Saturday, October 3, 2009

Main forecast word through the rest of the weekend and all of the next work week....Cool....This will also go through the long term forecast period....Also in the long term forecast that four letter word does show up,just like in my last forecast,,,Yes snow could be a possibility.....Much needed rainfall over the last two days,Like we stated before this will not help any of the vegetation or crops as they have been killed of by last Wednesday killing frost,this will slowly start to help the ground water supply along with lakes,and rivers...More on this later in the weekend or early next week...

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

At this 6 PM hr temps are in the upper 40s Central and North,while the Southern parts of the FA 50 to 52...Radar still showing a few scattered showers towards the Southern and far Eastern parts of the FA....While the Counties around Lake Superior are seeing more widespread showers...Satellite imagery showing a large area of clouds through out the upper Midwest....

SFC ANALYSIS....

Weather maps show the area of low pressure is no off to our East,however trofs that have been spinning around this low still effect the FA....Weak area of high pressure off to our West...Next storm system moving on the Western Coast....

TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.....

1006 MB low pressure will move East/Northeast it shall be far enough away so no trofs should spin into the area,hence the rain will be pulling away..Thinking is keep cloud cover in the area though weak high pressure will be moving into and through the FA right through Sunday night when the next system start to take hold,with clouds from it....Lows tonight upper 30s to around 40 all areas...Highs on your first Sunday of Oct right around the 50° mark...Lows Sunday night will run about the same as Sat night....

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY....

Next system of interests is forecasted to move from the plain into SE WI by Tuesday night it is also FCSTD to deepen to around 993 MBS...This will spread rain back into the FA Starting on Monday and lasting through this time frame...Models are still some what uncertain to the amount of rainfall....Thinking is it won't be as much as last time,we still have time to play with,and make any changes to this forecast if needed...Highs through this period upper 40s to lower 50s...Lows upper 30s to the lower 40s,however down in my Southern areas they could see middle 40s by Tuesday night......

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.....

Will run with a dry period Wednesday and Thursday..though models are hinting at still a chance of rain showers in my Southern areas for Wed.....Highs will remain cool with 50s and lows in the 30s to 40s..Next weather maker moves in for Friday and Sat....Cold enough air will be drawn South for some rain/snow showers Friday night from Rice Lake and points North,South of this line just rain showers.....Sat will see just rain showers as heights warm up along with temp in the 40s North,and Central,while our Southern areas see around 50...

LONGER TERM.OCT 13 THROUGH OCT 19....

May see some more rain/snow showers on Tuesday the 13...After that everything is up in the air once again...Some models showing a warmer period than before while others still showing a cold period with chances of snow....So far now will hold off on jumping onto anything ATTM...

Just remember this was the only forecasting site that was saying killing frost and freeze....Days before it happened!

Short term through middle term...Forecaster Dirk M...

Longer term...Forecaster Paul S..