Short term forecast.

We here at The Weather Center are watching central MN for storm formation which has already started over in Otter Tail County down towards Stearns County… Looking at the latest short term models along with Duluth’s WRF model….shows shear at 23 to 35 KNTS DPNTS have really increased over the last few hrs through much of that areas along with the FA…Storms are forecasted to keep forming as the cap has began to weaken as forecasted…The deep Layer shear is sitting at around 60 KNTS and CAPE is around the 2500 to 3000 J/KG… Storms that are firing in MN will become supercells rather fast…


For the forecast area the storms over in MN shall form into an MCS and this complex of storms are forecasted to work East/Southeast…We may see a severe weather threat in the FA will damaging winds and hail being the main threat….Tornado threat is null in the FA…
Tomorrow’s severe weather threat is looking less likely as the overnight complex of storms may end up pushing the warm front more South…This still remains to be seeing…. However the dynamics aren’t in place on the latest runs…..

Stay tuned to more updates as they may be needed for tonight’s severe weather possibilities.