Friday, April 8, 2011

***SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT***

***SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS***
Severe thunderstorms are possible for Sunday and some areas looking likely see map below for that info....Strong warm front is forecasted to surge Northwards...A strong storm system is projected to lift Northeast out of the Central Plains and through the area this weekend...Saturday late afternoon/early evening showers and thunderstorms are forecasted to break out over the area,however these storms should remain below severe weather thresholds still we could see a few grumpy storms to even strong storms are head into the overnight hours on Saturday as the warm front is forecasted to begin its trip Northwards....Right now thinking heavy rain will be the main player for Saturday night into the wee early morning hrs of Sunday....Could see some hail with the more intense updrafts.....
Sunday/Sunday night.
Things get just a little tricky to whether we see a severe weather outbreak or just strong storms with ISO severe storms....Some limiting factors for the severe weather threat would be as follows.... The track of the low is still not 100% written in stone just yet,any shift would cause severe storms to shift one way or another....How much deep level moisture will work into the area....How fast we can break up the clouds from from Saturday nights storms....If we can get good SFC heating going soon enough to destabilize to the atmosphere...We will also have to watch to see how strong the cap does get if we break out into sunshine.
As of right now this system does have the potential to produce a severe weather outbreak with most of the FA under the gun....
Main threat from severe thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening would be...Large hail,damaging winds,and tornadoes...Tornado threat would be in the areas that are able to see some breaks in the cloud cover...
Another updated is planed for tonight.....