Sunday, May 1, 2011

The cold forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

Hope everyone is enjoying this cold weather… it will be around for sometime….We will have a few warm days coming up later upcoming work week, however temps will average below normal for at least the next 2 weeks…More on that later…. This morning we did see snow that will keep going off and on right through Monday….Still some snow chances throughout the forecast cycle and even in the long term preiod.


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***
As of 1 PM all station are reporting cloudy skies.... Temps are in the middle 30s....Winds range from 14 to 22 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH at some of the stations....
***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Strong area of low pressure is forecasted to lift into Canada….Which is centered over far Northern MN as of this writing…Shows up rather well on the satellite imagery… CAA well under way… Winds will still be a problem today and into the early evening hrs…. Have really took a bite out of the temps for today will cut them into the upper 30s to lower 40s…. Will leave lows for tonight stand… Have cut highs on Monday also will run with lower to middle 40s,left low alone….Have cut highs on Tuesday to reflect lower to middle 50s ….Did change other thing around in the forecast also……

System still close to us on Monday to keep snow showers alive, could see some rain mixing in..Skies should become partly cloudy by time we head into the later afternoon/early evening….A break in the action for Tuesday…Wednesday things get tricky..Model disagreements showing up…. GFS has us somewhat warm with a chance of thunderstorms, meanwhile ECWMF keep us in the cooler with just rain for Wednesday night into Thursday …So will blend the two together..Will run with temps in the upper 50s for Wed and Thur with lows in the lower to middle 40s….System moves out of the area setting the stages for a rather nice Friday with temps in the lower to middle 60s….Upcoming weekend looks kind of interesting…Looks like we may be dealing with some severe thunderstorms?? It way too early to say this for sure, but the possibilities are there…..

So overall temps will slowly warm to the middle 60s by the end of the short/middle term forecast cycle, however will still average out below normal…

***LONG TERM FORECAST SUNDAY MAY 8TH THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 17TH ***

Looks like a wet and cold pattern still in place……..

Sun the 8th dry highs 55 to 60 lows lower to middle 40s….

Mon the 9th dry highs 50 to 55 lows lower 40s

Tues the 10th showers and thunderstorms possible highs 50 to 55 lows in the 40s

Wed the 11th showers cooler 45 to 50 lows in the 30s, some rain could mix with snow in the overnight hrs.

Thur the 12th rain/snow showers in the early morning hrs than dry highs 50 to 55 lows in the 40s.

Friday the 13th small chance of rain highs 55 to 60 lows in the 40s.

Sat the 14th… A chance of showers/maybe a thunderstorm…. Highs 55 to 60 lows in the 40s.

Sun the 15th should be dry…Highs 55 to 60 lows in the 40s.

Mon the 16th dry highs 55 to 60 lows in the 40s

Tue the the 17 chance of rain…Highs 50 to 55… Rain snow mixed Tue night with lows in the 30.

Disclaimer…


The long term forecast is out there in time..So things can change…..

***YOUR SHORT/MIDDLE TERM FORECAST****

REST OF TODAY….Cold with snow showers…Highs middle 30s to lower 40s… Winds West 15 to 20 MPH with gust up to 30 MPH.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with snow showers… Lows in the 28 to 32 Winds 10 to 20 MPH with gust up to 25 MPH becoming lighter 5 to 10 MPH out of the Northwest.

MONDAY…. Slight chance of snow showers before noon… Highs 40 to 45…

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy cold lows 25 to 30

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY….. Partly cloudy highs 50 to 55 then 55 to 60 on Wednesday lows in the upper 30s on Tuesday night.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Showers and thunderstorms lows in middle 40s.

THURSDAY… Showers and, a possible thunderstorms highs 55 to 60.

THURSDAY NIGHT… slight chance of showers….Slight chance of a few snow showers lows in the 30s…

FRIDAY.. Partly cloudy, warmer highs 60 to 65. Lows middle 40s

SATURDAY…. Showers and thunderstorms highs 60 to 65 lows in the middle 40s…