Thursday, July 8, 2010

Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

Very nice weather on tap today, and Friday with less humidity.. Saturday still looks to be nice, however dewpoints will be climbing back up.... Sunday the chances of showers and thunderstorms, Along with a growing threat of severe thunderstorms.....


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

SFC OBS showing sunny skies across the FA, with temps in the lower 70s throughout the FA... Dewpoints are still in the lower 60s.. Winds generally out of the West/Northwest from 3 to 8 MPH... All in all a great morning...

***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

High pressure has built into the area.. This will allow for a cooler day along with Friday... Dewpoints should keep dropping off so it won't feel as muggy like it had been over the last week.. Temps right around 80 both days seem the way to run... Saturday we see the high pressure moving off to our Southeast, this will allow for WAA to kick in.. Moisture will start to return to the FA.... I have choice to add a small chance of showers and thunderstorms in for Saturday night.. As most of the models do paint some precip over the area... Saturday in it's self shall remain dry with temps working into the 80s....Sunday the forecast gets to be tricky... To may things still up in the air on how things are going to play out... Severe thunderstorms do look possible as of right now... As far as I'm concerned it's way to early to talk about the parameters that appear to be setting up... Will go into details in tomorrow's forecast... 1.. thing that could squash this possible severe weather threat will be the cloud cover, I feel GFS is not taken this into consideration as it severe weather parameters are to high this far out... However if clouds can clear for a few hrs, and GFS severe weather threat would be plausible... Will hold off until short term models get a handle on this possible severe weather event....

***TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY***

Mostly sunny skies with temps around 80 into the 80s Saturday....Winds Northwest today from 5 to 10 MPH becoming Southwest Friday around 10 MPH... Lows through this time frame upper 50s....

***SATURDAY NIGHT***

Mostly cloudy with a small chance at showers and thunderstorms... Lows in the lower 60s...

***SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT***

Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then a better chance of showers and thunderstorms in the late afternoon into the evening hrs... Highs middle 80s...Sunday night still a chance of showers and thunderstorms lows in the lower 60s.