Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Forecast looking great for the weekend!

Forecast headaches.There are many..Thunderstorms chances right through Friday...Some could be strong to severe Later this evening and once again Thursday to our South....Good news is Am pulling rain from this weekend's forecast...Very warm humid air for the weekend into next week..Could hit 90 degrees..See below for all the details...

No SFC ANALYSIS this morning...As we need to talk about a few things that may or may not happen....Today the FA should remain MSTLY CLDY as the area is in between to shortwaves..Temps today should top out in the middle to as warm as the upper 70s...As far as severe thunderstorm chances go..For the FA looks to null for today.Looks like most of the action is going to be setting up over parts of MN into ND,SD,NE,and parts of IA..Tonight gets to be a pain...If one or more thunderstorm clusters...(MCS) form over NE,and IA...This should put the break on severe thunderstorm chances across the FA..Now if these MCS moves Northeast over night we may be dealing with severe thunderstorms during the over night hrs...ATTM it is highly unlikely..As the Nocturnally LLJ sets up to our South once again...Got that feeling I will see some other WI storm chasers over in MN and or parts of IA,and SD....Tonight lows warm muggy low 60s seen to be the way to run....With showers and thunderstorms becoming likely...

Tomorrow still a tricky FCST...Still to many things can bust with this one...As of right it all depend on what happens over night with the MCS and how fast we can get some SFC heating going ...Am thinking best chance of severe thunderstorms should be found back in MN and my Southern FA and point South into IA and IL....Again this will all depend on the MCS that form South of here and how long they take to march through IA and IL....One thing does look like a good bet showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the morning and again in the late afternoon hrs into the over night hrs//CDFNT pushes into the area late Thur afternoon and marches through the FA THUR night....We will have to watch this closely to see what plays out...Models are having a very hard time with this pattern...Highs will be tricky also,Am going to run middle 70s once again..If we get some sun temps could push for the upper 70s to low 80s...Lows lower 60s still seen plausible...

Friday and Friday night ....
Will keep the chances of showers and thunderstorms alive for Friday as we will be close enough to the FNTL BNDRY,along with shortwave still riding along the BNDRY...Will end storms Friday night,however will hang onto a few ISO showers...Highs on Friday push into the upper 70s with lows right around 60.....

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Great news here I did pull showers and storms from the FCST as the system should be well to our South....Temps start the weekend in the low 80s and by Sunday we hit the warm muggy middle 80s...Lows in the lower 60s still seen to be the way to run....
Next chance of showers and thunderstorms come in Sunday night and last through Monday night...Temps on Monday middle 80s then by Tuesday upper 80s...Lows middle 60s.....90 degree mark is not out of the question....