Sunday, May 22, 2011

The Weather Center's thunderstorm forecast for Sunday.

The map below is valid for Sunday.....Severe thunderstorms should remain well South of the FA,as we will be locked under clouds and showers and thunderstorms...Some breaks in the clouds will get enough SFC heating going for a few strong storms,however deep level mositure flowing into the area should be robbed from severe thunderstorms way to the South of the area...Storm chasers pick would be SE IA Western IA MO...Latest computer model runs target this area for severe storms hence our MOD. risk for those areas....Will not run with a severe risk excepet far Southern WI and there it doesn't look likely... For the local FA one or two strong storms could form,severe thunderstorms highly unlikely ATTM...If any severe thunderstorm do form they will on the lower severe weather threshold limit....Small hail and gust winds would be possible then....Will update if needed after the 06z runs come out.. 9 chances out 10 we won't...