Forecast problems…..Once again tomorrow there will a chance
of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms around….Better chance
tomorrow night as WAA kicks in full gear….Temps will be somewhat problematic
for the weekend, more on this later…..
CURRENT CONDITIONS……
At 11:00PM skies range from clear to partly cloudy…..Temps
are in the upper 50s to lowers 60s….. Winds are calm ti light from the
East/Northeast….
*** FORECAST DISCUSSION ***
Look for the same setup tomorrow as we have seen over the
last few days…..A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the
afternoon…..Tomorrow night a shortwave is forecasted to move into Northern MN….WAA
will kick into high gear this will aid in more showers and thunderstorms Thursday
night into the early morning hours of Friday… Shortwave will still hang around
for Friday afternoon….Here is where things could get a little interesting…..Depending
if storms get going in MN and if they can hold their own, which ATTM conditions
looks like they could/should……This storms could effect parts of my Central and
Northern areas….Some of these storms could be on the strong side to even lower
end severe…..Still feel the main severe weather threat should stay over in
Central and Northern MN for Friday afternoon……Highs on Friday should flirt with
80…….Saturday and Sunday…. We will see tons of sunshine……No showers or storms are forecasted, as the atmosphere
will be capped due to very warm temps aloft…..850 MB temps 15 to 20c will mean
a hot two days on tap…..Temps will reach for the 90 degree mark this weekend…If
we get some high to middle clouds to drift in temps will them be in the upper
80s….Dewpoints are forecasted to be in the 60s….So looks like a great weekend
on or in the lakes…..
Sunday night a cold front is forecasted to march across MN…This
will fire off thunderstorms…..Storms should form into a line…..This line of
storms should march its way through my FA Sunday night into the early Monday
morning hours……Can’t rule out a few strong to severe thunderstorms…..Though
with the frontal boundary forecasted to come through after prime-time SFC
heating is over….Monday afternoon could be interesting as another cold front/ Shortwave drops Southeast
into the area……We could see a better chance of severe thunderstorms then,
however thermodynamics look a tad weak ATTM….Something we will keep a close eye
on though….
*** MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
Tuesday will be colder than normal with highs in the upper
60s to lower 70s…..Same holds for Wednesday and Friday. There will a chance of
a few showers and thunderstorms for Wednesday….Overall the big weather story
will be the colder temps and lower dewpoints….Which will be welcomed after this
weekend….
***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
We will issue this tomorrow……