Saturday, August 22, 2009

Nice weekend on tap....

Fall morning this morning....Temps here at the Weather Center in the middle 40s...45.3 ...Nice weekend on tap of the FA..Forecast problems come in on Monday...Details below.....

CURRENT CONDITIONS.....

Cool fall morning across the FA temps...Cold spot is Hayward there are reporting 39° at this 4 AM hour...That may drop a few more degrees as we head toward sunrise..Warm spot is Chippewa they are showing a temp of 52°...Dewpoints this morning are hold close to the air temps,this has kicked of some areas of fog this early morning..Winds are light to calm which aided in the fog formation...This shows up rather well on the fog imagery and the 4 km fog/reflectivity imagery...

SFC ANALYSIS.....

This morning's weather map shows a 1021 MB High pressure sitting over ND,extending down into Southern NE/Northern KS...Cold front that cleared the area on Thursday is now into the Eastern States...Our next weather maker is a CLDFNT now pushing into MT Central ID then reaching back into Northern CA....Also we find a 1008 MB low pressure just North of the MT area.......

TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT....

High pressure will rule with an iron fist this weekend,bringing dry conditions to the area under MSTLY sunny skies..Winds will also be light....Highs today shall range from the upper 60s North to around 73-74 South....On Sunday highs will range from the lower to upper 70s across the FA....Lows tonight shall dip back down to the middle 40s to upper 40s Central and Southern areas....While my Northern areas could fall back into the upper 30s once again...Would not be shocked at all to see a few frost reports in my colder areas of my Northern FA.....Winds will remain light this should lead to more fog formation...Lows on Sunday night shall range from the middle 40s North to middle 50 Central to the middle to upper 50s South....

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.....

Temps through this time frame head for the lower 80s....While lows hold in the lower to middle 60s Monday night and fall into the middle to upper 50s for Tuesday night....That was the easy part....Now lets talk about thunderstorm chances.....CLDFNT/Shortwave will be moving into the FA...Looking at the H7 temps on Monday looks like we will a rather strong cap in place keeping thunderstorms at bay until around Monday evening as the cap begins to weaken...H7 temps range from 12c to as warm as 14c during the day Monday...Monday evening into Monday night cap weakens to allow for showers and thunderstorms to form also LLJ kicks in so we may be dealing with an MCS..Some thing we will have to watch....Tuesday the CLDFNT/Shortwave should be pushing through the area during the mid morning hrs...Still should have showers and thunderstorms around the area...This should clear the Northern and Central areas by late Tuesday afternoon,and clear the Southern areas in the early to mid evening hrs...This will set the stage for just MSTLY CDLY skies Tuesday night.....

LONG TERM FCST....(REST OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK)...

Back to a dry period....Highs shall range from the lower to middle 70s,with lows ranging from the upper 40s to lower 50s.....