Friday, April 29, 2011

The Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.

Will change some things….Overall will be cooling temps on a few days in the short and middle term… We did warmup afew days but overall trended temps down a degree or two….


At 1:00 PM we find all stations reporting Sunny to Mostly sunny skies…Temps range from the upper 50s to lower 60s….Winds are for the most part out of the South/Southeast from 5 to 13 MPH with some gusts up to 20 to 22 MPH...…

Satellite imagery show a few clouds trying to work into the area, overall most areas are sunny…More clouds building over Southwestern MN and over parts of ND/SD ….Also noted a few clouds in the sky here at the office.


Forecast problems…There are some that we will try to work out…For the most part ongoing forecast is in good shape… Have decided to warm temps a degree or two for today, and to slow showers and thunderstorms down by an hour or two.. Models have trended slower… We have bought into the slower solution….This will also allow for temps to be a degree or two warmer today as more sunshine is in the picture…This will also slow down the cold front passage for tomorrow… So will hold onto thunderstorm chances a little longer than previous thought… Have thought about pulling thunderstorm chances from Tuesday night also…However will let them ride for now..Will trim temps down for Sunday night /Monday along with Tuesday night lows will hack down a few degrees also… Long term models this late morning and early afternoon are so so in agreement.. With that said confidence levels are a little lower now…. Did warm a few days up, but also cooled a few days down….

May 6th temps 45 to 50 lows 35 to 40….May 7th 40 to 45 lows 30 to 35….May 8th 45 to 50 lows 30 to 35…. May 9th… 50 to 60 lows 40 to 45….May 10th 50 to 55 lows 40 to 45….May 11th 60 to 65 some models showing around 70 so decided to blend for the highs…Lows 35 to 40…May 12th 50 to 55 lows 30 to 35…. May 13th through May 16th 50 to 55 with lows 35 to 40….Will keep the precip the same… See forecast below…..


REST OF TODAY… Partly cloudy highs 60 to 65 winds South/Southeast 10 to 15 MPH gusts up to 20 to 25 MPH..

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 AM lows 45 to 50…Winds South/Southeast 15 to 20 MPH with gust up to 30 MPH.

SATURDAY… Mostly Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms in the morning than showers and a possible thunderstorm in the early afternoon highs 50 to 55.Winds South/Southeast 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Slight chance of showers mixed with snow…Lows 27 to 30

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy,slight chance of showers possibly mix with snow in the early morning hrs…Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon..Highs 40 to 45…

SUNDAY NIGHT… Partly cloudy lows 25 to 30

MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy…Highs 48 to 53…Lows 28 to 32…

TUESDAY… Warm and dry…Highs 55 to 60…

TUESDAY NIGHT… Showers and thunderstorms lows 40 to 45…

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms…Highs 58 to 63… Lows 38 to 42

THURSDAY….. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain highs 55 to 60 lows 35 to 40…