Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Warm.cooler and cold!

Forecast problems....Light rain over the weekend and then a cooling trend back to below norms once again....

CURRENT CONDITIONS....

Temps starting off rather nice this morning thanks to clouds over night lower 30s to around 40 through out the FA...Where clouds cleared out sooner temps dropped into the upper 20s..Radar still showing some light returns up in NE areas of the FA...I don't see anything in the SFC OBS....Some more light returns over in Central and Northern MN..The only station reporting lgt rain is Waskish....

SFC ANALYSIS....

Weak system to our SE with another weak system to our NE..And a nice long wave out to our West.....

TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY....

System to our South is forecasted to move Slowly pull of to the East today and the system to our NE is also forecasted to pull of to our NE...This has/will allow for the clouds to clear out of the area...Setting up a very nice day through out the FA...This should right through Fri...Highs in the 50s to the middle 60s ...With lows in the upper 20s to middle 30s.....Fire weather...Fire conditions across the area remain Mod to high..See no reason why that will change as HUM levels are low...

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY....

We see a 1019 Low pressure moving into MN Fri Night...Will run with some light rain showers,however moisture coming into the area has dry air to work through..So Fri night is the Boundary level does not moisten up we may not nothing more than clouds...Will keep the chance of showers alive for Sat..Though the are of low pressure washes out over head...On Sun we should see a better chance of showers as a trof pushes NE into the area...Models showing QPF in the order of .25...May even see the rain mix with some snow up in my Northern FA....Temps through this period will slowly fall back into the 50s for highs with middle 30s for lows...

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.....

System pulls away from the area...So mostly sunny skies look to be the rule...Highs still holding in the middle 50s with lows in the middle 30s...

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.....

Wed attm looks to be high and dry..We will be watching a system moving just north of the CONUS and another one moving Northeast out of SD..This will bring in another shot of rain Thru night and Fri....Temps take a hit as they cool off to around the 0c mark...So lows in the lower 30s with highs in the 40s seems to be the way to run....

LONGER TERM APR 25 - APR 30......

Lets look at the temps first.....Looks like a cold pattern still in place with temps below norms.....May see some snowfall around the Wed 29 into Thur 30 time frame....