Monday, December 21, 2009

Major winter storm looks more likely

Once again this forecast discussion will focus on the possible major winter storm that looks more likely to effect the area from Wed night through out much of Christmas day....


Looking at the latest ECMWF computer run...Am still seeing what looks likely to be a major winter storm for the Christmas holiday.....Strong low pressure is forecasted to get it's act going over NM then it is forecasted to race into TX and should deepen to around 998 MBS..Low then races into Northeast KS/Southwest IA...still under goes more intensification down to 989 MBS...Low pushes into Northeast IA/ Southwest WI..Then is pushes Northeast through towards the Green Bay area before moving into the Northeast part of the UPI of MI.....This system has plenty of moisture to work with...This system also looks to be a wind jammer with pressure gradients increasing between the area of low pressure and a strong 1034 MB high pressure to our Northwest....This will cause near blizzard conditions if not blizzard conditions through out the forecast area....Could see thundersnow as the system really cranks up over the Midwest..This system has the possibility to become one of winter's most dangerous storms.With this being the Christmas holiday timing on this is bad....This system could produce 12 + inches of snow through out much of the area...Would not be shocked to be upping this to 15+ inches of snow (closer to 2 feet of snow) if things keep coming in line.....

Without going into much details the other models I use are also slowly coming into line with good old reliable ECMWF.....

If one has travel plans through out Wednesday night through Christmas day,you will want to keep up with the latest info on this possible dangerous winter storm....If this pans out this system has the makings to become one hum dinger of a storm...This thing could become a deadly winter storm....Snow will be wet and heavy per models,which could cause power outages...Will go deeper into details on that tonight after work...

Keep up to date of this major winter storm by tuning into your local news media or the internet...Also keep checking back to this blog as I will try to have two updates each day.....This is one storm we all hope not see for the Christmas holiday..With any luck this system will not pan out.....