Friday, July 2, 2010

Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

A good kite flying day today and tomorrow...Also temps will keep their upward climb reaching for the 90 degree mark for Saturday..


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At this 9 AM hr temps are in the lower to middle 70s throughout the FA...Dewpoints are in the upper 50s to lower 60s... Winds are out of the South/Southwest from 10 to 15 MPH with a few stations reporting gusts up to 20 MPH... All stations reporting sunny skies...

***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Strong high pressure to our East/Southeast and low pressure system and cold front to our West...Pressure gradients will increase more today which will allow for a rather windy today/night/and Saturday... This also help usher in more warmer and humid air into the FA.... Winds could gusts up to around 30 MPH today and Saturday.. With the high pressure in control of our weather through Saturday, what you see is what you will get through Saturday... Sunny skies...

Saturday night gets a tad tricky.. Most of the models are now seeing eye to eye on the placement and timing of the cold front... Have decided to add a small chance of showers and thunderstorms to Saturday nights forecast....As the cold front starts to slowly work Eastwards... Also LLJ is forecasted to increase to around 40 to 50 KNTS thinking is as right now thunderstorms should form into a MCS... I don’t foresee a severe weather threat for my FA ATTM, as the main show should remain South of the area, nevertheless there is enough of threat some of these storms could work into the FA Saturday night....4th of July... Well I hate to say this but it does look to be a wet one... This will depend if the cold front pushes through early enough.. As of right now it appears the cold front may not push through until late afternoon/early evening.... If this is the case look for off and showers and thunderstorms through out the day into the overnight hrs... With any luck the showers and thunderstorms will have pushed out of the FA by 10 PM... Temps will also be problematic some of the computer models are keeping temps in the middle to upper 70s.... Thinking is that may be to cool, especially if the cold front does not clear the area... So for right now I will keep the 80s going for the 4th even though we should be locked under a thick cloud deck... Still thinking if we get some peaks of sun temps will be warmer... So will try to nail that down better in tomorrow's forecast.... Fast look ahead into time....Next week temps look to be rather cool with upper 70s and lower 80s....

***TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY***

Sunny skies with temps in the middle 80s today upper 80s to lower 90s tomorrow... Winds 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH both today and Saturday from the South...

***4TH OF JULY***

Mostly cloudy with a showers and thunderstorms highs in the lower to middle 80s... Winds shall be lighter from the South/Southwest around 5 to 10 MPH....

***10 PM FIREWORKS DISPLAY**

Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms temps should range from 68 to 73 winds Southwest to West around 5 to 10 MPH... We shall see if we can get this forecast to change for the better...

*** MONDAY***

Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of morning showers and thunderstorms highs either side of 80.....