Below temps won't end, a few warm days here and there.Forecast below

Temps cold this morning,will slowly warm up before our next cool down arrives late in the weekend,Chance of wintry mix....

CURRENT CONDITIONS......

Skies over the FA are ranging from Mostly cloudy up in the Siren area to Clear through out the rest of the FA....Temps dropped well below zero last night, and are ranging from - 21 at Hayward to -6 over in New Richmond...Satellite showing clouds over in MN,would expect them to start moving in later this morning in areas that are clear as of this writing....

SFC ANALYSIS.....

Cold front has pushed well to the South and East of the area....Cold front is now over the OH Valley and reaches towards Northern MO and back into Northeastern NE,Cold front goes under morphogenesis into a warm front from SD to ND up into Canada..Here is were our next cold front lies at this hour,meanwhile large ridge of high pressure still in control of the Western States..

TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT....

High pressure is forecasted to shift to the South/Southeast today,Warm front will slowly work towards the East..This will allow some WAA to kick in and will allow for clouds to increase this morning...May see some light snow later this afternoon across the FA,not to thrilled about accumulations attm...Temps today really aren't going to warm up as some News Media have been screaming over the last few days...Thinking temps will range from around 10 North to middle teens South....Tonight WAA starts to take off will keep temps steady some places closer to the MN border may even raise a little....There will be a chance of a wintry mix as the warm over rides the cooler air at the SFC....Saturday will be a tricky day as far as temps go.....As of right now my I will have to say upper 20s look the way to run,however closer to the MN border temps may every well hit the lower 30s..Will all depend if we get some breaks in the cloud cover..Plus warm front won't even been into the area yet..There still will be a small chance of a wintry mix....Saturday night..Warm front pushes through this should bring the end to the wintry mix..Cold front will also be pushing through by 00z Sunday so temps really won't have a chance to get as warm as they could have......Will run with a low around the middle teens.There will be a small chance for some light snow also...Side note...I might as well jump on the train with this one...This could be the first Jan in many years that we have not got up to the 32° mark,the way it's looking no 32° this Jan...I will have to do some research on this...Just to see when the last time this has happened...

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT....

Sunday's temps still look to be in the middle 20s through out the area,still will keep snow chances alive as a Arctic cold front blast through the area...What to do with low temps for Sunday night and again Monday night,along with highs on Monday....Guidance has been to warm with these cold snaps we been having through out this winter..Trends with all the cold snaps would indicate to me to go colder than model guidance,just how cold to go well that is hard one..Sunday night close to zero should work out ok for the Southern areas....Northern areas will run with a few degrees below zero...Monday I will run with temps in the lower teens seems the way to run without much sunshine forecasted Still will be a small chance of some light snow around the area....Monday night temps around -5 should be ok for my Southern areas, while my Central and Northern areas should drop to around -10 or so...

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.....

Still will hold onto cold temps through this time frame..Will runs with highs in the lower to middle teens,while over night lows should have no problem relieving -15 to -1 through out this period....Forecast should remain rather dry during this period also....

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.....

Temps still look rather cool for this time frame,unlike last week when models were hinting at a big warm up...Temps may get close to around the 30° mark on Thursday before the next cold front move in and cools us back off once again...Will through in a chance of mix percip as this appears to be close to the same set up as we are in right now...No big storm systems to effect the area through this frame,as it was looking last week we might have been dealing with a few,or very close calls..Not anymore..Thanks to a large system that is forecasted to move up the Eastern Coast States through the whole forecast period above.....So temps will still be below norms through out this period..No big shock there....

LONGER TERM FORECAST FEB 7 THROUGH SUNDAY FEB 15.....

Temps start this time frame out in the upper 20s to lower 30s...After the weekend temps drop back off as a few storm system could effect the area...With each passing one more Arctic air will be drawn South wards..So below norms temps still camping out over the area, as old man winter really loves this areas this year..If the long range models are correct we could be dealing with a few good size snow storms through this period!...We shall see on that....Again this is way out there and thing can and do chance in the long term forecast,as I have seen many times.....