Saturday, December 31, 2011

Possible winter storm for the area.

Problems with this forecast…Computer models really aren’t agreeing on the track of the storm system…GFS has the system Moving into Southern IA then into Central IL before working it into IN…..Meanwhile NAM has the low moving into Northeast IA/Southwest WI Before tracking it to around the Door County area…..What both models do agree on is that the area of low pressure will become stronger as it pushes East of the area…..EC has a track close to the NAM, however just a tap North, either way once again this should not play accumulations …..Also EC does deepen the low once it moves past the area…..With models agreeing on that…This system should turn out to be a wind jammer……Wind could gust up to 40 MPH at time throughout the FA…Wind could gusts up to 45 to maybe as high as 50 MPH in our wind prone areas…..This will cause problems for high profile trucks, and vans…


Now as far as snowfall amounts….Models aren’t really seeing eye to eye….So have decided to blend NAM and EC models for the snowfall amounts I have threw GFS out the window as it can’t seem to handle any snowfall amount this year!.....The highest total will be along the South Shore of Lake Superior, where there could be 10 plus inches of snow, mainly due to LES…..The 5 to 8 inches snowfall areas also have a chance for some LES this is the reason for them amount versus going with 3 to 6 inches…..

Tonight and tomorrow some areas could see near to blizzard conditions with winds gusting 35 to 45 MPH throughout the area…Winds along with heavy snow falling, this could lead to blowing and drifting snows, which could cause travel problems later tonight into Sunday late afternoon or Sunday evening.

Also noted in my far Southern areas there may also be more of mix prcip which could hold snow totals down….There will be some mix prcip as the system first cranks up, however this will be changing to all snow rather fast for my Central and Northern areas….

Sunday, December 25, 2011

Merry Christmas!

From The Weather Center, we wish you and your families a very Merry Christmas!

Friday, December 23, 2011

Today's snowfall

Today we picked up 3.00 inches of snow here at the office....Snowfall ranged from 1 to 3 inches across the FA....A white Christmas for the parts of the FA...Won't melt tomorrow like a lot of people think it will...Temps ranging from 28 to 33....


Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Why one needs to use different radars.

Here is a good example as to why one needs to use different radars to see where precip may or may not be at….One radar grab is from DHL, the other is from MPX….One can clearly see the difference on these two radar views.

Monday, December 19, 2011

Some info.

Still won't issue a forecast...Short term forecasts have been covering things rather well..So will keep doing that...No big cold snaps or big winter storms seen right through Christmas....The end of the first week on the New Year still looks like a big weather pattern change coming to the area....

Saturday, December 17, 2011

Big changes in the weather coming/some interesting weather facts.

Looks like a big change in this boring weather pattern is coming in January…Looks like either the end of the first week or the start of the second week of January….So if you love this warm weather get out and enjoy it the next couple of weeks…..Snow lovers hang in there your time is coming very soon!!.....

Some interesting facts about the weather for Rice Lake WI…
Our warmest month is July.
Our coldest month is January.

Our windiest month is April.
Our Calmest month is August.

Snowiest month is January.
Months without snow are as follows….June, July, August…Snow has been reported in all other months.

Our wettest month is August.
Our driest month is February.

Our Sunniest month is July.
Our cloudiest month is November.

This is all based on averages….

Looking back at Nov 2011

I know am late with this….Nov was a up and down ride in temps and precip….Overall temps were slightly above average here at the office….

We a total of 4.50 inches of snow..

Snow days are as follows…

Nov 10… We had 1 inch.

Nov 19… we had 3 inches.

Nov 30… we had ½ inch…
Total snowfall...4.50 inches

We also had one thunderstorm day.

Nov 15. We had a thunderstorm this was thundersnow…

So we had one thundersnow day……

Looking back at  Nov 2010

We had 11 inches of snow…

We had 1 thunderstorm day/thundersnow day.