Monday, June 14, 2010

Forecast for Western/Northwestern WI

Forecast as you can see remains problematic....As we are greeted with clouds and fog...As the showers have moved into SW/South Central MN...Models still have problems with these features...Thinking is convection problems....So we will try to work through this mess...


***CURRENT CONDITION***

Temps are in the upper 50s across the whole FA...Dewpoints are running close to that...Some stations are reporting fog as well...Skies overall are cloudy some breaks far North and East....Winds calm to around 5 MPH out of the NE....Radar is showing a rather large area of showers over MN moving toward the NE...Showers have pushed into Pierce County already along with Pepin County.....As of 7:45 AM

***FORECAST DISCUSSION***

Today we shall see two systems to effect the area which was not expected to happen as fast.. Nevertheless it is.....First area that pesky stationary frontal boundary...Though it has sank further South...Waves of low pressures/trofs have been riding along with....Causing thunderstorm complexes to form over NE and IA then move into the FA.. Once again we see it this morning...Although yesterdays system took it's sweet time in getting here and for the most dried up to just some areas of light rain in the evening HRs, thanks to somewhat drier air in place yesterday...Today moisture is a little more instability in like yesterday little to non...So with that said I don't expect any thunderstorms today...Also a disturbance over Southern SD is forecasted to push East...Some questions remain if the two system will join forces most models suggest this, forming an upper level low.. This forecasted to move into MN sometime tonight or tomorrow morning... Timing and placement of said upper level low is somewhat up in the air... To make matters worst we also find an trof in the mix this is forecasted to move through MN into the FA by around Tuesday afternoon.. So looks like we shall be dealing with showers today and tonight...Tomorrow/tomorrow night have decided to add thunder back into the forecast with better lift and instability moving back into the FA....Weak high is forecasted to take control for Wednesday/Wednesday night...If this plays out we should see that big yellow thing AKA the sun... However this shall be short lived as another system moves into the late Wednesday night, bring another round of showers and thunderstorms back to the FA through Thursday night... Right now most of next weekend shall remain dry...One can only hope...Right?....

***TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT***

Cloudy with showers...Thunderstorms will also be possible Tuesday/Tuesday night..... Highs right around 70 both days...Lows in the middle to upper 50s both nights...Winds today through tonight around 5 to 10 MPH from the East...Tomorrow winds become South around 5 to 10 MPH...

***WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT***

Partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday night...Highs middle 70s lows lower 60s..

***THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT***

Showers and thunderstorms.. Highs around 80 with lows around 63 or so....