Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

Forecast problems..Will be the Arctic temps and wind chills today through Friday night….Also a few shots of snow….No long term forecast will be issued, as confidence levels are so low that far out.


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At 11 AM skies range from mostly sunny to partly sunny.Temps range from the single digits to as warm as 18 over in Oseola which does seem a little warm…..Wind are from the S/SE from 3 to 12 MPH with gust ranging from 18 to 23 MPH.

***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Arctic cold front will slam through the FA during the coarse of today…..Temps won’t warm to much, Winds will switch from the S/SW to the W/NW later wind from 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH will be possible….This will lead to very cold wind chills ranging from -20 to -30 tonight…..Will alos be a chance of light snow as the Arcitc blast moves in…Thursday shall be dry but cold highs may not get above zero for my Central and Northern areas, and only to the single digits arcoss my Southern areas….Friday a clipper will bring another chance of snow….Still no big deal and inch may be possible….Have kept snow chances going right through tis whole forecast package as the fast westerly flow keeps on giving…To hard to time systems…Looks like no big snow storms now……Just light snow fall amounts off and on….

***YOUR SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST***

TODAY….Becoming cloudy a chance of light snow later this afternoon….Highs 15 to 20…Winds S/SW becoming W/NW 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.

TONIGHT…Light snow ending, slowly becoming party cloudy. Lows -20 to -15 Central and Northern areas, single digits Southern areas….W/NW 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.Wind chills values ranging from – 30 to -20.

THURSDAY…. Cold,sunny…Highs -5 to 0

THURSDAY NIGHT….Clear cold… Lows -15 to -10

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY… A chance of snow…Highs 5 to 10 Fri…15 to 20 Sat….Lows -5 to 0 Fri….10 to 15 Sat.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY…. A chance of snow…Highs middle to uper 20s to around 30… Lows 10 to 15 most of this time frame…15 to 20 by Monday night.

***LONG TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Will be short and to the point….Models are way off and to try to make a forecast is pointless….This has to be the worse I have seen them in many years…..One says it will warmup big time,while others say it will get colder again…Some say snow storm, other say no snow….. Again it is pointless even trying to figure it out….Will give the long term models a few days to resolve this,then will issue a long term forecast…..