Saturday, April 25, 2009

The weekend Forecast..

Forecast problems..Much needed rain still falling at this hour..Though it may be a rather wet weekend most agree the rain is needed.....Rain and then thunderstorm chances for Sunday and Sunday night...Temps rather simple 50s through out the whole forecast cycle...Also no severe thunderstorms are forecasted for the area on Sunday..The only areas that may strong to severe thunderstorms would by to the South..Southwest WI over to around the Door County area,and points South of there..

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

What a difference 24 hours makes..Yesterday at time we were in the 50s...Today temps are in the 30s and 40s...Winds are out of the North/Northwest across all of our FA...Radar showing a large area of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms over the Southern FA...Also radar showing showers over our Central and Northern areas...

SFC ANALYSIS.....

Cold front that pushed through the area during the evening hours is now over Southern WI,reaching through Central IA then through KS to a 1008 MB low pressure.Meanwhile we find a 1022 MB high pressure over far Western SD....

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT....

Cold front will keep moving away from the area and will get stalled out over Central IL and Northern MO...Meantime we will see shortwaves move along the frontal boundary...This will keep moisture over riding the said front...Will keep highest chances of rain this morning..With off and on showers through out the rest of the day..Will run with temps in the lower 50s North to the middle 50s South..Will also keep a chance of thunderstorm alive in my far Southern Counties....Tonight cold front is forecasted to start to works it's way back North as a warm front...As a 1001 MB low pressure over SW NE begins to lift NE..This will cause moisture to be drawn back North will keep the best chances of showers and thunderstorms in my Southern Counties,with a slight chance in my Central Counties...My Northern Counties may not see and rain at all tonight....Lows tonight will range from the 30s North to middle 40s South....

SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.....

Sunday morning the warm front moves into my Southern areas and lifts Northwards into my Central areas in the afternoon hours..Then through my Northern areas late afternoon...1004 MB low pressure will also move into Southern central area of MN then move right through NW WI....This low will also drag a cold front into the area Sunday evening...Showers and thunderstorms will kick off once again...Some of these storms could be on the strong side from my Central Counties down into my Southern Counties by Sunday afternoon/Early evening....Thinking is the severe thunderstorms will remain out of my FA...Some may brush my far Southern Counties....See above for thinking as to where we feel Severe thunderstorms may set up....Highs on your Sunday will range from the middle 40s North to the lower 60s South...Sunday night Will keep showers and a few thunderstorms going to around the 12 Am to 1 Am in my Southern and Central Counties...Our Northern Counties will be dealing with rain mixing with snow and freezing rain...Than may pick up and inch or so up there...Lows Sunday night will drop to the lower 30s North, lowers 40s Central,and middle 40s South....

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.....

A break in the action is on tap for the FA through period...Mostly sunny skies and mostly clear nights....Temps will range from the lower 60s South..To Lower to middle 50s Central..May be in the upper 50s by Wed....Temps in the North mainly in the middle to upper 40s.....
Looks like more showers and thunderstorms on the way for late in the week...With chances of snow through the over night hours up North....
No time for a long range FCST as we will talk about why the severe weather happened a little more North.also why the severe weather took off to the East of the area....However for the most part yesterday's forecast was right on the tee....
Forecasters Dirk/Paul....