Monday, October 3, 2011

The forecast for Western & Northwestern WI

Nice warm dry forecast…Temps should be above normal for this time of year, with dry conditions….This will lead to a fire danger…. Next chance of showers comes in for the weekend,looks slim as or right now…..

The mild and dry conditions will camp out over the FA this week and next week. Does look like a weather pattern chance is in store for the end of the long term forecast.

***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At 7 AM temps range from the middle 30s North to the middle 40s South and West….Skies are clear with light to calm winds….Some fog being reported at a few stations.

***SHORT AND MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Sure is not much to talk about in this period… Large ridge of high pressure will camp out over the area this week…. This will allow for dry and mild conditions to preside through week….Upper level ridge is forecasted to push off to the Southeast of the FA this weekend, this will allow for a weak system to move into the FA for this weekend….Will have a slight chance of showers for Sat night through Monday…. Still may pull this out of the FA,unless we can get better moisture flow back into the area. With the dry conditions forecasted fire danger will be on the increase….Winds don’t appear to be a problem, which will be a good thing….

***YOUR SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***

TODAY and TONIGHT.... Sunny highs 70 to 75,Clear tonight with lows 40 to 45.

TUESDAY and TUESDAY NIGHT..... Sunny highs 70 to 75. Lows 45 to 50 under clear skies.

WEDNESDAY and WEDNESDAY NIGHT..... Sunny highs 70 to 75…. Lows 45 to 50 under clear skies.

THURSDAY and THURSDAY NIGHT.... Mostly sunny highs 70 to 75…Lows 50 to 55 with clear skies.

FRIDAY and FRIDAY NIGHT.... PC highs 70 to 75… Lows 53 to 58.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny, highs 70 to 75..

SATURDAY NIGHT… PC a slight chance of showers, lows 50 to 55.

SUNDAY and SUNDAY NIGHT..... PC with a slight chance of showers, highs 65 to 70…Lows 50 to 55.

MONDAY.... PC slight chance of showers, highs 65 to 70.

***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Once again not much to talk about here…. Once the weak system clears the area Monday, a large area of high pressure is forecasted to move back overhead setting the stages for another dry and mild period… There are singles in the long term models that a pattern chance is on its way for the end of this cycle. A strong cold front is forecasted to move into and through the area on the 16th/17th time frame.This is forecasted to draw colder air back into the FA… The 540 line sets up well to our West/Northwest so no snow is forecasted!!.

***YOUR LONG TERM FORECAST***

TUESDAY 11TH THROUGH SUNDAY THE 16TH …..Dry and mild highs will range from 65 to 75, with lows ranging from 45 to 60…..

MONDAY 17th … Chance of showers highs 50 to 55 lows 35 to 40.

TUESDAY 18th … Chance of showers highs 45 to 50 lows 35 to 40.

WEDNESDAY 19th... Chance of showers highs 45 to 40 lows 35 to 40.