Thursday, October 18, 2012
Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI
Forecast concerns…… Will be the off and on light rain showers/drizzle/and fog through Friday night…..Then how warm to go with temps this weekend…..Is winter coming in the long range? It looks like it….
At 10:00 PM skies are cloudy with areas of fog throughout the FA….Temps range from the upper 30s to middle 40s under calm winds….
***SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
A very strong SFC/Upper level low is still forecasted to keep spinning over MN through Friday, it will start to get licked off to the Southeast of the FA down into Southeastern WI by 23Z Friday…..This will insure the FA will stay under the clouds/drizzle.fog/and light rain showers through this time frame…..Winds will not be a problem as they are forecasted to remain over parts of Western MN and ND/SD along with NE and Western IA….
For Saturday we will a 1010 MB high pressure system building into the area…This will set the stage for a very nice weekend….Saturday highs will depend how fast the fog and low clouds burn off…..Thinking as of right now to run with middle to upper 50s throughout the whole FA…..Sunday will be the warmest day…Highs should shoot up into the middle to upper 60s Central and Northern areas, while my Southern areas should reach the upper 60s to lower 70s…Lows through this time frame will range from the upper 30s to lower 40s…
***MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
We will see another system move into the area starting Sunday night….Clouds will begin to increase….Monday through Wednesday we will see off and on showers…..Highs will remain in the upper 50s to lower 60s….While lows in the 40s…..To hard to time the chances of rain, so will just have rain showers everyday throughout this time frame….
***LONG TERM FORECAST THURSDAY 25TH THROUGH SATURDAY NOV 3RD ***
We see a 1005 MB low pressure system getting its act together over Eastern CO…Later in the day the low deepens to around 1002 as it pushes towards Southeastern SD…The low is forecasted to deepen further more as it pushes to the head of Lake Superior…Should see the low around 994 MBS..The low then deepens to around 980 MBS as it pushes into the Western UP of MI…..This will create strong Northeasterly winds across the FA..Will also see rain showers across the FA could see one or two thunderstorms on Friday as well…..Friday night as the low pulls off to the Northeast it is forecasted to drag a cold front through the area….Some light rain should mix with and change over to all light now Friday night at the 540 line is forecasted to move South of the FA…Saturday the 27th we see a break in the action before the next system moves toward the area….Late Saturday night we could see some light snow moving into the area this will hold right through Sunday…..Monday through Tuesday looks to be dry but cooler than normal…..Next chance of snow comes back into play for the 31st The rest of this time frame should remain dry……
So to sum it the long range forecast temps will be cold with off and chances of snow! No real warm air seen in the long range….Could winter be starting and staying? Time will tell….
Our winter forecast will be out tomorrow!! If you love snow I think you will love this forecast!!!!