Monday, March 25, 2013

Main story in the weather dept, this week is dry conditions and a slow warming trend.....Could see temps go slightly above normal by weeks end, however temps will avg below normal for this time of year....No big warm-ups as far as one can see.Thanks to the deep snow pack throughout much of the midwest and along with areas to our South/Southeast again...In fact could be dealing with a snow event come around the 3/4 of April....

***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At 10 AM skies range from sunny to mostly cloudy...Temps range from to middle to upper 20s....Winds are out of the North from 6 to 10 MPH.....

***FORECAST DISCUSSION(THIS WHOLE WEEK)

The jetstream remains well to our South and West...Currently The jet is diving out of Canada into the Western parts of ND, and SD Down into Northern TX, then heads back to the Northeast through Northern GA into NC.This has kept us in a Northwesterly flow for sometime...This is forecasted to flatten out some tomorrow, but will still be setup way to our South....Looking at the Satellite imagery we see clouds moving from the East/Northeast towards the West/Southwest, as the weather pattern remains in its blocky state of mind....Drier air as worked into our FA so do think the clouds will thin as the day goes along, Still should be enough clouds(partly cloudy) around to keep temps held down in the lower 30s for today...Low level moisture will aid in more clouds for tonight...Temps tonight should fall into the teens.....Tomorrow under more sun filled skies temps will warm a degree or two...Will fall back into the teens tomorrow night...Story here is we warm a degree or two each passing day this week in highs and lows...By Saturday we should hit the upper 30s to near 40, which is still well below normal by 7 degrees...Same hold true for Sunday...This March will go down as colder than normal and wetter than normal for the area....Looking for temps in the 50s one will have to head way into IA!

To sum this week up up.....Dry conditions with a very slow warming trend into the upcoming weekend.

Confidence level is high.

***FORECAST DISCUSSION(APRIL 1ST THROUGH APRIL 10TH)

Looks like April will keep seeing below normal temps through this time frame, with another shot at rain mixing and changing over to all snow on the 3/4th...Low pressure is forecasted to move Northeast from Central KS into Southeastern IA then into Southeastern WI...This low should draw up enough warm air to produce showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two to start with, cold air get sucked into this system rather fast...This will lead to rain mixing with and changing over to all snow for the area....After this system passes through look for drier conditions, before our next system moves into the area for the 9th/10th. Should see a rain/snow mix with this system...

Confidence level is mod to high.

***LOOKING INTO ALL OF APRIL***

This will be the month of transition....We should see temps running below normal right through the middle part of the month....Then a ray of hope....Temps looks to warm to above normal...Does appear to look like the real spring will begin to take over....However with that said this is so far out there in time, anything can happen....

Confidence level this far out is very low.