The forecast for Western & Northwestern WI

Active weather pattern keeps a going, and going, and going...Will also be talking about a chance of severe thunderstorms...


***CURRENT CONDITIONS***

At his 9 AM hr temps for the most part are running in the lower 60s with 50s around Lake Superior..Dewpoints rather sticky once again upper 50s to lower 60s, again cooler along Lake Superior...Winds have been turning from the NE to the SE....Skies are cloudy like the past several mornings....Some stations are also reporting fog....

***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

The early morning showers and storms have now pushed well North/East of the area... However still look for more showers and a few thunderstorms today as a trof moves through the area.. Along with a shortwave dropping South out of Canada.. Tomorrow models bring in an area of weak high pressure... So with any luck at all we should see the sun...Along with warmer temps...Thursday is looking to be the day of interest across the FA... NAM model showing a 996 MB low over NW WY NAM moves this low into NW ND and deepens it to around 991 MBS... Cape is forecasted to run from 1000 to 1500 J/KG... LIS are forecasted to be from -2 to -4.... Dewpoints will climb for the middle to upper 60 by Thursday afternoon. Wind shear is looking rather good . One problem noted on this setup so far is the 700 MB temps may produce a stronger cap as temps shoot for +12c to +14c So if this plays out we may not see severe thunderstorms until Thursday night when the cold front pushes into the area, along with low level jet increasing to 30 to 40 KTS... With all the dynamics coming into play I feel by late Thursday afternoon will be a very busy day for forecasters, storm chasers, and skywarn spotters and my nowcaster....Could be a long late afternoon and evening....Note must models are picking up on this possible severe weather event.

High pressure builds back into the FA for Friday and Saturday with near normal temps....

***TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT***

Showers and a few thunderstorms possible at any giving time highs around 70... Lows in the middle 50s... Winds Southeast from 5 to 10 MPH...

***WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT***

Partly cloudy, highs upper 70s with lows around 60, with light winds....

***THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT***

Showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon highs around 80.. Lows in the lower 60s....We will have to watch for strong and severe thunderstorm chances...