Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.

Not really a bad looking for forecast in the short term and milled term next early next week… No winter storms in the books right through Thanksgiving. Though it will be getting colder next week.


At this 10 AM hr. Skies are partly cloudy to Sunny throughout the FA… Satellite confirms this…. Temps are in the lower to middle 30s…. Winds are out of the North/Northwest ranging from 7 to around 12 MPH… Ashland is reporting winds gusting up to 18 MPH… Despite the sunshine, winds are making the temps feel cooler… Windchill values are ranging from the lower 20s to upper 20s..


996 MB lower pressure centered just Northwest of NY along with a SFC high pressure building into ND/SD in between is my FA winds today will remain out of the North/Northwest… Not looking for temps to warm a whole lot do to CAA and winds blowing over a rather deep snow pack to our North/Northwest…. Satellite is showing an area of clouds over MN this is forecasted to drift into the area today, this will also keep temps in check…. Highs mainly in the lower to middle 30s …. Low pressure system moving well North of the FA tonight through Thursday night is forecasted to bring a return flow and WAA into the area.. Tonight’s lows should bottom out in the upper teens to lower 20s.. However if we see more breaks in the cloud towards morning temps may fall more….Winds become South/Southeast tomorrow however temps will remain rather cool as WAA really doesn’t lick in until the evening hrs…. So will run temps in the lower 30s as there should be a few more clouds around…. Thursday night WAA cranks up under cloudy skies so thinking lows won’t be as cold with middle to upper 20s…… Friday looks to start warm, then temps should be falling as a cold front pushes into and through the area…. Winds are going to become a problem… Should see them switch from the South/Southwest to more of a West/Northwest in the morning hrs….. Winds will become rather strong 10 to 20 MPH, with gusts close to 30 MPH at times… Should find the higher gusts in our wind prone areas….. Temps in the middle 30s before falling in the afternoon…. Here is a problem for Friday night… Thinking is as of right now to run with temps in the middle teens, however if we get skies to clear off temps could easy fall into the lower teens… Also another player in the game shall be the snow pack, that’s if there is any left around the area or towards or Northwest….. That part may have to be adjusted in the short term forecast if needed…..

Saturday…. Temps should be in the lower 30s under mostly cloudy skies… Will bring a chance of light snow into the forecast for Saturday night as a low pressure system stays to our North.. Will run with a chance of light snow for Saturday night also, temps fall back into the middle to upper 20s… Sunday we could see some light rain mix in with the light snow from time to time… 996 MB is forecasted to take shape over Northwestern part of CO Sunday…. The low is forecasted to lift Northeast towards Door County WI, as it does the ECMWF weakens the low to 1003 MBS GFS model on the other hand shows the low moving more West…. Still looks like not a lot of moisture with this system.....Once again no winter storms in this forecast cycle…. Temps do get colder through next week as an Arctic air mass builds into the area…. We could see our first below zero readings coming in the middle/end of next week with highs in the lower teens……