Thursday, July 1, 2010

The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

For the most part the forecast shall stand... Hot and humid temps are forthcoming for the 4th of July weekend, along with chances of showers and thunderstorms on the 4th last through Tuesday...


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

As of 10:15 this morning.. Temps for the most part in the lower to middle 70s, cooler along the shores of Lake Superior... Dewpoints have started their up the ladder upper 50s to lower 60s.. Winds are out of the South/Southeast around 10 MPH...Under sunny to mostly sunny skies..

***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

A large area of high pressure ridge is under control of our weather... 1029 MB high pressure is centered over Western MI this morning... Meanwhile we see a 1006 MB low pressure just North of ND in Canada with and cold front reaching South/Southwest of said low.. Later today the high pressure off to our East is forecasted to drop into Southwestern MI.. Winds will pick up between these two features.. Should range from 10 to 20 MPH today out of the South/Southeast...
Friday the high pressure moves into the OH valley we will still see it's effects over the FA with sunny skies, winds are forecasted to be stronger on Friday.. We may see wind gusts up to 30 MPH over our wind prone areas...System/cold front out to the West will make little Eastward movement ..What is interesting is the high pressure is forecasted to move into Western NY by Sat then dive Southwards into the Mid Atlantic area.... This high still should keep our skies sunny through out the day... Winds still will be a problem... As the system out West tries to break through the ridge... Sunday the high/ridge moves more Eastwards allowing for the System out West to start to push East.... Models are somewhat in agreement of placement of the cold front... Timing of this system is the main problem... Models have slowed it down some... If this trend keep up we still may be able to have a dry 4th... Will still keep showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for now.. As the cold front is forecasted to move through MN towards the FA.... We may see a break in the action come Monday, before a much stronger cold front pushes into the FA with another round of showers and thunderstorms Monday night through Tuesday evening's time frame....

***TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY***

Mostly sunny skies with highs in the middle 80s today and Friday... Highs shoot for the upper 80s to the 90 degree mark on Saturday. Winds through this time frame ranging from 10 to 20 MPH.... Lows in the 60s tonight and again Friday night.. Low Saturday night upper 60s to around 70s....

***4TH OF JULY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT***

A chance of showers and thunderstorms highs in the middle 80s.. Still think temps can be closer to 90 if we get breaks in the cloudy cover... Lows Sunday night in the middle 60s ....Tomorrow will have the 4th of July fireworks forecast for the 10 PM hr of the 4th...

***MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY***

Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorm highs in the middle 80s with lows middle 60s on Monday night cooling to the upper 50s to lower 60s Tuesday night...