The upcoming work week will see temps start above normal,
then go below normal after Tuesday. We could also get into the same weather
pattern that has affected us yesterday and the Friday with insatiability showers
and maybe a thunderstorm here and there….Big story comes the week of the 17th
a weather pattern change is in the works for the FA….Big cool down and yes it
looks like we could see our first frost or we may come close to ending the
growing season….
***CURRENT CONDITIONS***
Across the area at 10:00 AM we see skies ranging from sunny
to partly cloudy….Temps upper 50s to lower 60s. Winds are light out of the
North from 3 to 7 MPH…..
*** SHORT & MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Two main concerns in the short/middle term forecast… 1 how
windy will it get for Monday and Tuesday…. 2 How high to go with temps on
Monday and Tuesday….
Today we should see more sun than clouds, still somewhat a
cool pool of air sitting overhead most of that has shifted to our East…So I
would except to see clouds and showers in far Eastern WI this afternoon. High
pressure is forecasted to build into the area…This will allow for a very nice
day across the Northwoods.Highs in the lower 70s throughout much of the area,
my far Southern areas could reach for the middle 70s. Winds will not be strong
today as they were yesterday afternoon. Tonight high pressure overhead will
allow for light winds, temps should fall easily into the lower to middle 40s….Only
reason why I’m not going with the upper 30s is our winds will become
South/Southeast this will allow for WAA to kick in tonight keeping the temps in
check. On Monday the high slips to our East/Southeast. A low pressure out west
the pressure gradient between the two will allow for our winds to pick up…Thinking
is as of right now the strongest winds will be found over in the Southwestern
part of MN…..Nevertheless we should see winds in our area from 15 to 20 MPH
with gust close to 30 MPH…Models still show rather breezy conditions for Tuesday
…II didn’t buy into the 30 MPH winds, how can buy into 10 to 20 MPH with gusts
close to 25 MPH…..This will allow for very warm conditions to overtake the area
Monday and Tuesday….Highs on Monday close to 80…. Highs on Tuesday middle 80s
to upper 80s will be possible…..If we would have more a of Southwest wind component
we could have seen temps pushing close to 90….However that is not the case….
A dry cold front pushes through the area on Tuesday night…This
gets hung up in the Southern areas…With the front being this close and a pool
of cool temps above sure can’t rule out some showers and maybe a storm or two
from Wednesday into Friday….Temps will have no were to go but down…Highs will
fall into the upper 60s to close to 70s….May see a day or two with temps in the
middle 60s..
***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Next weekend we start
with highs in the lower 70s our highs on Sunday the 16th look to be
around the upper 60s to lower 70s. Highs on Monday only in the upper 50s to
lower 60s.Dito for Tuesday. A little warmer on Wednesday the 19th with highs forecasted to be in the middle to
upper 60s.Temps cool back off on Thursday, back into the upper 50s to lower
60s. highs on Friday close to 60s with middle 60s far South. Same hold true for
Saturday the 22th. And Sunday the 23rd Monday
the 24 highs upper 40s to lower 50s….
Lows through this time frame will be in the 40s with some
nights dropping well into the 30s…Looks like we will see out first frost of the
fall, may even end our growing season over my Central and Northern parts of the
FA…..Looks like this period will be wet…Will be chances of showers along with
some thunderstorms…..However the main story will be the temps….Looking at the CPC
forecast…..Their 6 to 10 day outlook shows us below normal in temps.Their 8 to
14 day outlook keep us below normal…So that matches up with the long term
forecasting models….
