Forecast problems will focus on tonight's snowfall over our far Eastern parts of our WI Counties,Mainly Barron,Price,Rusk,and Sawyer..Fog this morning with mixed percip.....Temps are another concern for the long term...
Current Conditions....
Temps starting off rather warm this morning...Upper 20s to lower to middle 30s..Fog still remains a problem through out the FA..
Winds are starting to back to the Southwest to Northwest except that trend through the morning hours..Fog slowly to also lift this morning..Radar is showing some light returns over Northwestern part of St. Louis County MN...SFC reports showing some light freezing drizzle and light snow...This is moving off to the Northeast and should be in Canada in the next couple of hours....
SFC Analysis....
Cold front is now moving through parts of our WI Counties..This will also clear out of our Northeastern Counties of MN...Low pressure over North Central MN with cold front reaching back to a 1000 MB low pressure over OK...This will be the topic of most of this discussion....
Today through tonight....
First off we need to address this morning's fog....Fog has been quite dense through the over night hours..Fog should be on the way out this morning as winds pick up speed and bring in a little drier air..Cold front that is currently over the area should be over Eastern WI by 12z today...Low pressure over OK is forecasted by the models to move Northeast rather fast..By 18z today the low should be over Northern MO..By 00z Sunday said low should be over Southern WI between a Madison and Janesville area..By 06z Sunday said low should have pushed into Western MI...With the track of the low more to the West and North than forecasted yesterday this will push the snow line more North and West than thought..Meanwhile as the low pressure moves Northeast it is forecasted to deepen to around 996 MBS as it pushes into Southern WI....As it reaches Western MI the low is forecasted to deepen to around 985 MBS...We may have to increase wind speeds for later tonight into Sunday...Will hold off on that for now, and see what some more model runs show....As of right now it would appear that our Eastern Counties of our WI FA should see from 2 to 4 inches of snow tonight there will be a fast cut off line...Central and Eastern Barron County and points East and Northeast could pick up 2 to 4 inches while our Western part of Barron County and points West and Northwest,and our neighbor Polk County may not see anything more than 1 inch,maybe two inches if they are lucky....If the track goes a tad more West/North said areas could pick up 2 to 4 inches,while Central and Eastern Barron County and points East and Northeast could pick up 3 to 5 inches...Will keep an eye on this through out the day...As time is still on our side to decide how to handle this....
Monday through Tuesday....
A weak like clipper system is forecasted to move into North Central MN by 12 z Monday...Will be forced to keep snow wording in the forecast,Mainly our Northern areas......
Longer term....
We are watching a system that could be effecting the area late in the up coming short work week...Right now my confidence level is really low with this system so will hold off on details for now....This does system will be needed to watch close though.
Pop Pop Heaven
4 years ago
