Forecast problems, really none through Thanksgiving Day….Temps
take a big dive on Black Friday… Next week snow? We shall find out as we hash
it all out. More on this later….
***SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION (TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY)***
Now short-wave moving through the FA, still may see a few
light showers though highly unlikely, and will leave wording out of forecast.…Looking
at the visible satellite imagery we see clearing skies in Eastern MN this is
working its way towards the FA…..So as we head through the day skies should
start to slowly clear off…1025 MB high pressure will then take over our weather
right through Thanksgiving Day…..The high will slip off to our South/Southeast..This
will bring us a return flow….This bring in even warmer air by Wednesday…Looking
at the record high for that day here in Rice Lake we see its 69 degrees that
was set back in 1990… That looks to be safe as we are forecasting temps in the
middle 50s….Big changes coming Thanksgiving evening/night…. We shall see a 1003
MB low pressure system get going Southwestern MT…This is pegged to move in to
Northwestern SD/Southwestern ND, then it should move into Northwestern MN by Thursday
morning before pushing off into Canada…..This is forecasted to drag a sharp cold
front into the area by Thanksgiving afternoon/ early evening…Thanksgiving night
look for winds to pickup out of the West/Northwest….With temps falling into the
lower 30s…..Black Friday looks to be windy and cold with highs in the middle
30s then we should see them fall in the afternoon…..The upcoming weekend looks
colder than what we have seen over the last few days, highs slightly below
normal…..We still may have to trim the temps evening more that what we are
forecasting….Will worry about that on Wednesday….
***YOUR SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***
TODAY… Cloudy to partly cloudy early with some clearing
towards this evening. Highs 53 to 54. South/ Southeast winds 5 to 10 MPH
TONIGHT…Partly cloudy to clear skies, lows either side of
30.Winds becoming North/Northwest 5 to 10 MPH
TUESDAY…Mostly sunny. Highs 48 to 52. Winds North/Northwest
5 to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT…Mostly clear, lows 26 to 29.
WEDNESDAY….Sunny, warm highs 54 to 56
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…Partly cloudy, lows around 40
THANKSGIVING DAY…Mostly sunny with some increasing clouds in
the afternoon, highs 54 to 55
THURSDAY NIGHT…Partly cloudy, lows around 30s
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY… Partly cloudy with highs in the
30s while lows hang out in the lower to middle 20s.
***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION MONDAY THE 26TH
THROUGH DEC 5***
We start this period on the dry side which is no surprise there….On
the 28th we are watching a messy storm system trying to take shape
over the four corners area, we will see a warm front starting to push up into Southern
MN/WI giving that area all rain after
some light morning snow… Up here in our FA we will see over running so look for
mainly all snow with a mixture in our Southern areas. The 29th is
were all the problem rear their ugly heads….One model takes the storm system
way South which would keep the upper Midwest in all snow, while another model
takes the storm system through Southern MN towards Northeastern WI, which would
keep Southern MN and Central and Southern WI all rain…Points North of a line
from the Twin Cities MN to Eau Claire WI will see all snow….the 30th
through Dec 5th looks to be dry…Here we go again on model shows a
big warm up while another model keeps us in the cold air….Been a lot flip
flopping going…So Am not going to worry about the possible snowstorm/Am not
going to worry about if temps remain cold or warm up, until I see models come
closer in agreement.
