Saturday, May 2, 2009

AFD

Inherited FSCT looks to be right on track...I did tweak temps up some,That was about it....

CURRENT CONDITIONS.....

Temps this morning starting out in the lower to middle 30s...Some returns showing up on the radar,mainly over my far Northern WI Counties,along with my Northeastern Counties..Satellite showing that area locked under clouds this morning...Rest of the FA under ptly cldy skies.....

SFC ANALYSIS......

This morning we see a cdfnt through the Southern tier of Canada....FA remain under the pesky cyclonic flow once again today...Large ridge of high pressure is located over the Northern Plains this morning...Meantime a cdfnt reaches from TX up through Southern PA....Showers and thunderstorms shall be had along and ahead of ahead of this bndry..Some storms could become severe in them areas....

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

With our FA under the cyclonic flow and very cold temps aloft little SFC will kick of more instby showers..Pattern just about the same as yesterday...Some mixing down will cause temps to a couple degrees warming today...Winds up North in MN could become rather gusty through out the day...up to 25 MPH at times...Rest of the FA should see winds gusting up to 20 MPH.From the W/NW....CDFNT will ease through the areas tonight ending rain chances...This will also allow for skies to become ptly cldy..Winds will lighten up as pressure grads decrease....

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY....

High pressure take control of the FA with early strong May sun,along with winds becoming South this will help bring temps into the 60s most areas...I have bumped temps up some to reflect this...I still may have to go higher in the Southern areas,as latest guidance's showing temps closer to 70 in them areas....For now will stay the coarse..

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase,as we see some systems moving along the Canadian border...Timing on these aren't going to be easy,nevertheless I did paint the whole FA with showers and thunderstorms through out the period...Temps shall stay in the 60s for the most part..Will be cooler around the shores of Lake Superior...40s/50s should work out fine there.....

LONG TERM.....

I did leave it stand for the most part...I did add a chance of showers/thunderstorms in for Sunday...If the system picks up a little more speed may have to add chances to Saturday's fcst...