Sunday, April 12, 2009

Not a bad forecast

Still not to much to talk about as the FA is still locked under a block pattern..Fire weather starting to become a concern...Though chance of rain/snow do show up in the forecast....Longer term...Big warm up on it's way....

CURRENT CONDITIONS.....

Temps starting out this morning in the lower to middle 30s across much of the area...Some upper teens and lower to middle 20s still found up in Northern MN.....Some high to middle level clouds are streaming into the FA from the SW...

SFC ANALYSIS......

Large area of high pressure over Hudson bay Canada shall keep most of the Eastern 3/4 of the CONUS dry...We do a small system over the Rockies this morning...Other than that not much out there to talk about....

TODAY THROUGH MONDAY....

Warm dry period across the FA...I did cut temps a few degrees up in our far NW MN zones to account for winds blowing off the ice pack/cold water of Lake Superior...Also temps will be a few degrees colder along all the shores of Lake Superior as there still is a rather large ice pack....Rest of the FA looks great..Did bump up temps in a few zones after seeing yesterday's trends..Am starting to get concerned about fire weather over my Central/Southern areas of WI into a small area of MN..I did add in some rain chances up in my Northern Zones of MN as a weak system pushes along the Canada border...Still not 100% sure that will pan out do to the dry airmass in place....

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY....

Warmer temps for this period through out the area,along with very dry conditions...We may have to issue a HWD for fire weather chances over a good part of the WI FA along with some of our Southern MN areas later today....

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY....

Another system is forecasted to move into the FA this will bring a small chance of rain and rain/snow showers into play...Mostly like will see the rain/snow mix during the over night hours of Fri...Will clear precip out for Sat...Setting up another nice weekend..

LONG TERM APR 22 THROUGH APR 28.....

Temps start off very warm...Looks like parts of the FA could hit their 70 degree temp..Could even be into the middle 70s by the 23rd and 25th....Temps do cool back of into the 50s/60s by 27th and 28th..So mild temps will rule this time frame...How about precip....Looks like a rather active period coming up with off and on chances of showers and thunderstorms....This is way out in time so things can change...