Friday, July 15, 2011

The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.

Have not really changed much in the forecast…..Main concern will be the long lasting heat wave that we have been talking about over the several days…. The severe weather threat still looks to be null for today best chances of that will be over in MN…Don’t like the heat that we will be in for, you will love the long range forecast!


*** CURRENT CONDITIONS***

As of 10 AM all stations are reporting Cloudy skies with showers….Temps in the upper 60s to lower 70s…Dewpoints are in the middle to upper 60s…So some fog in areas….Here at the office a thunderstorm with 71° dewpoint of 63.1°Winds Southeast at 5.7 MPH

***SHORT TERM/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

The main player in this forecast cycle will be the long lasting heat wave…Warm front with a short-wave moving into the area is sparking off showers and thunderstorms this morning…Not thinking any severe thunderstorms for today with all the clouds around and this morning’s showers and storms….Some of the showers and storms could produce rainfall amounts around an ½ inch..Will keep showers and thunderstorms going through tonight as the warm front works North/Northeast…Once again thinking the severe weather threat is going to be null for today and tonight in the FA best chances for severe storms would be over in MN, and we have already been seeing this all morning long…Still heavy rain could be a problem….Saturday morning showers and storms should clear the FA, setting the stage for a warm and humid day….Heat ridge will be in place for the remainder of the short and middle term forecast….This will set the stage for hot and humid conditions throughout much of next week… Heat indexes are forecasted to range from 100 to 110…I wouldn’t be shocked to see a day or two with heat indexes up to 115….As far as the temps go have decided to stay the same track so will run with lower to middle 90s may be a day we see upper 90s the 700 MB temps won’t be as warm as that happened back in June… So as of now don’t foresee any 100s…. Some banks may flash 100 though but who cares about them.There will be chances of showers and thunderstorms mainly during the overnight and early morning hours on Sunday and Monday…. Strong cold front is forecasted to work its way into the area Thursday’s time frame….Will still be rather warm and humid but relief is on its way!

***NOW YOUR SHORT TERM/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***

TODAY… Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms this morning then again later this afternoon. No severe thunderstorms are forecasted…. Winds South/Southeast 5 to 10 MPH..Highs 75 to 80.

TONIGHT… Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Winds South/Southeast 5 to 10 MPH.Lows 65 to 70

SATURDAY…. Showers and thunderstorms in the morning than becoming partly cloudy.. Warm and humid. Highs 84 to 88…South/Southwest winds 5 to 10 MPH

SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT… PC with a chance of late evening and overnight showers and thunderstorms. Hot and Humid highs 90 to 95. Lows 70 to 75.

MONDAY…. A chance of morning showers and thunderstorms, otherwise mostly sunny, hot and humid highs 90 to 95.

MONDAY NIGHT… Partly cloudy, warm and humid lows 70 to 75

TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT … Mostly sunny hot and humid highs 90 to 95 lows 70 to 75

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy Hot and humid highs 90 to 95.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Warm and humid…a chance of showers and thunderstorms lows 65 to 70

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy a chance of showers and thunderstorms warm and humid highs 84 to 88.

***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION(MONDAY JULY 22TH THROUGH WED JULY 30th ***

Don’t like the heat and muggy air, this forecast is for you then!....Yes it will be getting cooler no more 90s to be found right through this period….There will be chances of off and on showers and thunderstorms with waves and frontal boundaries, timing out this far it to hard.

***NOW YOUR LONG TERM FORECAST***

JULY 22nd … Morning showers/storms than Dry cooler highs 75 to 80.Lows 60 to 65

JULY 23th… Dry highs 70 to 75 lows 55 to 60

JULY 24th…. A chance of morning showers and storms. Highs 70 to 75 lows 55 to 60

JULY 25th … Dry highs 75 to 80 lows 55 to 60

JULY 26th ... Dry than a chance of late night storms highs 75 to 80 lows 60 to 65

JULY 27th …. Morning showers/storms than late afternoon showers/storms…Highs 80 to 85 lows 60 to 65

JULY 28th …. A chance of showers and storms…Highs 75 to 80 lows 55 to 60

JULY 29th and 30th.. Dry highs 75 to 80 lows 55 to 60