Saturday, October 18, 2008

My forecast discussion

Not to much to really talk about this go around....Off and on chances of precip starting tomorrow then again on Wednesday of next week...Temps will be warmer today and tomorrow,however cooling back of as we push through the upcoming work week...
Current Conditions....
Temps have really cooled off last night and into this early morning...Middle to upper 30s found across our MN FA..A few spots along the Lake are reporting temps in the upper 20s...Over in our WI FA temps range from the lower 30s to the upper 20s...Looking at the satellite image we find clouds over our Northern areas of MN and far parts of Northwestern WI..We also see areas of fog showing up rather well on the fog imagery...All this is also confirmed by the SFC OBS,other than that clear to partly cloudy skies rule elsewhere's....
Today through tonight....
SFC analysis showing a 1027 MB high pressure centered over Southern MN/Southwestern WI as we get on the return flow WAA has/will kick in as Southerly winds bring in a little warmer air into the area..Will run with a dry forecast as dry air is in place in the boundary level area....Could see some showers get going tonight as we slowly start to moist up...Still looks to be dry for the most part...
Sunday through Sunday night...
Computer models pushing a cold front into the area at a rather fast clip...Will run with a chance of showers..Still really not thrilled about rainfall amounts with the speed of said cold front..
Monday through Tuesday night....
High pressure is forecasted to take control of our weather,setting the stage for a nice Monday and Tuesday....Will bring showers into the forecast for our MN FA Tuesday night,however I have elected to keep my WI FA dry...
Wednesday through Friday...
Low pressure is forecasted to move into the area this will ensure us the chance at rain showers through the period..Thinking is as of right now this should be all rain,however we will watch this as winter critical thickness values are going to be close...May have to add some snow wording into the forecast for Wednesday night and again on Thursday night...Still not thrilled about that just yet....