Friday, April 24, 2009

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FORECASTED!

Forecast will run it's coarse...Just as we thought over the last few days severe thunderstorms will remain South of area...I'm still not to thrilled about North Central,Central WI for severe storms....Still feel if anything happens it will be points South of EAU...I'm happy about IA for the better chance at seeing severe thunderstorms...A rainy weekend on tap for the FA...

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

Temps this morning range from the lower 50s to middle 50 across the FA....Winds at this hour a rather light..DPS still not that high middle to upper 40s a few station reporting 50°..Radar is showing a few showers from Douglas County down into Polk County...Better area of showers and some thunderstorms are showing up over parts of Trempealeau.Jackson Counties and points South and East of there...

SFC ANALYSIS......

Cold front is sitting over Eastern parts of MN from just West of Duluth down towards LXL Then towards SW MN....Large high pressure is reaching from Canada down into MT pressure of high sitting right around 1022 MBS...

TODAY...

Cold front is moving faster than models have forecasted,However we had the handle on this the last few days....With the cold front moving faster than models have thought this will put the squash on any chances of severe thunderstorms in most of my FA..Like stated above best areas to see strong to severe thunderstorms will be point South of EAU.Though this is very slim chance in them areas also..Which has been in the running forecast for the past few days......BY 18z cold front will have pushed through most of my FA ...DPS still not as high as models have been forecasting...Right now DPS are in the Middle to upper 40s some 50s also showing in the SFC OBS...Also a very strong Cap in place this morning...This is not forecasted to break until later today..By time it does I feel the cold front will have pushed out of the my FA,Winds will become West/Northwest this morning ...Highs today will be tricky...60s up in my Northern parts of the FA 70s in the Central areas.80s possible in my Southern areas..

Tonight....

A better chance at showers and thunderstorms as the front is South of the area however moisture will be over riding the frontal boundary...Along with waves riding along the boundary...Parts of the area could pick up close to 1/2 of much needed rainfall tonight...Lows tonight will pull back into the low 40s....

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Best chance of showers and thunderstorms will be found in the early to mid morning hours...Cold front is forecasted to be more South of the area than was forecasted..So Sat may very well turn out to be drier...Temps will be much colder with highs right around the 50 degree mark....Sat night more moisture starts to work it's way back Northward into the area..As of right now will only run with a slight chance of showers and t-storms...Low fall into the upper 30s....Sunday looks to be a wet day for the FA..More showers and storms for the area as a wave will move along the frontal boundary..This will help to push the boundary back North closer to the area,this will allow for moisture to once again over ride the boundary area sparking of showers and thunderstorms....No severe thunderstorms are forecasted for the area....

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY....

Looks dry and cool with highs in the 50s maybe some low 60s by Thur...Lows in the 30s and 40s....

So to recap...No severe thunderstorms for the area....