Sunday, December 28, 2008

Forecast/not seeing eye to with the NWS on this one!

Forecast headaches for short term and middle term...Arctic air.....Snow chances...Winds....

Current Conditions...

SCF OBS showing that temps really took a hit last night...At this hour we find temps well below zero through out much of our MN FA..Over in WI temps hanging onto the teens above...Still some light snow/flurries at this hour but mainly clear skies our found over are Western into our Central FA of MN..Over in WI skies range from PC to MC with some light snow/flurries being reported at this hour...

SFC ANALYSIS...

Strong low pressure is centered over far Northwestern MI this morning,meanwhile 1007 MB high pressure over Southern Manitoba/Ontario Canada..We also see our next system over Western Alberta Canada This is showing up rather well on the WV...

Today through Monday..

Storm system that has brought all the severe thunderstorm activity to our Southern and Central States is forecasted to keep pulling Northeast into Canada..Any light snow/flurries that are still around shall be ending rather soon...Weak ridge of high pressure builds into the area...This should push any remaining snow/clouds out of the area,setting us up for a rather peaceful day...We will be watching a 1004 MB low pressure dropping into MT today...This low is forecasted to move into far Eastern ND by 06z Monday than to Lake Superior by 12z Monday....This will be a shot at 1 to 3 inches of snow across our Northern areas of MN tonight into early Monday morning..Winds will also become a problem as pressure gradients increase between the 1004 MB low and a 1024 MB high pressure to our Northwest...Would not be surprised to see winds gust up to and above 30 MPH at times...Mainly over our Central and Northern areas of MN and Northern WI....20 to 25 MPH wind gusts possible over the rest of the FA for tonight and Monday....Monday we get a break in the snow for the most part...

Monday night through Tuesday...

Things get interesting...Looks like our Central and Southern areas of the FA could be dealt a card for accumulating snows...Still a little early to pin down the amounts,and locations,However the way it stands right now looks like points South of a line from Brainerd MN to Hayward WI could be in the range of 6 plus inches of snow...Taking a look at the HPC snow forecast they agree..We will see what happens....

Wednesday through Thursday...

Another break in the action for Wednesday,We are still watching a system that could bring more accumulating snow to parts of the FA....
Arctic air try's to take hold of the FA through out this whole forecast cycle...A roller coaster ride in the temp dept is forecasted...Still nothing like the last cold snap we had...So temps should avg to right around either side of the norms.Daytime highs in the teens to 20s while night time lows below zero to the upper single digits for the most part...