Much needed rainfall through out the over night hrs....Windy conditions through parts of the FA along with more much needed rainfall...Temps to remain cool through the extended forecast.Snow in the longer term..Lots to talk about this morning so lets get right to it....
Much needed rainfall as fallen across much of the FA,however a little to late to help out crops as most of my Central and Northern areas have seen their killing frost/freeze,however no with most of the vegetation killed off this rainfall should start to help the ground water supply,rivers,and lakes...We will have a detailed drought update this weekend...Now on to the forecast.....
CURRENT CONDITIONS...
At this 3 AM hour we find temps in the middle 40s through out the entire FA...Winds have been rather strong across the area gusts up to 25 MPH Central and Southern areas..Meanwhile wind closer to Lake Superior have been gusting up to 30 to 45 MPH out of the NE....Most areas reporting rain at this hr....
SFC/UPPER ANALYSIS....
This morning at the SFC we find a rather strong low pressure system sitting over Southern MN around Cottonwood County or there bouts...Low is at 995 MBS at this hr..
Cold front reaching from said low all the way South deep into the heart of TX,1025 MB high pressure sitting over the Rockies...In the upper levels we find the upper level low is over SD however nice jet sitting over the FA winds of 30 KNTS This has aided in drawn up moisture into the area...Hence the widespread rainfall.....
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY....
Today we shall see the low pressure system slowly work out of MN into WI to around just South of EAU as it does this low is forecasted to weaken some....This will keep the FA under periods of rain QPF off the models show around 0.25 to as much as 0.75 may be some areas picking up and inch of rain today...So another round of much needed rainfall on store for this second day of Oct..Will not add thunder to the FA as the INSTBY is null.......Also windy conditions shall be had through my Northern and Central areas...Winds through these areas could be gusting up to 30 MPH...Higher closer to Lake Superior...Central areas could see wind gusts up to 25 MPH mainly this early morning...Southern areas winds will be some what lighter after this morning......Highs today shall be in the 40s Northern and Central areas Middle to upper 40s seem to work in them areas....My Southern areas temps should be around the 50° mark....Tonight will have to keep rain alive through out the FA some areas may pick up another 0.25 inches of rain....Lows tonight fall into the lower to middle 40s.....Saturday we shall see more of the same,more rain along with cool temps,highs barley making it into the 50s...Saturday night rain chance do drop off as the low pulls away from the area....Lows fall into the middle 30s through the entire FA....Sunday Will keep a chance of showers ongoing far Northern areas while the rest of the FA should see Partly Cloudy skies highs lower 50s North and Central with a shot at middle 50s South.....
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY....
More wet and cool weather on tap for the FA....Really to hard to time systems so will paint the Northern and Central area with a chance of rain each and every day as of right now...Our Southern areas may only see cloudy skies come Thursday....Highs in the 50s North and Central could hit upper 50s to lower 60s through out this time frame down in my Southern areas....
LONG TERM FORECAST (OCT 10 THROUGH OCT 18)....
If long term models are right we could be looking at some colder air for the following weekend...May see some rain mixed with or changing over to snow as heights fall Sat night into Sun Heights warm back up by Wed only to fall back off by Fri with another shot at rain/snow...By Sun heights should be warm enough for just rain....H8 temps....through out this time frame show temps ranging from -8 to +4 C....We will take a closer look at the long term this weekend as this may lead to our first snowfall for parts of the FA...Stay tuned....
Pop Pop Heaven
4 years ago
