Saturday, September 13, 2008

Your local forecast and an update on Ike

Once again I used my AFD from the firm I forecast for....So you will see I talk about MN also.

Looks to be a wet day for the Northwoods...Nothing to heavy though....Fog still a problem this early morning....
Current Conditions...
Looking at the SFC OBS,temps are ranging from the lower to middle 40 to as warm as the middle 50s across the area...Fog is also being reported at most stations...Some vis. have been down to 1/4 mile...Radar is showing an area of showers in the following Counties of MN....Clearwater,Becker,Hubbard,Cass,Wadena,Otter Tail...This area of showers is moving Northeast...More showers are showing up over and to the South/Southwest of the Twin Cities into Western parts of WI....Some of these showers are already moving into Southern Polk County and Southern Barron County....These showers are also moving Northeast....
Today and tonight....
Shortwave/cold front has been and will keep spawning showers through out much of the day into tonight...Can't rule out an iso thunderstorms or two,though doesn't look good for that...Rainfall amounts don't look the best.So have plan B ready to go into effect....I did lower temps from the previous forecast...As more clouds and rain will hold temps down.
Sunday and Sunday Night...
Another shortwave will be heading for the area...This will also drag a cold front into and through the forecast area Sunday night...More light rain is forecasted....Sunday night skies should become partly cloudy as the frontal boundary races of to our East....Not to concerned about frost for tonight....However Monday night/Tuesday morning looks to be a frosty one in our colder spots..Will watch this and update in tomorrow's forecast...
Rest of the work week...
Large high pressure/mid to upper level ridge sits over the Western 2/3s of the Country...This will ensure the FA dry conditions with warming temps each day.........
The way it appears right now Ike will not have a impact on the FA..
Lets talk about Ike...
Ike made landfall as a strong cat 2 hurricane early this morning stronger than I forecasted..Ike made Landfall near Galveston TX......So the track was right one...
....Ike will ride Northeast along a cold front currently located from Southern WI down into the TX Panhandle...The cold front is forecasted to reach Southern MI down into Central OK and into the Northwest 1/3rd of TX by the early Sunday's time frame by 12z Sunday the front should have pushed into the OH /TN Valleys then reaching down into the Easter 1/3 of TX...The cold front will pick Ike up and move him into OK..Around 12z Monday Ike should be near Southern IN still moving Northeast long the frontal boundary towards the Northeastern States...12z Tuesday Ike will have should be centered just of the Coast of ME..