blast of Arctic air….
ECMWF model forms a low pressure over ND/SD then tracks it to the Southeast to around the Twin Cities areas then through Central WI Wednesday and Wednesday night..GFS has been an outlier so will disregard it…..
Should be plenty of moisture for this strong low pressure to work with cold air throughout the column to keep prcip all snow through my Central and Northern areas. My far Southern areas could see some light rain before changing over to some light snow, as of right now precip chances are slim at best down there…One thing that is a giving for the whole forecast area will be the Arctic blast….We may have our lows on Thursday night to warm, we may have to drop them below zero… Will depend on if we get a good snow pack, and how fast clouds clear out…Still time to play with that…
***YOUR MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***
Wednesday… Cloudy a chance snow highs 25 to 28 then falling in the afternoon….
Wednesday Night… Cloudy with a chance of snow lows around 5 to 10.
Thursday… Mostly cloudy highs 10 to 15.
Thursday Night… Mostly cloudy lows 0 to 5.
Friday…. Partly cloudy highs 13 to 16….
Confidence level is rather high through this period.
***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION SAT 14 THROUGH MON 23**
Temps will highly depend on how much of a snow pack is on the ground…So as of right now we could be to warm with the long term temps…Though through most of this time frame we are looking at below normal temps…
There will off and on chances of snow throughout the period….So the weather pattern will have changed to colder than normal from the middle term into this forecast cycle…
***YOUR LONG TERM FORECAST***
Sat 14….Dry highs 15 to 20 lows 5 to 10
Sun 15… Dry highs 15 to 20 lows -10 to -5
Mon 16… Slight chance of snow highs 10 to 15 lows -5 to 0
Tue 17… slight chance of snow highs 15 to 20 lows -5 to 0
Wed 18.. Dry highs 10 to 15 lows -5 to 0
Thur 19… Dry highs 5 to 10 lows -10 to -5
Fri 20… Slight chance of snow highs 10 to 15 lows 0 to 5
Sat 21.. Slight chance of snow highs 10 to 15 lows 0 to 5
Sun 22... slight chance of snow highs 15 to 20 lows 5 to 10
Mon 23... Dry highs 20 to 25 lows 10 to 15.
Confidence level is low on temps and precip chances… As stated above temps will be highly depend on the snow pack…I did undercut model guidance through this forecast cycle to account for the snow pack.
Normal highs through this period...20 to 21....Normal lows for this period...1 above..
Monday, January 2, 2012
Looking back at 2011
This data is for Barron County WI only….
This was one wild year in terms of the weather…..
We will looks at how much snow has falling in this past year….This may be a little confusing, as we will look at every month we have snow….
We will look at how many thunderstorm days we had.
We will look at how many severe thunderstorm days we had…
First off we will look at the crazy temp ride we had…
Many call the year 2011 a year without a spring….Well they were sure right about that….From Jan through July temps averaged well below normal….
We even had snow in May more on that latter.
Time to list the months and what we saw…..
***JANUARY***
Temps were colder than normal…We had 22.50 inches of snow…No thunderstorm/thundersnow days.
***FEBUARY***
Temps were colder than normal….We had 12.50 inches of snow….No thunderstorm/thundersnow days..
***MARCH***
Temps averaged out to be colder than normal….We had 14.00 inches of snow…We had 3 thunderstorm days…
***APRIL***
Temps were colder than average….We had 7.50 inches of snow…We had 3 thunderstorm days… 1 severe thunderstorm day….Total thunderstorms were 4.
***MAY***
Temps were colder than normal….We had snow on the 1st and 2nd only a trace, nonetheless it was snow…We had 5 thunderstorm days…We had 2 severe thunderstorm days…Total thunderstorm days 7.
***JUNE***
Temps did average out slightly below normal, even though we had 102.7 on the 7th First part of June was warm, however temps cooled right back off for the rest of the month. We had 10 thunderstorm days…No severe thunderstorm days…Total thunderstorm days 10….
***JULY***
Temps were slightly cooler than normal..What was strange about this month was our overnight lows were warmer than average, while our daytime highs were cooler than normal…..We had 9 thunderstorm days…We had 6 severe thunderstorm days..Total thunderstorm days 15…
***AUGUST***
Temps were near normal still slightly below normal….We had 8 thunderstorm days…We had 1 severe thunderstorm day…Total thunderstorm days 9….
***SEPTEMBER***
Temps were slightly below normal…. We had 4 thunderstorm days….No severe thunderstorm days…Total thunderstorm days 4….We had a trace of snow on the 15th.
***OCTOBER***
Temps were warmer than normal….We had 2 thunderstorm days….No severe thunderstorm days….Total thunderstorm days 2… We had less than ¼ inch of snow on the 27th.
***NOVEMBER***
Temps were warmer than normal….We had 4.50 inches of snow….We had 1 thunderstorm day which was thundersnow….. Total thunderstorm days 1.
***DECEMBER***
Temps were warmer than normal…. We had 18.50 inches of snow…No thunderstorm days…Our first subzero readings happened this month….on the 9th and again on the 10th
***RECAP***
Temps for the year 2011 believe it or not were slightly below to near normal….
We had a total of 55 thunderstorm days…Out of those days we had 10 severe thunderstorm days..
We had 79.50 inches of snow for the year 2011……….
There you have it 2011 review…..
ONCE AGAIN THIS IS FOR BARRON COUNTY WI ONLY….THIS INFO COMES FROM OUR RECORDS HERE AT THE WEATHER CENTER……
This was one wild year in terms of the weather…..
We will looks at how much snow has falling in this past year….This may be a little confusing, as we will look at every month we have snow….
We will look at how many thunderstorm days we had.
We will look at how many severe thunderstorm days we had…
First off we will look at the crazy temp ride we had…
Many call the year 2011 a year without a spring….Well they were sure right about that….From Jan through July temps averaged well below normal….
We even had snow in May more on that latter.
Time to list the months and what we saw…..
***JANUARY***
Temps were colder than normal…We had 22.50 inches of snow…No thunderstorm/thundersnow days.
***FEBUARY***
Temps were colder than normal….We had 12.50 inches of snow….No thunderstorm/thundersnow days..
***MARCH***
Temps averaged out to be colder than normal….We had 14.00 inches of snow…We had 3 thunderstorm days…
***APRIL***
Temps were colder than average….We had 7.50 inches of snow…We had 3 thunderstorm days… 1 severe thunderstorm day….Total thunderstorms were 4.
***MAY***
Temps were colder than normal….We had snow on the 1st and 2nd only a trace, nonetheless it was snow…We had 5 thunderstorm days…We had 2 severe thunderstorm days…Total thunderstorm days 7.
***JUNE***
Temps did average out slightly below normal, even though we had 102.7 on the 7th First part of June was warm, however temps cooled right back off for the rest of the month. We had 10 thunderstorm days…No severe thunderstorm days…Total thunderstorm days 10….
***JULY***
Temps were slightly cooler than normal..What was strange about this month was our overnight lows were warmer than average, while our daytime highs were cooler than normal…..We had 9 thunderstorm days…We had 6 severe thunderstorm days..Total thunderstorm days 15…
***AUGUST***
Temps were near normal still slightly below normal….We had 8 thunderstorm days…We had 1 severe thunderstorm day…Total thunderstorm days 9….
***SEPTEMBER***
Temps were slightly below normal…. We had 4 thunderstorm days….No severe thunderstorm days…Total thunderstorm days 4….We had a trace of snow on the 15th.
***OCTOBER***
Temps were warmer than normal….We had 2 thunderstorm days….No severe thunderstorm days….Total thunderstorm days 2… We had less than ¼ inch of snow on the 27th.
***NOVEMBER***
Temps were warmer than normal….We had 4.50 inches of snow….We had 1 thunderstorm day which was thundersnow….. Total thunderstorm days 1.
***DECEMBER***
Temps were warmer than normal…. We had 18.50 inches of snow…No thunderstorm days…Our first subzero readings happened this month….on the 9th and again on the 10th
***RECAP***
Temps for the year 2011 believe it or not were slightly below to near normal….
We had a total of 55 thunderstorm days…Out of those days we had 10 severe thunderstorm days..
We had 79.50 inches of snow for the year 2011……….
There you have it 2011 review…..
ONCE AGAIN THIS IS FOR BARRON COUNTY WI ONLY….THIS INFO COMES FROM OUR RECORDS HERE AT THE WEATHER CENTER……
Looking back at December 2011
Looking back at the month of December….
December was a warm month…..Still be had some nights that we saw temps drop below zero…..Over all this December will average out to be slightly above normal for the area.
The was 7 snow days this month…..Days that we had saw snow fall are as follows.
1st …. 1.00 inches.
2nd …and 3rd …. We had 8.00 inches.
14th… we had ¾ inches.
23rd …. We had 3.00 inches.
29th we had ¾ inches.
31st we had 5.00 before midnight…
This brings the total snowfall amounts to 18.50 inches for this month.
December 2010 we saw 33.75 inches of snow….
Let’s break the snowfall down more and compare it to the average.
On the average we see 12.80 inches of snow in December…..So we did manage to see above normal snowfall….18.50 – 12.80 = 5.70 inches above normal…
There was no thunderstorms or thundersnow days this past month….
Late this afternoon or evening we will look back into the year of 2011…..
December was a warm month…..Still be had some nights that we saw temps drop below zero…..Over all this December will average out to be slightly above normal for the area.
The was 7 snow days this month…..Days that we had saw snow fall are as follows.
1st …. 1.00 inches.
2nd …and 3rd …. We had 8.00 inches.
14th… we had ¾ inches.
23rd …. We had 3.00 inches.
29th we had ¾ inches.
31st we had 5.00 before midnight…
This brings the total snowfall amounts to 18.50 inches for this month.
December 2010 we saw 33.75 inches of snow….
Let’s break the snowfall down more and compare it to the average.
On the average we see 12.80 inches of snow in December…..So we did manage to see above normal snowfall….18.50 – 12.80 = 5.70 inches above normal…
There was no thunderstorms or thundersnow days this past month….
Late this afternoon or evening we will look back into the year of 2011…..
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Storm report and pictures
As forecasted the heavier snows did fall through Northern Barron, Polk, and Rusk Counties and points to the North/Northeast of that area....The highest snow amounts have been found over the South Shores of Lake Superior....
Here at the office we picked up 6.00 inches of snow, that amount may have been higher, however didn't get a chance to take another reading as I was out of the office most of today....Winds have been gusting up to 45 MPH here at the office over the last hour....Still areas of blowing and drifting snow will remain a problem for parts of the FA.
Here are some pictures from last night and today....Videos can be found on youtube...See link to the right.
Here at the office we picked up 6.00 inches of snow, that amount may have been higher, however didn't get a chance to take another reading as I was out of the office most of today....Winds have been gusting up to 45 MPH here at the office over the last hour....Still areas of blowing and drifting snow will remain a problem for parts of the FA.
Here are some pictures from last night and today....Videos can be found on youtube...See link to the right.
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