My AFD

Quite weather prevails through the Northwood's...Mostly sunny skies and mostly clear nights..Will be the main story....More clouds Mon & Tue night....Temps in the 50s for highs and lows for the most part in the 20s...That sums up the weekend and all of next week...

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

SFC OBS showing temps in the teens and middle 20s across our FA, Wind are light this early morning..Satellite is showing some high clouds drifting across my Northern and Central areas of MN,and into far NW WI....

SFC ANALYSIS.....

Large blocking pattern has set up over the FA...Large 1032 High pressure centered over the Southern part of Hudson Bay....

TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK....

For the most part I left the forecast alone...I did tweak temps up a degree or 2 through out much of the zones,other than that the forecast is handed over to me rather well..I see no reason why to break stride,as this blocking pattern is forecasted by most models to hold right through the end of next week...Main storm track is forecasted to remain well South of the FA through put this time frame...Temps will be rather warm 50s for highs 30s for lows...On and near the shores of Lake Superior temps in the 40s for highs and upper 20s to lower 30s will rule as onshore winds kick in...Still that is rather warm for those areas...

NEXT WEEKEND....

Models are hinting at some precip coming into play...Large high pressure/ridge is forecasted to move off to the East by than,however Models have been under estimating the dry air that has been in place the past week...It will take awhile to moisten up the air..So I went with the model of choice..Yes old reliable ECMWF..Based on this model will only increase clouds and hold off on precip attm..GFS is way to robust with this system as far as I'm concerned....Temps do cool off some Lower 50s for the most part...

LONGER TERM APR..20 th THROUGH APR 27....

So when do we get some much needed precip into the FA ?.....This will be a hard one,do to the dry air overhead now,and the way models have been handling it...Dry air still looks to be in place for Mon.Tue we find a system moving just North of the area this may bring in some precip to our far Northern FA of MN...Right on it's heal another system dropping South should help bring a better shot of precip for Tue night into Wed...This could come in a form of rain/snow mix before mixing and changing over to all snow...Thur and Fri looks to be dry...The 25th through the 27 we may find more precip moving back into the area as systems move out of the Northern plain right into the FA...That should be all rain.....Temps start off the period on the warm side upper 40s to lower 50s,Then cool down into the 40s mid week....Than a nice warm up once again to end this period.