Sunday, October 26, 2008

Forecast,Winds,and light snow

Note...Did see the first snowflakes of the seasion...Had a little snow shower move through the area about 15 mins ago.....


Forecast right on track,no big changes needed...Will make this forecast discussion easy on myself today.
Current Conditions...
SFC OBS and radar showing areas of light snow through out the FA..Temps have been falling through out the early morning hours..Still in the 40s so there still is some light rain reported....Winds still not to bad attm but in our Western FA of MN they are starting to pick up where gust have been reported up to 36 MPH..Over in our WI Zones winds have been gusting up to from 23 to 28 MPH...
Analysis...
Strong cold front has pushed through the area...Wind have been picking up this morning....Strong 983 MB low pressure is centered over the Southwestern part of Hudson Bay Canada..We also find a few shortwaves pin wheeling around the low pressure.These shortwaves will move into and through the area through Monday..This will cause light snows for all of the FA,for the most part little or no snow accumulations are excepted.....Though we could see 1 to 2 inches in our far Northern Counties of MN..Elsewhere's I would not be shocked to see the ground turn white at times...Now lets talk about the LES....Far Northern Ashland,Bay Field,and Iron Counties could pick up 3 to 7 inches of snow by Monday evening...The winter storm watch that was in effect has been drop,however the NWS has a issued a Lake effect snow advisory for the said Counties above.....What is interesting,though we see it every year...The bigger lakes in MN and WI...could also produce some LES,though lighter but still anyone down winds from these lakes could see a tap bit more snowfall....One of the lakes in Barron County I know rather well can produce LES, if the wind sets up just right, is Beaver Dam so we will watch this also,for LES around the bigger lakes through out our FA...Winds will become strong...Still Could see winds gusts up to 40 to MPH through tonight...Winds do slack off some over in our Northern areas of MN,while remaining rather strong over our Southern areas and all of our WI zones...
The next few day will remain rather cold..However a big warm up in the forecast by middle to weeks end...Temps back into the lower to middle 50s...Would not be shocked to see a few 60s reported....