The Forecast for Western & Northwestern WI.

Forecast problems really none… Will be going into a drier weather pattern starting Sunday and last right through much of the long term forecast….


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At 9 PM…. Temps in the upper 60s to lower 70s…. Upper 50s around Lake Superior… Skies are cloudy dp temps in the middle 60s to lower 70s…. Fog is being reported in Superior… Wind are light from the E/SE… NE off the Lake in Superior.

***SHORT TERM & MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Warm front has remained South of the FA, however low level moisture that has been over running the front has caused clouds to remain locked in over the FA today….Same is hold true for tonight….Warm front is found over the Twin Cities area and then ridding South along the MS river valley. We find a cold front reach South from Northern Canada into Eastern MT to a 998 MB low pressure system over Southeastern MT… Warm front is forecasted to lift Northwards however looks like it will be washing out….Meantime the low over SE MT is forecasted to move into Central ND… The cold front is forecasted to be from Central ND through Central SD down into the Northwestern part of NE by 12z…1020 MB high pressure will be found over far western NC this along with the low to our West will draw in warmer air and higher dewpoints into the FA… With all the media hype about 90s for tomorrow….1. winds will not be from the Southwest, where we would get the higher temps…. Also clouds if they don’t clear soon enough or hold all day like today, this will hold temps down…. I will not buy into 90s I will run with 80 to 85 temps in tomorrow’s forecast to allow for morning clouds…Cold front by 18z should be on Western MN’s door step, by late Thursday night early Friday 00z the cold front should be in Central MN then it is forecasted to clear my FA by 12z Friday….. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely Thursday night into early Friday morning… Some thunderstorms could become severe, with large hail and damaging winds being the main threat…This looks to take place in my Central and Northern areas…My Southern areas look to remain capped, however once the front pushes though those area can except post frontal showers with a clap of thunder or two.Saturday we see another system making a beeline towards the FA… Not to thrill on precip chances right now…. This system will however drag a strong cold front into and through the FA….In fact on Sunday it won’t feel like the last weekend of summer it will feel like Halloween with highs in the middle 50s to maybe 60….

There will be a slight chance at frost in our colder spots Sunday night…. Mainly Northern Barron, Polk, Rusk Counties and points North….The closer one gets to Lake Superior the less of a chance of frost….

This will also start a very long dry spell for the FA right though much of the longer term forecast….

*** YOUR SHORT & MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***

Rest of tonight… Cloudy some fog possible with drizzle lows 60 to 65 winds calm to light.

Thursday… Morning clouds than becoming PC highs 80 to 85 winds South/Southeast 10 to 20 MOH with gusts up to 30 MPH.

Thursday Night…. Showers and thunderstorms likely, some thunderstorms could become severe late, mainly over my Central and Northern areas…. Lows 65 to 70.

Friday… Morning showers than clearing, cooler highs 65 to 70. Lows 40 to 45.

Saturday… Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, highs 65 to 70. Lows 40 to 45.

Sunday... PC cooler highs 55 to 60.

Sunday Night... clear and cold lows 35 to 40, some frost possible see above dis.

Monday through Wednesday…. Dry highs 65 to 70 lows 40 to 45 Monday night than warming to 45 to 50…

***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Not much to talk about here as we will keep the dry spell from the middle term going right through the 15th…. Will be a slight chance of rain on the 16th….. Other than that look for temps to run from 70 to 75 for highs while lows start off in the 45 to 50 degree range than 50 to 55 degree range…..

***CONFINDENCE LEVEL****

High in the short term to middle term on temps and precip….

Low on temps in longer term as we might be to warm….

Mod on precip in the longer term…..