Sunday, May 17, 2009

Forecast

Temps through out this up coming work week will be up and down..No real big lasting warm ups or long lasting cold temps...Also there will be a chance of off and on showers and storms....Some storms on Monday could become strong...Details on that below..

CURRENT CONDITIONS...

Temps are making a nice recovery after a rather chilly night..Upper 30s and lower 40s @ this 8 AM hour...Most of the FA winds are light...Satellite data reviles most clear skies...Some clouds noted over far Northeastern MN and parts of Northwestern WI...

SFC ANALYSIS....

1029 MB high pressure over Northern MO this morning..Cold front that blasted through the FA on Friday is now well East and South....

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

High pressure is forecasted to move Southeast, this will allow a return flow to kick back in WAA will slowly start today...Temps shall be warmer today than yesterday....60s look to be good bet to place...Tonight WAA really cranks ups so added showers and storms in parts of my MN zones....Thinking right now is my WI zones should remain dry....

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.....

Things get a little interesting Mon late afternoon into the evening for Eastern parts of my MN zones,as well as all of my WI zones...CDFNT pushing into the area...Thinking is models are over doing the moisture return..This would be a big factor on whether thunderstorms would become strong to severe,however There will be plenty of SFC heating and steep Lapse rates along with some rather good veering of the wind field...All in all right now Am not thrilled about this set up..Still there is a small chance that some of the thunderstorms that fire could reach the lower severe weather thresholds...Main threat would be some hail and gusty winds..Monday night front clears the FA...Temps will cool back of for Tuesday....

LONG TERM....

Another shot of showers and thunderstorms are forecasted for Wed's time frame,as another cold front pushes into and through the area...Temps should be warmer on Wed.....Will keep things dry for the upcoming weekend ATTM...Will run with temps in the 70s for highs,and 40s for lows....