Forecast

Forecast problems...Temps,winds,frost for tonight,and the chance of strong to severe thunderstorms over mainly my Central and Southern zones for Sunday afternoon into the early evening hours....

CURRENT CONDITIONS.....

Temps at this 10 AM hour rather cool....upper 40s to upper 50s across the FA..Skies are mainly sunny...Winds rather gusty at this hour also....

SFC ANALYSIS....

CDFNT that brought showers and a few thunderstorms to the area yesterday evening into the over night hours as push into far Southern WI,with a 1006 MB low pressure...Meanwhile a 1019 MB high pressure over Southern Canada.......

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.....

1019 MB high pressure will be in control of the our weather through this period...Winds will be rather gusty through out the day,already have been seeing this at the 9 AM hour through out the FA....Temps still below norms for this time of year....Tonight SFC high sits over head...Winds will become calm and skies MSTLY CLR....Models showing very cold air for this time of year making camp through out the FA...With light winds and MSTLY CLR skies this will lead to the formation of widespread frost for my Central and Northern areas of MN,and all of my Northern areas of WI...This could end up being a killing frost for said areas..More details on that in the HWD....

SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.....

Temps reach for the middle 70s across my Southern and Central zones while my Northern areas hold onto the 60s....High pressure will be fast to move out of the area allowing return flow out ahead of our next system...CDFNT is forecasted to move into the area Sunday afternoon and through the FA by early Sunday evening..Dewpoints head into the middle 50s maybe lower 60s in the Central and Southern zones of MN,and WI...Lapse rates are rather steep through these area up to 7.5 C..Wind shear is rather impressive..up to 35-40 KTS....This shall lead to the formation of showers and thunderstorms...Some of these thunderstorms could become strong to severe along the CDFNT in the afternoon....Should see more in away of a line of storms get going in the afternoon,then race Eastwards....Main threat from any severe thunderstorms appear to be hail,and gusty winds ATTM...With that said may see a tornado or two with the storm imitation...Still my thinking on that...That would be down in Southern MN/IA.....

LONG TERM......

Over all looks to be a cool and dry FCST period....Next chance of showers/thunderstorms come back onto the track about Thur...I did hold onto the chances of showers/and storms right through next Sunday.....