Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI...This has changed some..

Last warm day we see until about Wednesday....Will push the frost threat back into Tuesday night,as Monday night look to be to windy for frost formation...More on that later....Temps do warm back up close to norms,however a stronger push of cold air is in store for next weekend....

SFC ANALYSIS....

This morning we find a very strong 992 MB low pressure system over Northern Canada...Meantime a cold front extends from the low into Central ND then curves back Northwest into Central to NW MT...We also find the system that brought rain to the area on Friday and some left over clouds to the most of the Central and Northern/Eastern areas is now over MI....

TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT....

Low pressure is FCST to move drop out of Northern Canada..Low is FCSTD to deepen to around 988 as it pushes just North of Lake Superior by later today....This will be dragging a CLD FNT into and through the area this afternoon....Temps will be warm this morning then start to fall after the CLD FNT moves through..Will run with a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon..SFC heating should get under way this morning with partly CLDY skies...Dewpoints in the 50s...This should allow for mod INSTBY to form over the FA...Steep Lapse rates will also be in place through most of my Northeastern FA....May see a few severe thunderstorms over parts of Iron,Price,and Taylor Counties and points to the East of there..Main severe weather threat looks to be large hail and areas of damaging winds...Around the rest of the FA non severe thunderstorms possible along the CLD FNT.....Winds today will be rather gust even out ahead of the frontal boundary...Main show for winds will be later today through Monday night...Winds later today over the FA could gust up to 30 MPH with sustained winds from 20 to 25 MPH...Would not be shocked to hear of non thunderstorm wind damage later today....Highs today middle 70s South to the lower 70s Central to the middle to upper 60s North....Tonight will have to keep a slight chance of showers going through my Southern and Central areas...Better chance in my Northern areas...Winds will be a problem tonight with gusts once again up to 30 MPH through out my Southern and Central areas....My Northern Counties could see winds gust closer to 40 MPH as they are closer to the low....Lows tonight will fall into the 40 through out the FA.....Monday will still keep rain showers alive as the low dives Southeast into MI with wrap around moisture coming into play....Highs on you last Monday of Sept will be cold...Highs won't climb out of the 50s....Upper 50s South to middle 50 Central and Northern areas....Winds still will have a strong bite to them...Sustained winds of 20 to 25 MPH with gust up to 30 to 35 MPH in my Southern and Central areas...While my far Northern Counties could see winds gust up to 50 MPH...Monday night....Winds still gusty up to 25 MPH....Temps do fall into the upper 30s under partly CLDY skies....With winds remaining strong temps should remain warm enough to keep frost at bay.....

TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT....

Looks to be a rather peaceful day through out the FA winds will be lighter and skies will be sunny....Highs on Tuesday in the middle 50s North to to the upper 50s Central and lower 60s South....Tuesday night under clear skies and light winds temps will drop like a large rock into lake...Lows in the North could reach the upper 20s to lower 30s so..Could see our first killing frost up there...My Central area temps fall into the middle 30s...Am going to cut them even lower for points North of a Balsam Lake to Cameron to Bruce line..Were temps here could fall into the lower 30s...Most of them areas have already see their first frost back in August....So this may also be their first killing frost...Points South of that line middle 30s seem to be plausible..My Southern areas will run with middle to upper 30s....

REST OF THE WORK WEEK.....

Temps warm back up into the lower to middle 60s through out the area then cool back off into the 50s for the upcoming weekend lows in the 40s to lower 50s ...Then 30s once again for the weekend...