Thursday, December 1, 2011

Forecast will stand. Snowfall map will stand.

Am going to leave the ongoing forecast stand as is...Models today really not helping much,GFS still is way to South with the track of this system,While NAM and ECWMF have been hold the same track over the last few days...I really don't like Nam's output for QPF....However ongoing forecast and snowfall map was based more in the line with the ECWMF with a blend of NAM's QPF....The Gem model really hasn't been useful either....9 chances out of 10 I'm going to hold off on doing any major changes to the ongoing forecast, if needed it will be done tomorrow evening...Some of GFS memebers are slowly coming around to some with this storm system,seems like GFS is battling it's self now....Will leave snowfall map stand, there was some discussion about lowering some amounts way up North, and going an inch or two higher in the  South...Still looks like warm air may sneak into the far Southern areas to bring a mix on Saturday, and may even be a few hours of just plain rain in that area.This will hold down snowfall amounts...Central and Northern areas will be cold enough through the colum to produce all snow...
***TO RECAP***
Ongoing forecast stands..Snowfall map stands.... No changes are planed to the forecast....Changes will likely be map to snowfall map, reasons above...