Forecast concerns….Windy conditions throughout the weekend, along with fire weather danger...Have ran with a slight chance of rain showers for Sunday…Bigger story will be the midweek storm system, along with cooler temps.
***CURRENT CONDITIONS***
Skies are clear and temps are in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the area….Winds range from 3 to 7 MPH with some stations reporting gusts up to 18 MPH.
***SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***
FA still locked under a rather large area of high pressure. Meanwhile Storm system out West will track into Canada through the weekend this is forecasted to drag a cold front into and through the area Sunday night into early Monday morning….Not a lot of moisture for said front to work with so will run with just a slight chance of rain showers…Pressure gradients will increase between the high out East and the low pushing into Canada..Winds for Saturday and Sunday could range from 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH….Temps will remain warm with lower to middle 50s on Saturday…Did cut them to 45 to 50 for Sunday with the clouds around. We turn our concerns to midweek…Model are having somewhat have disagreement on the track of the system…GFS is still a little South to really impact the area, Meanwhile ECMWF model is more North if this pans out it could give my Central and Northern areas snow while my Southern areas stay rain for the most part with some snow mixing in from time to time….GFS would keep this all rain even on it Southerly and Easterly track…..Will run with the ECMWF model as this had the best handle on winter storms in the past. Looks like another few dry days on tap by weeks end….
***YOUR SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST**
Tonight… Clear lows 28 to 32. Winds South 5 to 10 MPH
SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT… Clear highs 50 to 55 lows 35 to 40..Windy, winds 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.
SUNDAY…Cloudy slight chance of rain.Highs 45 to 50…Still windy…Winds 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH from the Southwest..
SUNDAY NIGHT… Clearing lows 28 to 32.
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT… Dry highs 38 to 42 lows 28 to 32.
TUESDAY….Increasing clouds rain/snow late highs 40 to 43
TUESDAY NIGHT. rain snow changing to all snow. Lows 30 to 32
WEDNESDAY. a chance of snow may be mixed with some rain at times…. Highs 32 to 35.
WENDESDAY NIGHT. Clearing lows 25 to 30.
THUR THROUGH FRIDAY… DRY highs in the middle 30s to lower 40s while lows fall to the lower 20s to around 30 by Friday night.
***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION SAT 12 through Sun 20th***
Main story here will be the temps as they will be getting much colder….Possible snow storm comes into play around the 17/20 time frame….Models are having a hard time with this system so won’t really go into much details on it just yet,as we got time to watch to see how the models forecast this……..Temps will be falling into the lower to middle teens with highs falling into the 20 to 25 range
Pop Pop Heaven
4 years ago
