Thursday, August 6, 2009

Forecast

Forecast problems over the next few days...Temps,along with the severe thunderstorm possibility...

First of lets talk about the temps....

Temps today will be a degree or two warmer than yesterday...Should see highs around the 75 to 80 degree mark...Which is still running below norms for this time of year....Lows tonight fall back down into the lower to middle 50s across my FA.....Temps on Friday will for the most part stay in the 60s...Middle to upper 60s seem plausible will have more on that later...This weekend temps don't warm up as high as I have been hearing...No big heat wave in sight this weekend,however Sunday does look to be the warmest day with highs into the middle 80s....Meantime highs on Saturday hold in the upper 70s to around 80...Lows this weekend shall be warm and humid middle to upper 60s...

Lets talk about the possibility of severe thunderstorms or should I say lack of severe thunderstorms....

Showers and thunderstorms will be in the forecast for Thursday night as MCS form...One area looks to be right through the FA,while the other is way to our South...Some of the thunderstorms tonight could produce rainfall from 0.25 to as much as 0.50..Friday Showers and thunderstorms will still be hanging around the area as a frontal boundary tries to push Northwards....Thinking is with all the showers and storms around if MCS do form....Even if they don't with all the clouds around this shall keep the severe thunderstorm threat at bay...SPC does have my FA under a slight risk of severe storms...Not buying into this ATTM...Now Friday as the nocturnal LLJ increases may see some stronger thunderstorms through out the FA,maybe an ISO severe storm..Chances rather low...Saturday still not to thrilled about severe thunderstorms though there may be on or two severe thunderstorms through out my FA...To early to pinpoint where that may happen....Will depend on how far the warm front moves North....Still a lot of questions....Also cloud cover will keep the severe weather threat in check....Sunday into Sunday evening may be out best chance at seeing severe thunderstorms as a cold front moves towards and through the area...However chances still look rather low....So AM not buying in the SPC and the NWS thinking just yet....