Sunday, January 30, 2011

A fast forecast.Plus total snowfall map.

A power house snow storm to effect much of the 2/3s part of the CONUS with snow, Ice, Severe thunderstorms, For the local area… The main storm system it’s self will remain well South of the area, however an inverted trof will effect the area… This will be our snow maker along with WAA over riding the colder air..This will help aid in snow forming later tonight and lasting through Monday evening/night….So the snowfall map is going to be the total snowfall from this event…. Again this is not the winter storm it’s self just WAA over riding the cold air and an inverted trof… Main low passes well to our South over IL through this time frame…. Winds will become a problem on Tuesday as the low is well to the South Northeast wind could gusts as high as 25 to 30 MPH at times….Any snow that does fall will be a blowing and drifting problem also…As far as temps go not really cold lows below zero through Midweek with highs in the lower to middle teens… Models do show some warming by Saturday…. Am not going to run with 30s as of right now… Middle to upper 20s look better…. With lows this upcoming weekend warming to the middle to upper teens….No time for a long term forecast tonight…
Here is the total snowfall map...Decide to run with a rather large are of 2 to 4 inches of snow based on models though 1 to 3 was in the thinking.. This way it will cover and small surprises that could happen....Kept the 3 to 6 inches of snow im my far Southern areas per model data.... Green area is 1 to 2 inches my arrow marker decided not to work...