Halloween forecast & some safe tips!

Halloween forecast....


For today light snow should becoming to an end this morning..Winds will be rather strong yet today,shouldn't as yesterday...However some gusts up to the 25 to 30 MPH range still possible.Highs today either side of 40 today...

We have issued a ghost and gobbling warning for this evening...The warning goes into effect from the hours of 5 PM and runs through 8 PM..Will talk about this in second or two....Temps for said time frame should be falling into the middle 30s....Winds will becoming lighter as we head through the evening hours....

***GHOST AND GOBBLING WARNING***



The Weather Center has issued a ghost and gobbling warning for this evening..From 5 PM through 8 PM...However there still may be some scattered Ghost and Goblins through 10 PM this evening....Main activity is forecast to occur from 5 PM through 8 PM...Not only are we forecasting ghost and goblins there will other creatures and things of such nature....If one has not prepared for this event you still have sometime...Things needed lots of candy...

***TIPS ON MAKING THIS A SAFE HALLOWEEN FOR THE KIDS***



Unlike the good old days were kids were free to roam from door to door,now days parents need to really be with their kids as we all know kids go missing from being abducted.This is why parents need to go with their kids,NOT your older kids as they could also end up being abducted..Yes even in this part of Wisconsin things can happen,Though many parents say it don't..I say wake up and see the light people....I can go on and on about this topic however AM not going to....Also parents will want to look at their kids candy/fruit before kids start eating it..Yes there are strange people out there that will poison or add things to the candy...Only take kids to houses of people you know!...Have them in so type of reflected clothing....I know this does put a damper on Halloween,but it needs to be said more often then not...Every year we read about this in the news or see it on TV.....

So with all that said....Have a safe fun filled Halloween!

Strong storm system effecting the area.

Strong storm system has been effecting the area has brought 1/2 inch to 1 inch rainfalls across the area yesterday and through out the over night hrs...This system also has brought in warmer air to the area...However temps are slowly dropping here at the office....High was 59° at 10 AM this morning now down to 57°...This system also has brought in some very low pressure readings....Here we are now down to 29.22 and still falling....The lowest reading I find through out my FA is Superior...29.08...The next lowest pressure reading I found is Siren 29.13....


This system also has brought very gusts winds to the area....Winds have been gusting up to 25 to 30 MPH..Highest wind gusts so far have been from points East of Siren and Cumberland...We winds have been gusting in the 30 to 40 MPH range this late morning into the this afternoon...At 1:00 PM The highest winds gusts I see are up in Ashland with 38 MPH,Rice Lake has wind gusts up to 31 MPH here at the office 6 miles Northwest we have wind gusts at 34 MPH as of 1 PM....See my post below for damage pictures caused by the winds...This morning 10:45 to 11:10 I'm sure winds were gusting close to 45 to 50 Plus MPH..To cause trees to snap like I saw....Just checked my weather station for the wind gusts it was 51.9 MPH @ 10:47 AM....
 
Just to show you how fast the pressure is falling we are now down to 29.20 MBS...

NON THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE

Left work at 10 Am this morning had to make a few stops then headed home...Drove through a very heavy rain shower...Then hit very highs winds...Got on HWY V saw some 4 to 6 inch tress down...Did call that into the NWS...Got on my road and saw like 4 of the neighbors calf hutches were blowing across the road into the ditch on the other side,with one still part way on the road...Called that into the NWS....Help moved the calf hutches back to were they belonged....Got home and had a 6 inch tree snapped off about a 3/4 down or 1/4 up....Did get my camera and went back out to HWY V and got pictures,also pictures from my yard...Speaking of which there are many tree branches down again....

EST.Rainfall from radar data

As you can see most of my forecast area did pick up between 1/2 inch to around an inch of rain..From the radar view of EST STP(storm total precipitation)..Here at The Weather Center we picked up 0.83 inches of rain

Site update/Website update also...

While this morning still sick but feeling a little better Am going back to work tomorrow thank God for that as I'm going crazy being at home this long,Not a good way to waste vac.time but what can one do..Anyway being bored out of my mind I decide to make some big changes to this blog...Some of the changes that were made this morning are as follows...A new forecasting template,that I designed in another program...This had appeared the other day,however I added to it,as the Northern,Central and Southern area forecast..Had many emails about making the forecast easier...So that should help...Still working on the forecast icons,as of right now still not happy with them,but slowly coming along..May work on that through out this long boring day,as I don't have a headache....Also went through and changed the color of my blog....Added a temperature converter in the bottom part of the blog..So big changes did happen and this will be ongoing for sometime...
WEBSITE UPDATE..
Did also update my website yesterday...Added August 8th and 19th pictures...

The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

Will try to get through this,as Am still sick.....Forecast problems for today through Saturday....Rain chances along with a few thunderstorms,heavy rainfall is possible.Winds tonight and Friday could become strong..Then snow chances Friday night into Saturday...Lots to talk about this forecast cycle.....

***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

This morning we find temps rather warm,from the middle 40s to the lower 50s....Warm spot is found in Siren with 56° the cool spot is Ashland coming in at 44°....Thinking the Siren station is having some problems compared to the rest of the stations....Dewpoints have rose into the middle to upper 40s across the FA...There is some fog around the area...Stations that are reporting fog are as follows...Ladysmith,New Richmond,Rice Lake,and Osceola...Winds range from calm to around 10 MPH from the E/SE....Radar is showing some returns through out the FA,however ATTM nothing is being reported in the SFC OBS....

***SFC ANALYSIS***

SFC charts this morning shows a features of interests...First one being a 1009 MB low pressure system centered over Central Manitoba Canada...Stationary front reaches from said low down through Eastern ND and SD into NE....The main area of interest this morning is a 999 MB low pressure system over Southern KS along with a 1002 MB low over CO with yet another low pressure over TX....Meanwhile we find a 1022 MB high pressure system centered over the OH Valley....

***SFC/MID/ UPPER LEVEL DISCUSSION***

Looking at the 500 MB chart....The upper level low is centered over New Mex this morning..50 to 60 KTS jet kicking into the area this morning from the Southwest...As this upper level low moves North/Northeast upper level jet is forecasted to increase to 125 to 150 KTS over the area...Looking at the 300 MB charts we find the upper level low a little more West and North,however winds at this level flowing into the FA around 80 KTS winds are forecasted to increase to around 150 KTS by Fri afternoon from the SW....Meantime the 850 MB charts showing winds from the South at 20 to 25 KTS this morning as we head into this afternoon winds increase to 35 to 40 KTS from the South/Southeast...So rather strong upper level support in place with this storm system....At the SFC using the GFS/ECMWF/NAM....Did do some blending for this forecast...Models have trended with a more South track than before and slower in moving the storm system....
However this really has not changed things to much...Big change is the dry slot that was forecasted to shut down the rain for tonight should be shunted off to the East of the FA,meaning higher rain chances for the area tonight into Fri....

SFC low is forecasted to lift NE into the Central Plains by this evening/tonight....By time 06z Fri hits the low should be in SW MN and should be around 993 MBS..By 12z said low should be in West Central MN(around the hump area) MBS drop to around 990-992..This low will also push an occluded front into my Western/Southern FA By 00z Sat said low races for the NE part of MN/Western Lake Superior..This will have pushed said front through the entire area....Meanwhile a cold front will be working it's way through the FA...Low pressure is forecasted to deepen to around 984 MBS by this time...The track of this system is still somewhat in the air still..PWATS do increase to around 1.00" to as high as 1.50" Thinking as of right now this may be a little high,nevertheless still look for areas of heavy rainfall,thinking is to run with a widespread 1/2" to 1.00" of rain a few areas could see more with any thunderstorms....Speaking of thunderstorms....With LLJ forecasted to become stronger and destabilization forecasted by this afternoon,along with LIS down to 0....Should see a few thunderstorms through out the day into this evening.....Temps will be mild through Fri morning and then should be dropping through out the day......

***FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN AREAS***

Today rain will become likely under cloudy skies winds from the SE from 5 to 10 MPH with gusts up around 20 MPH.Highs today around 50...Tonight rain likely temps holding if not going up a degree or two 50 to 52...South/Southeast winds around 10 MPH with gust up to 20 MPH..
Friday a chance of showers with temps slowly falling through out the day highs start in the 50s falling to the middle 40s by late afternoon.Winds becoming SW/W around 10 to 15 MPH with gust up to around 20 MPH..Friday night cloudy with a chance of rain/snow showers become all snow showers after midnight...Lows in the 30s...West winds around 10 to 15 MPH with gusts around 20 to 25 MPH...Sat shall remain cloudy with highs around 40 Sunday rain and snow showers move back into the area..With all snow showers Sunday night with lows right around 30....

***FORECAST FOR THE CENTRAL AREAS***

Today cloudy with showers and few thunderstorms likely SE winds 10 to 15 MPH with gusts around 20 MPH..Highs today in the lower to middle 50s..Tonight rain likely maybe a thunderstorm early...Lows around 50 with S/SE winds around 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 25 MPH...Friday Cloudy windy highs in the middle 50s then falling through out the day,there is a chance of rain showers through out the day...S/SW winds 15 to 20 MPH with gust from 25 MPH to around 30 MPH..Friday night cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers becoming all snow showers after midnight...Lows in the 30s still gusts winds,up to 20 to 25 MPH...Saturday cloudy highs lower 40s. lows in the lower 30s once again...Sunday..PC in the Northern Central areas with PC to mostly sunny rest of the area,highs in the lower to middle 40s with lows in the lower to middle 30s.....

***FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS***

Today..Showers and a few thunderstorms likely highs under cloudy skies in the middle to upper 50s with E/SE winds 10 to 15 MPH with gusts up to 20 MPH..Tonight lows in the middle 50s with showers and a few thunderstorms likely..Winds 15 to 20 MPH with gust from 20 to 25 MPH..Friday a chance of showers with cloudy skies.Winds S/SW from 10 to 20 MPH with gust around 25 to 30 MPH.Highs start out in the upper 50s then fall through out the day..Friday night,a chance of rain and snow showers with lows in the middle 30s winds still rather gusty...SW/W from 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 25 MPH...Saturday,mostly sunny with highs in the middle 40s with lows in the upper 30s....

***EXTENDED FORECAST MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY***

Look for a dry period..May see some rain/snow showers in my Northern areas on Monday dry elsewhere's look for highs ranging from Lower 40s North to lower to middle 40s Central and middle to upper 40s South...Lows in the middle to upper 20s North to upper 20s to lower 30s Central to around 30 South....

Fog we got it..

Here is the fog imagery,showing the fog rather well this morning...

Foggy/frosty morning..

I had to get out of this freaking house to get some pictures,as I'm going nuts.Yes got freaking sick again hit me Sunday hard and been down and out for the count since..Can't go to work wish I could as I'm so bord out of my mind,sick of not being able to do nothing,the clinic doesn't even want anyone coming in unless you have a fever,they claim there is nothing they can do for anyone,lots of rest and lots of water or juice...Work tells us to stay home when were sick.The H1N1 or aka the swine flu has hit Barron County hard,so now no one wants to take chances,which is understandable..Just got my vacation back and already had to waste two freaking days on this crap!...So far Am not running a fever but can hardly talk and have no energy at all..Got that nasty cough chest hurts like hell,along with a off and on headache from hell....Wasn't that long ago I went through this same crap! Wish it would end soon....

The forecast for Western and Northwestern WI.

Last Friday we were talking about a big storm system to effect the FA midweek,system has been pushed back by 12 to 24 hours later...Also last week models had the track more East...Over the last few days the trend has been to move the track more Westwards....So previous forecast will go some major changes.....System still remains a headache,not as bad as one attm.....Fog is another problem for this morning through out parts of the FA....Lots to talk about so lets dive into it....Trying to do this while AM sick is no fun at all!

***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

Temps this morning are rather cold upper 20s to lower 30s,under clear skies and light E/SE winds...Fog is being reported in the following areas...EAU,Rice Lake,and Ladysmith...Vis is down to around a 1/4 mile to 1/2 mile is spots(pictures in the following post)...Also fog as created some slick spots on the road ways this morning,mainly over overpasses and bridges...

***SFC ANALYSIS***

This morning we find a trough reaching from the upper Midwest down into TX,this has brought very heavy rainfall to parts of TX and areas of the deep South,while North is has been light off and on rain showers...Meantime our Next weather system is now just pushing onto the West Coast....Weak area of high pressure in control of our Weather.....

***SFC/UPPER LEVEL DISCUSSION***

Weak high pressure will control our weather right through Wed....GFS model shows a 993 MB low over Southern Canada this is forecasted to move along the USA/Canada border and slowly weaken to around 997 MBS by Wed as it is forecasted to be just North of ND..By Thur said low is forecasted to race Northeast into Canada and weaken to around 1010 MBS...The only thing this low will do for us is give us some gusty winds today and bring in warmer air....Meanwhile
Trough out West will be pushed out into the plains as a 175 KT or so upper level winds kick in..Moisture will start to stream back into the FA on a 35 to 40 KT LLJ,however lots of dry air to over come so will keep dry conditions going for Wed..Meantime GFS forms a 991 MB low pressure system over Southern CO and pushes it into the TX/OK Panhandle...From there GFS takes the low into NW IA Friday and weakens the low to around 1002 MBS...By Sat the low is well into Canada and phases with said low from above and deepens the system to around 979 MBs or so....ECMWF model has the same idea but keeps the low rather stronger as it moves NE through Western MN,ECMWF also shows this low phasing with the Northern Low in Canada...Low then deepens to around 975 or so further South than GFS has it phasing...What has become interesting with this system is both models show CAA kicking in faster and stronger for Fri into Sat.If this does play out rain could mix with snow or even change over to all snow for late Fri into Sat....Thur into Thur night may see one or two thunderstorms around as LIS drop to near 0c..Best chance of this I feel will come to my Eastern areas of the FA...Still really not to thrilled about this as a rainy/cloudy day on tap for Thru,however both models do try to show a dry slot working in,if we can get some sunshine then I can see some thunderstorm activity around the area...For now will leave it out of the forecast,as this dis. has it covered if it does happen.5 day QPF totals from the 27 through Nov 1 are showing 0.75 to 1.00 inches of rain...After this system passes by look for temps to be back near the norms for this time of year...No other big storm systems in sight attm....


***TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY***

Weak area of high pressure will ensure the FA a very nice two days...Fog this morning in said areas above should be burning off around the 8 AM to 9 AM hr....Temps today through out the entire FA lower to middle 50s under mostly sunny skies,and Southerly winds....Wind could gust up to 20 MPH at time today mainly in my Central and Northern areas.Tonight temps should be warmer than last night with lows in the lower 30s North/Central to middle 30s South under mostly clear skies and SE winds remaining around 5 to 10 MPH,Fog should not be an issue with drier air mixing down from the upper levels...Wednesday we shall see our last rain free day...Under PC to mostly cloudy skies temps should have no problem reaching the lower to middle 50s across the FA..

***WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY***

As the above said low moves Northeast rain will start to move North into the area,,,Have placed higher chances in my Southern areas and lowered chances as we work Northwards...Nevertheless the entire FA will be under cloudy skies and SE winds reaming up lows should stay in the 40s,with upper 40s South....Rainy day on tap for Thur as the low moves off to our West...Temps still rather warm highs in the middle 50s...Thur night looks to be a rainy one,this will depend if a dry slot does form,for now will bank on it not happen....Lows Thru night middle 40s North lower 50s Central and South..Fri will see yet more rain for the area highs in the lower 50s North/Central and middle 50s South....

***FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY***

CAA kicks in behind a cold front this could mix the rain with snow as heights drop,however attm this does not look good for any accumulations,,We will watch it though as models show stronger CAA than before....Either way still look for wet conditions...Lows in the upper 30s Fri night and lowers 40s for highs on Sat....Warmer in my Southern areas.....

***SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY***

Back to dry weather conditions which will be needed..Highs both days under mostly sunny skies in the middle to upper 40s with lows either side of 30....

Snowfall reports

The system of yesterday and last night is now just a memory...Here are some reports we did get in....Most places picked up 1 to 2 inches of snow with higher amounts in Northern Barron,Rusk,Southern Washburn,Sawyer.Where 3 to 4 inches of snow fell...Over in Price,Iron,Ashland Counties as of last night 2 to 3 inches of snow have fallen.I do think them totals will be in the 4 to 5 inch range once the reports are updated...Here are some snow totals from our weather spotters/friends...Along with the NWS reports...
Derek in Clayton reported 1.00 inches of snow as of 9 PM last night...See his write up on this snow event(NW WISCONSIN WEATHER) link off to the right in the side bar...Parts of Eau Claire picked up 2.5 inches while other parts of the city picked up 1.5 inches...East of Rice Lake there was 2.5 inches reported..That total should be more,and may be updated...(NWS REPORT)....Cameron picked up 1.7 inches of snow,over in Barron 1.3 inches of snow....That is just a small amount of reports we got into the office through out the night...So for the most part the forecast was on target...Though the highly unlikely part turned out,as colder air aloft moved into the area sooner that forecasted...This system was a little different than most...Snow totals would have been more if there would have been colder air at the SFC..For the most part temps were right around 32 to 34 durning this event...Seems like the areas that got the most snow where in the higher terrains of the forecast area..This brings us to this question that was asked alot...Why does the Northern areas of Barron County seem to get more snow that other areas..So far in out studies we have found out...The terrain in them areas is higher than most other areas....This adds a little more lift to help produce more snow,As winds and moisture move into these areas the hills act like a lifting device...Once winds/moisture run into these areas the hill trust this upwards (LIFT) We still don't have enough data to confirm, or to deny this,However so far the data we do have is pointing that way..We still need more data to prove or disprove out theory..

Side note number 1

Special thanks going out to Derek for his plug on my blog on his blog along with his snowfall reports...I have to get better at adding his snowfall reports into these events along with plugs to his blog..Also once again sure didn't mean to sound mean...Just so many things going on at one time was hard to keep up with it all...

Side note number 2...

We are in a process of coming up with a new format on how we do reports...Also will be changing the format of the forecast in the next few weeks....We are going to keep the same format for the most part,we will be using a program so we don't have to type out IE CURRENT CONDITIONS and ect...We are kicking the idea around about using icons for the forecast after our forecast discussion...We will for sure be adding newer and better maps...So look for some nice cool big changes to our forecasts...Also this blog is in the process of slowly under going some changes..First one has already taken place,as I have changed the picture....So durning our down times look for the changes...We hope to have this all done by Jan 1 first 2010.....

Side note number 3....

Forecast will be issued tomorrow...Still looking at what could turn out to be a big storm for parts of the FA..Yes could be more snow..This snow may very will stick around for sometime...(if it turns out to be a big snow storm..Still alot of questions that need to worked out...Will talk about this tomorrow....

Snowfall report number 4

3.75 inches of snow so far here at The Weather Center...Still snowing hard at the 8:21 PM hr...Would not be shocked to see 4 inches,could even hit the 5 inch mark at this rate.. 1 to 2 inches of snow have been reported in to us from our weather spotters in my Southern Cetnral and Southern areas...This line up rather well with the 540 line...Some of the snow has changed back over to rain in New Richmond,Siren and Oseola per SFC OBS and our weather spotters...

Snowfall report number 3

3.25 inches of snow here at The Weather Center....Our weather spotters from Cameron and Barron are reporting about a 1/4 to close to 1/2 inch of snow...Snow at this hr is mixing back with rain points South of Cameron...Still snowing hard here at The Weather Center....

Snowfall report number2

As you can see from the pictures snow is still coming down heavy....Roads have been slush covered since I left work....So the snow has been melting on the roads,however they are starting to turn whiter....I did get out to check my snow boards and we do 1 inch of snow here at The Weather Center...Points South of Rice Lake have just light snow falling with some patchy areas of the ground slowly getting white,however them areas should stay under 1/2 inch maybe an inch at best...Points North of Rice Lake could see another inch or so through out the evening and into tonight...Like always click on pictures to see full size..

snowfall report number1

mod to heavy snow is falling in and North of Rice Lake...As I left work this afternoon I took out my rule a there was a 1/4 inch of snow...On the way home saw one bad car accident on HWY 48...More North I got the whiter the ground became.Called that into the NWS..I still have not checked my snow broads yet..Did take a few pictures..Now it's time for me to eat....

FORECAST STANDS!

Forecast still on track for the most part....So see no big reason to change it...Forecast problems...Rain/rain/snow mix/snow......
Won't do current SFC OBS tonight...Have plenty of other things to talk about and going on....After doing some long hard hand analysis we are going to keep the accumulating snow line the same,but did detail it some..Still going to run with the 1 to 3 inch thinking....The way things are looking right now on the GFS,and ECMWF...the 1 to 3 inch snow fall should be North and East of a Poskin line to over to Bruce and points North...One inch of snow will be possible from a Balsam Lake and North,over towards Cumberland....1/2 or less possible South of Balsam lake to Turtle Lake and South of Barron line...Interesting note if cold air work into this system sooner we could be dealing with 2 to 4 inches of snow where we have outlined the 1 to 3 inches of snow....Then also points in the 1/2 outlined area could be boosted up to 1 to 3 inches of snow....Very highly unlikely this will happen....Over the Eastern parts of Rusk County would stand the best chance at seeing higher snowfall amounts,as that area will be in the precip zone longer and the cooler air will have time to make there before the precip ends.....

Our Next system of interests still looks to be Tuesday through Wednesday...Looks like a big storm system with snow....This is still out there in time Am not going to worry about it as there is time to watch things to see how it will play out...But you did hear about this first from us at 2:30 AM this morning.....Either way the wet cool trend keeps a going through out much of next week...

More rain then snow on it's way

Fast look at the forecast...Will have a very detailed forecast either this evening or Tomorrow evening....People will want to tune in back in for this,as the weather will be undergoing some changes once again...



Today we will see a break in the action...Then back to more rain for tonight....850 MB temps drop and the 540 line setsup just South of my Central parts of my central FA on Friday...This will lead to rain mixing with snow,all Snow North and into my Northern Central areas by Friday afternoon...Snow will be the key word Friday night..Main areas to see some snow sticking to the ground will be points North of Line from Balsam Lake to Cameron then over to Bruce....These areas could pick up 1 to 3 inches of snow Friday afternoon through Friday night....A dusting is possible South of this line,as warmer air at the surface and upper levels will be in control....Saturday models are hinting at some sunshine....However clouds still may hang in...Will take a another look at this later today/evening....Back to more rain on Sunday with rain changing back to snow on Sunday night.....Rain and snow mix on tap for the Monday...Next system of interests moves into the area for Tuesday and Wednesday.....May be some big snows for parts of the FA...Will watch this through out the weekend....

The stormchasers show/my takes on it

First off the bat I'm not bashing the show or anyone on it....I have meet a few of the chasers from the show out in the field some really nice people...Also got the chance to meet other chasers from around the this great Country....

Ok my takes on the show....It's ok reason I say this is all you really see is the fun part of chasing..You see the tornadoes and storms...What you don't see is the very long hours of forecasting and driving...I have said this many times,and will keep saying it...Thanks to shows like this it brings out the yahoos and wannabe chasers that have no idea what is really going on,and should not be out there.If most people would know all the long and lonely hours that go into a few mins to maybe an hour of chasing(as far as really seeing something ie tornadoes ect...)I do think that would help cut down on the wannabes and yahoos...When I watch shows like this one I watch for the tornado footage and the to see how many people I know...I could care less if some team wants to risk their lives to get that one time vid...We all know what team that is....Plus that team gets way to hyper...This drives me nuts..I will say though he does get the great vids..

Back to the long lonely hours of chasing....Days before the event real chasers are studying the computer models and picking their target areas as the day near closer we get our chase target down to within 50 miles or so...Then comes the long drive..Sometimes 100s plus miles to only see clear blue skies...Not to say all the money that we stick into a chase....$500 to well over $1000...You have to like to travel,ride,drive,and then sit for hours waiting for the storms to blow...Also you need to know how to forecast..Some people I know I call the watch box chasers...Well they are not real chasers...Just wannabes in my book....I have seen many tornadoes outside the watch box areas I can't even count how many(nothing against the SPC) but nature does not play in the boxes or lines...Any chaser will tell you this...Then you got the spotters who try to keep up with us chasers...Kind of funny...For whatever reason they think they are chasers....Really they aren't....Then we got the local chasers...A person who chases a County or two...Come on that is not chasing that is storm spotting....By now some are saying Dirk sometime you chase local why is that...Well it is because the conditions look great for around here compaired to some where else...Plus sometimes it is just nice to do a local chase,home in my own bed that night.....I will have more on this when I get home from work today....

The forecast for Weastern/Northwestern WI.

Forecast problems still revolve a shortwave/trof in the area for today and tonight...Precip type main issue....Then a nice little warm up on the way starting tomorrow and lasting through much of next week...Good time to get out and finish up the yard work.....

CURRENT CONDITIONS.....

Temps this morning range from upper 20s North to middle 30s elsewhere's under cloudy skies..Winds at light to calm...Some areas reporting fog....Other than that not a bad morning morning for Western/Northwestern WI...

SFC ANALYSIS......

This morning Shortwave.trof pushing through MN at this early morning hrs,shows up rather well on the WV loop...We also find a large 1025 MB high pressure off to our West through out the Rockies into Canada....

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

The FA area will still be dealing with another shortwave/trof this should be the one....This will insure us of a cloudy day with rain/snow through out the area,however it shall be light...Looking at the thickness we find the 540 line well to our South and West,this would suggest all light snow,however with the lowest part of the atmosphere much warmer today we should see a rain/snow mix....Little or no snow accumulation is forecasted...Highs today lower 40s North/Central to middle 40s South..Tonight under cloudy skies with off and on rain/snow showers lows fall to around the lower 30s North/Central to around the middle 30s South....

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY....

Time to get out and get the yard work done....Looks like a nice weekend setting up...High pressure is forecasted to make camp over the area...Return flow will start to bring in warmer air back into the FA...Highs on Sat...range from the middle 40s North/Central to upper 40s South under partly to mostly sunny skies...Lows on Sat night fall back into the the 30s through the FA...Sunday another nice day with highs in the upper 40s North to lower to middle 50s Central to the upper 50s in my Southern areas...Lows Sun night warm middle to upper 30s.....Back to work/school Monday...One word WOW warm temps are in the forecast....Middle 50s North and Central,also will have a chance at rain showers up in them areas...While our Southern areas enjoy PC skies with highs in the upper 50s....

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.....

Temps do cool back down into the lower to middle 50s through out the area with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s...Yes more rain on it's way through this time frame...This system may bring down some cooler weather for the upcoming weekend...

Looking ahead the 27 and the 28 may see some more snow in the forecast....540 line pushes to our west....This system may be Southern WI first big snows of the season...Stay tuned this is way out there and things can and sure bet they change,nevertheless something we need to watch.....We will have more on this later...

SIDE NOTE....

We will no longer being doing a fall color updates as we are now past peak here in Rice Lake and for most part points North of there...However one still can check out fall color reports from Derek's blog over at NW Wisconsin Weather..See side bar for he's link....

Cold then a nice warm up

We will see well below normal temps the rest of this work week,with off and on showers of snow/rain depending on where you live.Nothing to worry about.Temps do warm up in the 50s by next week,with some 60s down South.Dirk will have a detailed forecast on this warm up this weekend.
Forecaster/Paul S.

Forgot these

Forgot to add these...

October 12 snowfall pictures..

Will have a total when the snow comes to an end..

No winter storm/silver lake pictures

Well the winter storm has become none,still some areas may pick up 1 to 4 inches of snow mainly across the Central and Southern areas...GFS/NAM take the weak low more South than it was forecasted to be on Saturday....

With all the rain we have picked up this month as you can see from these pictures of Silver lake it sure has not helped out at...This was taken on the Northwest side of the lake..

Snowfall pictures

Well we picked up 1/4 inch of snow since 3 AM...Pictures below...

HWD for snow

***WINTER STORM***

Early winter storm has it eyes on the upper Midwest Sunday night and into Monday...
A Early winter storm is forecasted to form over the CO and then move Northeast into the Great Lakes area....The track of this storm system would place my Northern and Northern Central FA under the gun for accumulating snow....See Forecast below for areas that may get the snow....Still a little early to pinpoints amounts,however looks like 2 to 5 inches are going to be possible....For points North of Balsam Lake to Cameron then over to Bruce...1 to 3 inches may fall from points South of said line...In line from Southern Polk Southern Barron,and Northern Chippewa Counties...Looks to be more rain/snow mix so snowfall totals in these areas could be close to an inch of snow....As it looks right now there is going to be a rather sharp cut off line to the snow...Rice Lake,Cumberland,and Haugen could very well hit the jack pot with 5 inches.. while down in Poskin,Turtle Lake may only see an inch of snow,if there lucky...That just shows how sharp the cut off line is setting up...Nothing is writen in stone just yet,however things are looking better than they did this morning..Thinking of the snow area has not changed at all...Did move up the rain and snow line more North though..Per GFS model..NAM model look rather close with the 540 line also....We will see what tomorrow morning runs show....For now am going to stay the track of this morning's forecast with this HWD....

A short forecast discussion for Western/Nortwestern WI

Will put the detailed forecast on hold until this evening.....For the most part snow still looks good,however with the latest computer model runs am going to cut snowfall amounts back down into a dusting to as much as an .050 in some areas..See forecast below for areas that may see that..Forcing does not look that great on the short term models as it did yesterday,also this system has little moisture to work with...Looks like the best and strongest forcing will remain over in MN ..Looks like a dry slot will build into my FA which will also keep snow totals down to a dusting maybe and 0.50 at best..Also the best moisture appears to say out over MN and avoids WI....So thinking is now..A dusting at best that is if we are lucky...Nevertheless most areas should see there first snowflakes of the season on Saturday
.Sunday night into Monday looks like a more of an interesting system...This could bring a better chance at accumulating snows from points around St.Cloud MN to Rice Lake,and Bruce WI.....While mixed rain and snow points South of that line.....If this system goes as planed we could be talking anywhere from 1 to 5 inches of snow..This system does have more going for it,however models are fighting with each other as to how the WAA sets up and where it sets up..This morning the NAM has the 540 line in my far Southern Counties GFS brings the 540 line more north into my Central parts of my central FA..So for now will run with my thinking above,however that may very well change.....We will really dig deeper into tonight...After that system the rest of the new work week looks murky as models are in argumentative mood with each other...So we will hold off on until Sat or even Sunday night to issue a forecast beyond Tuesday......
This whole forecast become one big headache for forecasters...

The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.

Problems with this forecast will be snowfall and points to were the best chance of snow shall fall....Temps are cut and dry so will leave them alone....Then another chance of snow coming in around Sunday night into Monday.....

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

***ONCE AGAIN NO TIME FOR CURRENT SFC OBS***

SFC ANALYSIS....

Cold front came through right on track...997 MB low pressure is over Canada and moving East this pushed the cold front into Central WI as satellite/SFC OBS shows...Matches up rather well on the SFC charts also...Meanwhile a 1004 MB low pressure is over SW NE this is forecasted to move East....Our main system of interests is still way up in the Yukon however this will be moving SE to around the Alberta this afternoon....This system is forecasted to be in North/South DA....Meanwhile a 1023 MB high pressure is forecasted to move into the area tonight and Friday....

TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.....

Low pressure over NE is forecasted to move East...Thinking still remains the same in terms of rain down in my Southern FA....However will have to run with a few more clouds in my Central areas,as this system will be a tad more North than in yesterday's forecast still PC wording should be ok....Will keep PS wording in my North zones....Highs today will be cooler with upper 40s through out the FA..Lows tonight fall into the upper 20s North lower 30s Central and middle 30s South..Friday the FA will be under the high pressure system so look for MS to PC skies through out the FA....Highs in the in the middle to upper 40s through out the FA.....Friday night....GFS/NAM models have slowed down the next system moving SE...While ECMWF is still the fastest....Am going to keep snow chances going for Friday night,However will push it back to very late Friday night into Saturday morning....Lows Fri night upper 20s......

SATURDAY.....

With the slower trends in the most of the models I have blended the two major players....Will add snow chance for Sat to account for this....Here is where things get tricky..Snow should reach my FA by 06-12z Saturday...Profiles do show all snow...Moisture is lacking with this system,however very nice forcing is showing up...As the way it looks right now the most intense snows will be points to the North of a Balsam Lake over to Barron then over to Bruce.....The Northern edge of this intense band of snow would be points South of Siren,Spooner,and Winter.....As far as accumulations go will run with a dusting to as much as an inch of snow some areas may pick up 2 inches if the band of snow lasting longer than forecasted in said areas....While the rest of the FA may see a dusting of snow...Ground is still warm so this will hold down snow totals...Also this system is on the move at a rather fast clip...Highs in the upper 30s with lows in the middle to upper 20s...

Will have a more detailed forecast tonight or tomorrow morning.....Plus a look ahead....

The forecast for Western/Northwestern WI.

Forecast problems..Well not really problems more so concerns....First off the bat is precip chances,2 out of the gates would be the cold air forecasted to make camp over the area with killing freeze for areas that have not had their killing freeze as of yet...Ok lets try to hash all this out....

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

****No time for current conditions****

SFC ANALYSIS....

This morning we see the 990 MB low pressure now centered over Lake MI..Weak area of high pressure is building into the FA...Also our next storm system is poised just to the NW over Canada with it's attending cold front...What is interesting and could play heck with this forecast is a cut off low pressure over Southern CA ....Will this system merge with a system to form over CA...That is the big question....

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.....

We should see this big yellow thing in the sky,don't be alarmed it's just the sun,something we have not see in some time...WAA has already started to kick in with that said today should be warmer than we have see....Temps under partly cloudy skies today should range from the middle 50s North to around 60 in my Southern zones....Lows tonight fall back into the upper 30s to around 40 through out the entire forecast area...

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY....

Cold front is forecasted to race from Western MN into the FA by late Wed night/early Thur morning...Moisture is null with this frontal boundary...Best lift is well North into Northern MN and Canada...So just look for a partly sunny skies through this time frame...Highs on Thur shall range from the upper 40s North to to around 50 Central then bringing up the rear middle 50s South...Computer models do try to bring some rain into the Southern areas along the cold front as some moisture does make it into them areas...So should see cloudy skies down there with a small chance at a few showers,as the upper level low over CA pushes into the Southern Rockies this is forecasted to phase with the system mainly over the Southern FA...We will have to watch this in case rain chances may be needed into my Central areas,for now will them dry...Lows on Thur night fall into the lower 30s up North/Central to the middle 30s South....

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY....

A 1022 MB high pressure will be building into the area for Friday so look for a for Mostly to partly sunny skies through out the whole FA..High on Friday will be cold temps in the middle 40s North/Central to upper 40s in my Southern areas....Friday night shows another system/tof moving SE through Canada ...This will be the next shot colder air to over take the FA....Heights do drop off,as colder air makes into the mid-levels....Very cold air to follow this trof/cold front..850 MB temps drop into the range of -8 to 10 or so...GFS/ECMWF not as happy about snow chances as they were,however NAM is more happy about it...Have decide to stay on the same page with snow chances on Friday night into Saturday morning....Will run with all snow as mid/upper levels would support this...Ground temps still warm so no accumulations are forecasted,However would not be shocked to see a few reports of dusting of snow on cars..Either way the whole FA stands a chance at seeing their first snowflakes of the fall...Lows on Friday night fall into the middle to upper 20s across the North...Central areas fall into the middle to upper 20s,while my Southern areas drop into the upper 20s to around 30....Saturday...Will run with moistly sunny skies up North..Central and Southern areas will run with morning light snow.flurries...Highs on Sat will be cold Lower 40s North and Central with middle 40s South...Would not be shocked to see temps stay in the 30s North and Northern parts of the Central areas...Lows Sat night fall into the middle to upper 20s through out the entire FA....

Much need rainfall

Another much needed rainfall for the area...However it came to late for the farmers..All this rain will do now is help with ground water supply,and area lakes,and rivers...Will also help the soil to gain moisture through out the rest of the fall..With any luck we can keep getting rain through out the rest of the fall...

I decide to take two pictures of two rain gauges I use...We have a total of four rain gauges we use here at The Weather Center...The one says almost 1.50 inches..The pro one is right at 1.50 inches

Forecast still on track for Western/Northwestern WI

Forecast will not need any changes as of now...Things look on track so won't touch it...Some questions do come up for Friday night into Saturday...However going to leave well enough alone ATTM...May be a little warm with temps for the weekend as it looks more colder air ,may be drawn South into the FA...Lows may very well hit the middle 20s with highs middle to upper 40s...That is the only problem as of right now...Rain snow Friday night and into Saturday..This I will leave alone as the model of chocie is still showing it...GFS really hasn't shown this and still holding it's own..Like the ECMWF has been showing this and it too is holding its own...So I won't change the forecast....

Western/Northwestern forecast

Forecast remains on track rather well....Not to many changes needed...This upcoming work week we will still see temps below their normal values...No surprise there...The forecast problems will be clouds and temps today with rain chances...Monday through Wednesday more rain....Snow chances by Friday night...Let try to break this down into a details....

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

This early morning temps are in the middle 40s through out the entire FA...Skies are clouds...So light rain has been noted up in our Northern areas,Radar confirms the SFC OBS...Winds are light to calm....

SFC ANALYSIS...

1005 MB low pressure centered over far Northeast Lake Superior this morning with what appears to be one last trof diving South....Meanwhile our next system of interests is now centered over Eastern NV..This system is a little deeper on today model runs than yesterdays..Low pressure is down to around 990 MBS or close to there...We find a rather large areas of 1018 MB high pressure sitting over the MS/AL areas..In the upper levels we still find the FA locked under a NW flow aloft....Back to our next system to effect the area...NAM and GFS morning analysis are rather close in placement of the low pressure area..Though the ECMWF model has the best handle on this system....GFS and NAM are slowly coming on board...However will use ECMWF model for the finer details with other models blending into the mix....

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

Will keep clouds around as the low pressure system off to our NE will still drawn moisture down from Lake Superior...Sure would not be shocked to see some scattered rain showers from time to time,mainly over our Central and Northern areas...Highs today should top off in the upper 40s North to around 50 Central,and lower 50s South...Tonight low pulls far enough away to take the rain chances out of the FA...Lows tonight fall into the upper 30s through out the entire FA...Still will keep clouds around as on low moves away and we begin to feel the effect of the next low....

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT....

I have threw NAM right out the window as it wants to take the low pressure just to our West right over the MN/WI border....ECMWF and GFS...Though I feel GFS is still slightly more West and weaker with the low...ECWMF take the low pressure and move it NE towards Southern WI GFS and has the low to around 997 MBS by time it reaches Southern WI by Tuesday night...GFS on the other hand has it down to around 1003 MBS then deepens the low to around 995 MBS by Tuesday night as it reaches NW WI..Will throw out GFS's track as it seems to still be off...ECWMF is the model of choice here..Do think over the next few runs GFS will latch onto ECWMF...Either way moisture will be brought back into the area...INSTBY is null once again so will keep thunderstorms out of the FCST...Thinking still is this system won't give us the rainfall amounts as seen with the last system,nonetheless still much needed rain on it's way...Monday our far Northern areas may see the sun break out from time to time before the rain moves in that area towards the evening hrs....Highs on Monday should be right around 50° Lows Monday night with rain in the lower 40s...Heights will be to warm for snow Monday night....Tuesday looks to be rainy day across the entire FA with highs in the the lower 50s North and Central..Our Southern area could hit the middle 50s..Lows on Tuesday night in the upper 30s to lower 40s....

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.....

A dry period with highs in the lower 50s North to and lower to middle 50s Central while our Southern areas bask under the the middle to upper 50s....Lows shall range from the middle 30s to around 40....A better chance at seeing the suns through this time frame as an area of weak high pressure moves in....

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.....

Another system on the docket for this time frame....Should not be has strong as the last 2 that effected the area....However still will see some rain showers....As of right now the best areas to see this would be the Central and Northern areas....Friday night heights fall and we could see the rain mix with and some areas change over to all light snow showers.....Best areas to see snow mixed with the rain and or just all light snow showers should be from Rice Lake and points North of there....Saturday should see just all rain,however in the morning hrs still could see some snow mixed in....Highs on Friday lower to middle 50s North and Central,upper 50s in our Southern areas....Lows Friday night lower to middle 30s North and Central areas to the upper 30s in the Southern areas....Saturday still some rain showers around with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.....

LONGER TERM...(OCT 12 THROUGH OCT 20)

As you all know last night both Paul and I had hard time taking in what the models were saying in this time frame,as a few wanted to bring in a big warm up while other did not....Am still having some what of a hard time buying into all of this,however the trend is showing up a tad better ...Got to low
Well this morning runs are back to the colder trend once again....Monday the 12 looks like we could see more snow showers through the area as the 540 line is well to the South and West..Still may see some rain/snow showers around the area for the 13 and early on the 14...After that things dry out from the 15 through 16....Another system does take aim on the FA for the 16 that should be all rain as the heights warm back up....on the 18 or 19 we will have to keep an eye on a system that will try to tap into the cold air once again..Thinking attm is that rain will change over to snow,however the change will happen after the system is off to our East so no big snows from this one..However Eastern areas of WI may see some snows...This system does need to be watch over the next week....It may or may not happen...Get ready for a roller coast of a ride in the temps dept.....Is all I can say right now......

SIDE NOTE.....

The longer term forecast can and will most likely change...This long term forecast is in no way shape or form written in stone,and should not be taken as that way....There are way to many things that can go wrong with long term outlook...To be frank with everyone after 3 days out things get to be iffy....However we here at The Weather Center strive to bring you the best forecast as we can....With all the remarks and emails we do get and watching our verifications we feel we do this rather well...We do stick our heads on the chopping block way sooner than other forecasting sites, which as put us in the leading forecasting sites for the area,as most of our viewers wrote us.....Paul S will have a write up on this tonight the way it sounded last night after going though about 100 emails....We do thank each and everyone of our viewers...By all means we are not bragging just going on what our viewers are saying and what our verifications are showing...

Main forecast word through the rest of the weekend and all of the next work week....Cool....This will also go through the long term forecast period....Also in the long term forecast that four letter word does show up,just like in my last forecast,,,Yes snow could be a possibility.....Much needed rainfall over the last two days,Like we stated before this will not help any of the vegetation or crops as they have been killed of by last Wednesday killing frost,this will slowly start to help the ground water supply along with lakes,and rivers...More on this later in the weekend or early next week...

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

At this 6 PM hr temps are in the upper 40s Central and North,while the Southern parts of the FA 50 to 52...Radar still showing a few scattered showers towards the Southern and far Eastern parts of the FA....While the Counties around Lake Superior are seeing more widespread showers...Satellite imagery showing a large area of clouds through out the upper Midwest....

SFC ANALYSIS....

Weather maps show the area of low pressure is no off to our East,however trofs that have been spinning around this low still effect the FA....Weak area of high pressure off to our West...Next storm system moving on the Western Coast....

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.....

1006 MB low pressure will move East/Northeast it shall be far enough away so no trofs should spin into the area,hence the rain will be pulling away..Thinking is keep cloud cover in the area though weak high pressure will be moving into and through the FA right through Sunday night when the next system start to take hold,with clouds from it....Lows tonight upper 30s to around 40 all areas...Highs on your first Sunday of Oct right around the 50° mark...Lows Sunday night will run about the same as Sat night....

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY....

Next system of interests is forecasted to move from the plain into SE WI by Tuesday night it is also FCSTD to deepen to around 993 MBS...This will spread rain back into the FA Starting on Monday and lasting through this time frame...Models are still some what uncertain to the amount of rainfall....Thinking is it won't be as much as last time,we still have time to play with,and make any changes to this forecast if needed...Highs through this period upper 40s to lower 50s...Lows upper 30s to the lower 40s,however down in my Southern areas they could see middle 40s by Tuesday night......

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.....

Will run with a dry period Wednesday and Thursday..though models are hinting at still a chance of rain showers in my Southern areas for Wed.....Highs will remain cool with 50s and lows in the 30s to 40s..Next weather maker moves in for Friday and Sat....Cold enough air will be drawn South for some rain/snow showers Friday night from Rice Lake and points North,South of this line just rain showers.....Sat will see just rain showers as heights warm up along with temp in the 40s North,and Central,while our Southern areas see around 50...

LONGER TERM.OCT 13 THROUGH OCT 19....

May see some more rain/snow showers on Tuesday the 13...After that everything is up in the air once again...Some models showing a warmer period than before while others still showing a cold period with chances of snow....So far now will hold off on jumping onto anything ATTM...

Just remember this was the only forecasting site that was saying killing frost and freeze....Days before it happened!

Short term through middle term...Forecaster Dirk M...

Longer term...Forecaster Paul S..

September recap

This recap is for mainly Barron County ONLY...

September started off with temps well below normal...Temps did warm after the middle of the month...Held that way for about two weeks,Last week of Setp had temps right around normal..Most areas in our Central and Northern areas did get their killing frost on the 29...Over all temps will go down to normal for this month...We here at The Weather Center we are calling Sept a normal month after we done an Avg of temps through out the month....Precip will go down well below normal...As much as - 3.00 below normal..There was only 2 thunderstorm days...Last Sept we had 5 thunderstorm days...This Sept we had no severe thunderstorms to effect Barron County....Last Sept we had 1 severe thunderstorm to effect parts of Barron County...So Sept 09 will go down as normal temps well below normal rainfall...What will Oct hold for us...So far we are starting this month with well below normal temps.Rainfall is starting out on the right foot(see post below for that)...Lets look back at last Oct(08)....We did see our first snowfakes of the year on Oct 26.We had a dusting of snow on Oct 28...Why am I talking about this..Well read the forecast below to find out....

Radar rainfall totals as of 5 pm

As you can see the zoomed in area...Most areas picked up and 1.00 to 1.50...As much as 2.5 to 3.00 has fallen Around and North of Grantsburg....Now I have showed tow different radar maps...If one only looks at the radar out Cities you would miss what the Northeast part of Barron County picked up...This is why us at The Weather center always look at all 3 radar sites that cover our FA....

Toad

Ok now I know I need a new hobby...LOL...This is what greated me when I opened the door this morning...I have tons of these guys around here,this is one of the smaller ones...

Western and Northwestern WI forecast

Much needed rainfall through out the over night hrs....Windy conditions through parts of the FA along with more much needed rainfall...Temps to remain cool through the extended forecast.Snow in the longer term..Lots to talk about this morning so lets get right to it....
Much needed rainfall as fallen across much of the FA,however a little to late to help out crops as most of my Central and Northern areas have seen their killing frost/freeze,however no with most of the vegetation killed off this rainfall should start to help the ground water supply,rivers,and lakes...We will have a detailed drought update this weekend...Now on to the forecast.....

CURRENT CONDITIONS...

At this 3 AM hour we find temps in the middle 40s through out the entire FA...Winds have been rather strong across the area gusts up to 25 MPH Central and Southern areas..Meanwhile wind closer to Lake Superior have been gusting up to 30 to 45 MPH out of the NE....Most areas reporting rain at this hr....

SFC/UPPER ANALYSIS....

This morning at the SFC we find a rather strong low pressure system sitting over Southern MN around Cottonwood County or there bouts...Low is at 995 MBS at this hr..
Cold front reaching from said low all the way South deep into the heart of TX,1025 MB high pressure sitting over the Rockies...In the upper levels we find the upper level low is over SD however nice jet sitting over the FA winds of 30 KNTS This has aided in drawn up moisture into the area...Hence the widespread rainfall.....

TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY....

Today we shall see the low pressure system slowly work out of MN into WI to around just South of EAU as it does this low is forecasted to weaken some....This will keep the FA under periods of rain QPF off the models show around 0.25 to as much as 0.75 may be some areas picking up and inch of rain today...So another round of much needed rainfall on store for this second day of Oct..Will not add thunder to the FA as the INSTBY is null.......Also windy conditions shall be had through my Northern and Central areas...Winds through these areas could be gusting up to 30 MPH...Higher closer to Lake Superior...Central areas could see wind gusts up to 25 MPH mainly this early morning...Southern areas winds will be some what lighter after this morning......Highs today shall be in the 40s Northern and Central areas Middle to upper 40s seem to work in them areas....My Southern areas temps should be around the 50° mark....Tonight will have to keep rain alive through out the FA some areas may pick up another 0.25 inches of rain....Lows tonight fall into the lower to middle 40s.....Saturday we shall see more of the same,more rain along with cool temps,highs barley making it into the 50s...Saturday night rain chance do drop off as the low pulls away from the area....Lows fall into the middle 30s through the entire FA....Sunday Will keep a chance of showers ongoing far Northern areas while the rest of the FA should see Partly Cloudy skies highs lower 50s North and Central with a shot at middle 50s South.....

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY....

More wet and cool weather on tap for the FA....Really to hard to time systems so will paint the Northern and Central area with a chance of rain each and every day as of right now...Our Southern areas may only see cloudy skies come Thursday....Highs in the 50s North and Central could hit upper 50s to lower 60s through out this time frame down in my Southern areas....

LONG TERM FORECAST (OCT 10 THROUGH OCT 18)....

If long term models are right we could be looking at some colder air for the following weekend...May see some rain mixed with or changing over to snow as heights fall Sat night into Sun Heights warm back up by Wed only to fall back off by Fri with another shot at rain/snow...By Sun heights should be warm enough for just rain....H8 temps....through out this time frame show temps ranging from -8 to +4 C....We will take a closer look at the long term this weekend as this may lead to our first snowfall for parts of the FA...Stay tuned....