Monday, July 11, 2011

The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.

If you don’t like the warm and humid air, well you will love this forecast for the rest of the work week….However the heat and humidity does return to the FA by week’s end….More on this below….Last night’s storms are found in South Central MI can you say Derecho…That is what happen….


*** CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At 11:00 AM All stations are reporting sunny skies with temps from the middle 70s to upper 70s.. EAU reporting 80…DP temps are in the middle 60s,wind N/NW form calm to around 7 MPH…..

***SHORT TERM/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Cold front had pushed well South and East of the area..It is now if far Eastern WI and reaches back in Southern IA..We do find a weak trough over far Northeastern MN not excepting nothing with this feature…Could spark of some CU later…. We find a 1022 MB high pressure building into the FA….However with a 1008 MB low pressure riding the old frontal boundary way to the South there may be a slight chance of showers/thunderstorms just on my Southern fringes of the FA….Will run with a dry forecast for now…1022 High pressure is forecasted to move over Lake Superior by Wed…This will insure the FA a dry day on Wed and along with Thursday. Thursday we see a warm frontal boundary out over SD/ND this is forecasted to work into the FA by Saturday…. We should see some showers and thunderstorms forming along this boundary for Thursday night and into Friday morning…..What is interesting we could be dealing with late night showers and thunderstorms for Saturday and Sunday….Temps will start to warm for Friday and really take off for the weekend along with this will be higher dewpoints once again.

Will run with lower to middle 90s for Sunday as the 700 MB temps won’t be as warm as that happened back in June… So as of now don’t foresee any 100s….

***NOW YOUR SHORT TERM/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***

TODAY…Sunny to PC. Winds NW at 5 to 10 MPH….Highs 80 to 85.

TONIGHT… Clear winds NW 5 to 10 MPH.. Lows 54 to 57.

TUESDAY…. Sunny N/NE winds light…Highs 74 to 78.

TUESDAY NIGHT… PC lows 50 to 55.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. PC highs 74 to 78 lows 55 to 60.

THURSDAY THURSDAY NIGHT… Showers and thunderstorms likely highs 70 to 75 lows 60 to 65.

FRIDAY … Morning showers and storms ending than pc, highs 80 to 85.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows 65 to 70.

SATURDAY… Warm and humid…Highs 85 to 90.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, warm and humid lows 70 to 75.

SUNDAY…. Hot and humid highs 90 to 95…Slight chance of showers and storms Sunday night with lows 70 to 75.

***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION(MONDAY JULY 18TH THROUGH WED JULY 27***

We will start this period on the hot and humid side….We will run with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms during the overnight and early morning hours throughout much of this time frame…Daytime there will be capping issues so will keep a dry daytime forecast… A strong cold front will push into the FA around sat the 23 time frame….This will put the end to this possible long heat wave we may be getting into….Looks to stay near to slight below norms from the 24th through the 27th.

***NOW YOUR LONG TERM FORECAST***

JULY 18… Hot and humid highs upper 80s to middle 90s… Lows 70 to 75…May be some overnight showers and thunderstorms…

JULY 19th….Hot and humid highs upper 80s to middle 90s… Lows 70 to 75…. May be some overnight showers and thunderstorms.

JULY 20th…. Warm and humid Highs 85 to 90… Lows 70 to 75…. Again some overnight showers and thunderstorm will be possible.

JULY 21st… A little cooler highs 80 to 85 lows 65 to 70…. Overnight showers and storms possible.

JULY 22nd. Warm and humid, highs 85 to 90 lows 65 to 70…. A chance of overnight showers and thunderstorms.

JULY 23rd ….Warm and humid, highs 85 to 90….Lows 65 to 70… Showers and thunderstorms possible in the late afternoon into the overnight hours.

JULY 25 through JULY 27th …. Cooler less humid highs 70 to 75 with lows in the lower to middle 50s…. May see some showers and thunderstorms on the 26th ….